The Really Useless Thread | Page 6854 | Forex Factory

Options

Go to
Permalinks
Print Thread

Similar Threads

The Really Useless System 25 replies

Bloomberg: VIX Indicator useless for forecasting the direction of equity prices 0 replies

The Really Really Boring Forex System 97 replies

Attachments: The Really Useless Thread
Exit Attachments

The Really Useless Thread

  • #137,061
  • Sep 24, 2015 5:25pm Sep 24, 2015 5:25pm
I like you Sisse
  • #137,062
  • Sep 24, 2015 5:46pm Sep 24, 2015 5:46pm
Quoting The Fool
sisse, you have been "punked" - now anyway equity markets can rally on a return to "certainty" - like the certainty of the Titanic's iceberg, so comforting....really though, sounds like a recipe for choppy pa, as the first rate hike will be followed by the "uncertainty" of when, exactly, the next one will be...waiting to see how futures respond overnight...
I hate going back home and finding out a sharp move out of my expected closing range ....

...i got caught S&P (and without excuses a v. poor trade) on the break 1932.xx in the european morning but I wont be trigger shy at all on a second attempt 1940.xx with the proper GDP numbers. Technically the move down today was only a very deep extension of lows intraday(lots of air at these levels...intead of the usual couple of points ext we got a massive intraday leg...)

As discussed I expect a bit of momentum till 1975.xx but after that its just bumpy and slow ride up ...we'll see in a few...

sisse
Pending conversations? PM for a chat...I am mainly in OTM now
  • #137,063
  • Sep 24, 2015 5:53pm Sep 24, 2015 5:53pm
Quoting sisse
As discussed I expect a bit of momentum till 1975.xx but after that its just bumpy ride and slow ride up ...we'll see in a few... sisse
will be setting up to sell SPY puts into late October, $185 +/- will be safe, JY did a neat trick, she made us all clamor for the worst thing in the world, and then she said ok, have it.....and it's wonderful! the bestest worstest thing in the world! It's a Festivus Miracle! /ES rallying early....
"If The Fool persists in his Folly he will become wise." - William Blake
  • #137,064
  • Sep 24, 2015 5:56pm Sep 24, 2015 5:56pm
Quoting Pharm0r
Yellen wants to ruin Fool's Christmas
she can't hurt me none, you can't hurt a fool....
"If The Fool persists in his Folly he will become wise." - William Blake
  • #137,065
  • Sep 25, 2015 12:06am Sep 25, 2015 12:06am
Morning! All main time frames are aligned imho:

H4: Buy since 1.116xx - [at current h4 candle close.]
Daily: Buy since 1.111xx - [2015.09.22.]
Weekly: Buy since 1.099xx - [Open: 2015.05.25 / Close: 2015.05.29.]
Monthly: Buy since 1.073xx - [Open: 2015.03.01. / Close: 2015.03.31.]
Note: this not means that price must go up. It means the lower i can buy, the better.
f(z)=z2+c
  • #137,066
  • Sep 25, 2015 1:52am Sep 25, 2015 1:52am
Quarterly outlook Atm, tracking closely 1.105x, 1.115x and 1.122x
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: quarterly.jpg Size: 186 KB
  • #137,067
  • Sep 25, 2015 2:35am Sep 25, 2015 2:35am
Quoting hathor
Morning! All main time frames are aligned imho: H4: Buy since 1.116xx - [at current h4 candle close.] Daily: Buy since 1.111xx - [2015.09.22.] Weekly: Buy since 1.099xx - [Open: 2015.05.25 / Close: 2015.05.29.] Monthly: Buy since 1.073xx - [Open: 2015.03.01. / Close: 2015.03.31.] Note: this not means that price must go up. It means the lower i can buy, the better.
Longs beautifully disappeared from the long:short ratio, while my system pointing up -> so i boughtTime will tell...
Ps: opening order on Friday is usually shitty, so I will be careful.
f(z)=z2+c
  • #137,068
  • Sep 25, 2015 2:46am Sep 25, 2015 2:46am
Quoting hathor
{quote} Longs beautifully disappeared from the long:short ratio, while my system pointing up -> so i boughtTime will tell... Ps: opening order on Friday is usually shitty, so I will be careful.
For what it's worth another view of the quarter. Divergence between the monthly closes and
the RSI (both lower highs in price and higher RSI and lower lows in price and higher RSI) also says up. 1265-128x has to go (with a higher tf close) first though IMHO. Trend line setup says 108x first.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: thequarter.jpg Size: 516 KB
  • #137,069
  • Sep 25, 2015 3:25am Sep 25, 2015 3:25am
Quoting MissPips
{quote} For what it's worth another view of the quarter. Divergence between the monthly closes and the RSI (both lower highs in price and higher RSI and lower lows in price and higher RSI) also says up. 1265-128x has to go (with a higher tf close) first though IMHO. Trend line setup says 108x first. {image}
Yes, there is plenty of space on the downside, thats true...but in my opinion it shouldn't dive under the daily signal (1.111xx).The usual: time will tell the wish of market.
Ps: I love your quarter charts. Big thumbs up.
f(z)=z2+c
  • #137,070
  • Sep 25, 2015 3:34am Sep 25, 2015 3:34am
Quoting hathor
{quote} Yes, there is plenty of space on the downside, thats true...but in my opinion it shouldn't dive under the daily signal (1.111xx).The usual: time will tell the wish of market. Ps: I love your quarter charts. Big thumbs up.
Thanks. (I bet they go just below 1.111xx just to get the stops )
  • #137,071
  • Sep 25, 2015 3:39am Sep 25, 2015 3:39am
Quoting hathor
{quote} Yes, there is plenty of space on the downside, thats true...but in my opinion it shouldn't dive under the daily signal (1.111xx).The usual: time will tell the wish of market. Ps: I love your quarter charts. Big thumbs up.
Does the signal remain during the days ( daily signal). Do not they change during the days? Have you got hourly signals?
  • #137,072
  • Sep 25, 2015 3:45am Sep 25, 2015 3:45am
Quoting MissPips
{quote} For what it's worth another view of the quarter. Divergence between the monthly closes and the RSI (both lower highs in price and higher RSI and lower lows in price and higher RSI) also says up. 1265-128x has to go (with a higher tf close) first though IMHO. Trend line setup says 108x first. {image}

10707 here. that would be the famous slingshot, when just about anyone will be talking about much lower numbers.

very nice chart.
  • #137,073
  • Sep 25, 2015 4:13am Sep 25, 2015 4:13am
Quoting Lavanda
{quote} Does the signal remain during the days ( daily signal). Do not they change during the days? Have you got hourly signals?
Hi Lavanda!The system mechanism is the following: the (lets say) 'indicator' has a column format, so its not like rsi or moving average. Every candle (on every time frame) has an own indicator column (one candle = one column), and after candle close the indicator won't change (this is when I say confirmed signal).Therefore it gives signals intraday either, but it would be hard to update every change here on FF, so I usually just post the main signals.
f(z)=z2+c
  • #137,074
  • Sep 25, 2015 4:15am Sep 25, 2015 4:15am
Quoting MissPips
{quote} For what it's worth another view of the quarter. Divergence between the monthly closes and the RSI (both lower highs in price and higher RSI and lower lows in price and higher RSI) also says up. 1265-128x has to go (with a higher tf close) first though IMHO. Trend line setup says 108x first. {image}
Hi MissPips,
I was working on RSI and Reverse RSI for couple of days. Are you using standard 14 period for all TF's or you have special tricks for different TF's. Thanks
  • #137,075
  • Edited 4:53am Sep 25, 2015 4:43am | Edited 4:53am
Quoting Rockerzeus
{quote} Hi MissPips, I was working on RSI and Reverse RSI for couple of days. Are you using standard 14 period for all TF's or you have special tricks for different TF's. Thanks
Hi Rock,

I use the TDI actually, but the green line in it is the RSI. (I use it mainly because I like the idea of applying Bollinger-like bands to it to see when it's getting squeezed and then breaks out). I use it with 13 (typo) 12 periods. I have also experimented with 9, 13 and 14, but 12 is what I like best, my reasoning being that that is 2 weeks of trading days, on the daily and 1 hour's worth of periods on the 5 min chart.
  • #137,076
  • Edited 5:37am Sep 25, 2015 4:46am | Edited 5:37am
Quoting Mr Hatch
{quote} 10707 here. that would be the famous slingshot, when just about anyone will be talking about much lower numbers. very nice chart.
Thanks. I have the 108x-70 area showing up as a pivotal area for multiple reasons and over
many upswings and downswings.

Edit: Gold histo on right is aggregate of all swings since January 2015
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: pivotarea.jpg Size: 900 KB
  • #137,077
  • Sep 25, 2015 4:51am Sep 25, 2015 4:51am
Quoting hathor
Morning! All main time frames are aligned imho: H4: Buy since 1.116xx - [at current h4 candle close.] Daily: Buy since 1.111xx - [2015.09.22.] Weekly: Buy since 1.099xx - [Open: 2015.05.25 / Close: 2015.05.29.] Monthly: Buy since 1.073xx - [Open: 2015.03.01. / Close: 2015.03.31.] Note: this not means that price must go up. It means the lower i can buy, the better.
Watch-out your Technicals get overridden by stronger Fundamental forces .... GL today.

Quoting TuTang
Quarterly outlook Atm, tracking closely 1.105x, 1.115x and 1.122x {image}
Indeed quarterly is the one to track in the next few sessions. 1.129x for a chance to test highs. 1.097x reopen the swing to parity by years end. I am starting to incline to the floor after ystday FED clear comments ...

------

Very active european session here....I am heavily deleveraging final swing term positions in the Euro @ 1.115x before GDP and in Gold @ 1146.xx while trailing the rest to play the "reverso" with news....map for the W/M/Q roll and GDP play later....

sisse
Pending conversations? PM for a chat...I am mainly in OTM now
  • #137,078
  • Sep 25, 2015 5:09am Sep 25, 2015 5:09am
Quoting hathor
{quote} Hi Lavanda!The system mechanism is the following: the (lets say) 'indicator' has a column format, so its not like rsi or moving average. Every candle (on every time frame) has an own indicator column (one candle = one column), and after candle close the indicator won't change (this is when I say confirmed signal).Therefore it gives signals intraday either, but it would be hard to update every change here on FF, so I usually just post the main signals.
From now on, your system is working on the daily signal, 1,111x it was a good place to buy.
  • #137,079
  • Sep 25, 2015 5:24am Sep 25, 2015 5:24am
Quoting sisse
{quote} Watch-out your Technicals get overridden by stronger Fundamental forces .... GL today. {quote} Indeed quarterly is the one to track in the next few sessions. 1.129x for a chance to test highs. 1.097x reopen the swing to parity by years end. I am starting to incline to the floor after ystday FED clear comments ... ------ Very active european session here....I am heavily deleveraging final swing term positions...
Thanks! I'll be cautious.
f(z)=z2+c
  • #137,080
  • Sep 25, 2015 6:00am Sep 25, 2015 6:00am
Quoting hathor
{quote} Thanks! I'll be cautious.
I have a feeling...yesterday Yellen just wanted to make liquidity with saying "possible hike this year". The short:long ratio reacted very fast and retailers suddenly shifted to sell. This shift with the sudden dump yesterday also brought the intraday signal (the pair was oversold during european night), so I would like to see an upmove independently from the red/green gdp data.
f(z)=z2+c
14 traders viewing now