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NZD/USD

  • #10,081
  • Sep 17, 2015 12:16am Sep 17, 2015 12:16am
Quoting Lover Man
AUD NZD I think this is a break or a strong attack on 1.13 resistance. It's held on for a while but I think this time we go higher.
what does make you think this way?
  • #10,082
  • Sep 17, 2015 1:22pm Sep 17, 2015 1:22pm
Wonder if we see .65 now
  • #10,083
  • Sep 17, 2015 3:37pm Sep 17, 2015 3:37pm
Quoting Pretense
Wonder if we see .65 now
Behave yourself I grabbed some short at 0.64 and then left for the pub. Was very surprised to see where we went but pleased how it's looking now.Still holding on to my AUD NZD position too.
  • #10,084
  • Sep 17, 2015 6:01pm Sep 17, 2015 6:01pm
Quoting Lover Man
{quote} Behave yourself I grabbed some short at 0.64 and then left for the pub. Was very surprised to see where we went but pleased how it's looking now.Still holding on to my AUD NZD position too.
oh I've done well today. I was long pre announcement, a gamble that paid off. exited long at .6370. watched the volatility and rebought it at .6350 and rode it to .6405, resold it, rode it to .6440 and back down to .6370 where I re longed it and am still sitting with it long.
  • #10,085
  • Sep 17, 2015 10:58pm Sep 17, 2015 10:58pm
entered short aud/nzd aiming 1.1
  • #10,086
  • Sep 18, 2015 12:54am Sep 18, 2015 12:54am
Quoting eugenyk
{quote} what does make you think this way?
Price has not gone down. It has stayed near 1.13 for 4 days now. I think the seller's here have gone or are going. I think the trend is up and it will continue up.
  • #10,087
  • Sep 18, 2015 5:30am Sep 18, 2015 5:30am
Quoting ben82
65 level could react to next week, more than 65 best selling
go kiwi go go go
  • #10,088
  • Sep 19, 2015 12:49pm Sep 19, 2015 12:49pm
I'm fairly convinced we go to .65 before heading back south
  • #10,089
  • Sep 19, 2015 5:34pm Sep 19, 2015 5:34pm
Quoting Pretense
I'm fairly convinced we go to .65 before heading back south
I would agree, but think this move up may have enough momentum to 66-67 lvl. I'll step out only when i see signs of weakness, but i THINK a big move up is coming.
  • #10,090
  • Sep 20, 2015 1:33am Sep 20, 2015 1:33am
Quoting bladerogers
{quote} I would agree, but think this move up may have enough momentum to 66-67 lvl. I'll step out only when i see signs of weakness, but i THINK a big move up is coming.
Im not stating any numbers but I do agree that this pullback could have some legs before returning to the downtrend.
  • #10,091
  • Edited 4:04am Sep 20, 2015 2:30am | Edited 4:04am
I'm on the other side of the fence on this one. I see some indecision ahead with ranging.

Last week we saw equity markets puffed up early in the week, another bounce in dairy prices, AND the FED decision adding one last bit of momentum for the Kiwi but the second equities sold off on Friday the Kiwi and risk was immediately dumped before the weekend.

Early this week, the Chinese flash PMI coupled with the NZ trade balance should be a reminder of NZ's export problem. Longer term perception of another RBNZ rate cut still in the mix.

On the daily, we had a healthy RT to the 61.8FIB from the black Monday spike and a rejection nearly to the pip on the TL. There is likely 100 Roman legions of resistance waiting at 6500. To get there seems like one would have to swim upstream, and for what? Akin to the last ascent phase up Everest just to run into foul weather. I would rather sled down hill, maybe stop off for a Latte and some new pajamas on the way down. (My mother always said I had an active imagination)

On the 4H you have the 200SMA sitting right on that 61.8FIB and daily TL like another thorn in the Kiwi's side. 6315 first or a break thru that 6460 area?

Yes, it's still a carry trade and yes the FED didnt hike, but overall I see fundamentals and technicals pointing down. I think the pullback is over.

Just my two cents, safe trading to all
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Pride always comes before destruction.... -Proverbs 16:18
  • #10,092
  • Sep 20, 2015 7:04pm Sep 20, 2015 7:04pm
Quoting Expo33
I'm on the other side of the fence on this one. I see some indecision ahead with ranging. Last week we saw equity markets puffed up early in the week, another bounce in dairy prices, AND the FED decision adding one last bit of momentum for the Kiwi but the second equities sold off on Friday the Kiwi and risk was immediately dumped before the weekend. Early this week, the Chinese flash PMI coupled with the NZ trade balance should be a reminder of NZ's export problem. Longer term perception of another RBNZ rate cut still in the mix. On the daily,...
Yeah good points. I like the 100 Roman legions of resistance waiting at 65 and the latte stop on Everest-haha. Imagine if there was a coffee stop at the half way point- would make a killing. Will be interesting to watch the price action this week
  • #10,093
  • Edited 7:38pm Sep 20, 2015 7:21pm | Edited 7:38pm
Quoting OZTrader22
{quote} Yeah good points. I like the 100 Roman legions of resistance waiting at 65 and the latte stop on Everest-haha. Imagine if there was a coffee stop at the half way point- would make a killing. Will be interesting to watch the price action this week
Yea, I know I get carried away sometimes but I like trading to be fun and I always look at my charts as if they were a battlefield. For now I am on the sidelines with this pair, curiously waiting to see what happens when London opens.

The only thing I have on the battlefield for now is some pending AUD/CAD shorts in the 9540-60 area. I really hope they get triggered.
Pride always comes before destruction.... -Proverbs 16:18
  • #10,094
  • Sep 21, 2015 3:46am Sep 21, 2015 3:46am
Quoting Expo33
I'm on the other side of the fence on this one. I see some indecision ahead with ranging. Last week we saw equity markets puffed up early in the week, another bounce in dairy prices, AND the FED decision adding one last bit of momentum for the Kiwi but the second equities sold off on Friday the Kiwi and risk was immediately dumped before the weekend. Early this week, the Chinese flash PMI coupled with the NZ trade balance should be a reminder of NZ's export problem. Longer term perception of another RBNZ rate cut still in the mix. On the daily,...
I'm beginning to think you may be right my friend. I wish I was always right but it's not the case.. Still I think we complete this as a head and shoulders pattern before heading back south to test old/new lows. I'll target a marginal gain at .6430.
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  • #10,095
  • Sep 21, 2015 8:42am Sep 21, 2015 8:42am
Quoting Expo33
6315 first or a break thru that 6460 area?
Well, that's one question answered
Pride always comes before destruction.... -Proverbs 16:18
  • #10,096
  • Sep 21, 2015 11:11am Sep 21, 2015 11:11am
Looking for a bit of a bounce here

Channel bottom, WS1, RSI
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Pride always comes before destruction.... -Proverbs 16:18
  • #10,097
  • Sep 21, 2015 12:04pm Sep 21, 2015 12:04pm
Long @ .6449 YAY!
Be humble or be humbled.
  • #10,098
  • Sep 21, 2015 8:25pm Sep 21, 2015 8:25pm
waiting for reversal to go further south
  • #10,099
  • Sep 21, 2015 8:59pm Sep 21, 2015 8:59pm
.6327 is a level I've had on my chart for ages.
The rising trend line from the 10th Sept. has broken. I'm looking for a signal to short.
FF journal: Peaks and Troffs
  • #10,100
  • Edited 9:48pm Sep 21, 2015 9:37pm | Edited 9:48pm
Quoting bogus
.6327 is a level I've had on my chart for ages. The rising trend line from the 10th Sept. has broken. I'm looking for a signal to short.
I'm short with a stop at .6337
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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FF journal: Peaks and Troffs
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