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AUD/JPY

  • #1,281
  • Aug 6, 2015 2:45am Aug 6, 2015 2:45am
bears are weak.
Come tomorrow, I'll wake up new
  • #1,282
  • Edited 4:54am Aug 17, 2015 4:41am | Edited 4:54am
Hey all,

I mainly trade Equities Indices and I can start to see a sideways market and possible crash in the next 2 to 12 months, last time markets tanked in 2008 the AUDJPY and NZDJPY pairs were smashed down very quickly, a lot quicker than the Equities Indices. I know commodities tanked in that time and they are weakening now too. I'm starting to think these two pairs could be a good short trade in months to come, but it may be a 3 to 12 month move.

Anyone else have any thoughts on these pairs - or whether i'm completely off the track!?
  • #1,283
  • Aug 21, 2015 7:05am Aug 21, 2015 7:05am
Quoting PariCovek
Hey all, I mainly trade Equities Indices and I can start to see a sideways market and possible crash in the next 2 to 12 months, last time markets tanked in 2008 the AUDJPY and NZDJPY pairs were smashed down very quickly, a lot quicker than the Equities Indices. I know commodities tanked in that time and they are weakening now too. I'm starting to think these two pairs could be a good short trade in months to come, but it may be a 3 to 12 month move. Anyone else have any thoughts on these pairs - or whether i'm completely off the track!?
I think you're right. Looks like we're going to see a new 2015 low soon, and then the 1014 low isn't very far below. Maybe see the 2013 low taken out before this year is over..
  • #1,284
  • Aug 23, 2015 10:30pm Aug 23, 2015 10:30pm
or maybe we'll just see the 2013 low taken out today at this rate
  • #1,285
  • Aug 24, 2015 4:44am Aug 24, 2015 4:44am
Quoting KoiFish
{quote} I think you're right. Looks like we're going to see a new 2015 low soon, and then the 1014 low isn't very far below. Maybe see the 2013 low taken out before this year is over..
I took a short trade and it moved against me for a small loss... spewing now, as it would've been 450pips in the green

I think the Equities carnage (and AUDJPY) will continue until Chinese Equities stabilise in the near future, refer to this post:
http://www.forexfactory.com/showthre...03#post8451903
  • #1,286
  • Aug 24, 2015 5:03am Aug 24, 2015 5:03am
Quoting gsbharaj
bears are weak.
them bears are sneaky, down over 400 pips since the 6th when you posted that

It takes a lot for me to IGNORE you, but you can try.
  • #1,287
  • Aug 30, 2015 10:58pm Aug 30, 2015 10:58pm
I'm short this again..
  • #1,288
  • Sep 1, 2015 6:06am Sep 1, 2015 6:06am
Is anyone able to put a 10 year chart of the AJ pair vs various Indices (Dax, SP500, Nikkei)?

The correlation for AJ appears to be quite strong with Indices.
  • #1,289
  • Sep 1, 2015 6:45am Sep 1, 2015 6:45am
Quoting PariCovek
Is anyone able to put a 10 year chart of the AJ pair vs various Indices (Dax, SP500, Nikkei)? The correlation for AJ appears to be quite strong with Indices.
http://www.investing.com/currencies/aud-jpy-chart
just add what you need
  • #1,290
  • Sep 14, 2015 3:30pm Sep 14, 2015 3:30pm
I guess everyone missing on a great opportunity.

Check out AUD/JPY entry clean and simple for bullish
Good luck to all... 90s is the best years ohhh wait thats great zone to get out


cheers
  • #1,291
  • Sep 16, 2015 2:31pm Sep 16, 2015 2:31pm
Entering short @86.75-85 area

1) Previous TL support now resistance
2) WR1 @86.83
3) MP @86.98
4) 4H Divergence
5) FIB Confluence
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: AJ CON.jpg Size: 300 KB
Pride always comes before destruction.... -Proverbs 16:18
  • #1,292
  • Sep 20, 2015 11:41pm Sep 20, 2015 11:41pm
A wave (c) impulse wave count intact, and now selling the breakout on the last leg v (blue) target at least 82.00.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: AUDJPYH4 21Sep15.png Size: 62 KB
Elliott Wave for optimum entry, exit and risk management of trades
  • #1,293
  • Sep 22, 2015 6:44pm Sep 22, 2015 6:44pm
AU Long @ .7075
SL .7055
TP .7140
RR: 1:4
Happy Tradding
(ahead of minor news @8pm)
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: Screen Shot 2015-09-22 at 7.40.12 PM.png Size: 141 KB
  • #1,294
  • Sep 22, 2015 9:08pm Sep 22, 2015 9:08pm
Quoting dCtrader15
AU Long @ .7075 SL .7055 TP .7140 RR: 1:4 Happy Tradding (ahead of minor news @8pm) {image}
Well thanks to China's data, the Aussie got hammered against its pairs...
Got out as as soon as I saw the data @ .7061 and took a minor loss,
But on the next order!
  • #1,295
  • Sep 23, 2015 2:19am Sep 23, 2015 2:19am
Quoting dCtrader15
{quote} Well thanks to China's data, the Aussie got hammered against its pairs... Got out as as soon as I saw the data @ .7061 and took a minor loss, But on the next order!
Scalped the channel on NJ, made out even better than my earlier trade, +72 pips
Happy Trading

(got a piece of the upside breakout, but only ~15 pips)
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: Screen Shot 2015-09-23 at 3.17.42 AM.png Size: 125 KB
  • #1,296
  • Sep 23, 2015 6:36am Sep 23, 2015 6:36am
Just picked up the close on the GAP for AJ... ~32 pips....
Although, I don't think its fully closed... but o well, got what I needed...
Going to bed... Happy Trades...
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: Screen Shot 2015-09-23 at 7.32.56 AM.png Size: 151 KB
  • #1,297
  • Sep 28, 2015 8:50pm Sep 28, 2015 8:50pm
Quoting dCtrader15
Just picked up the close on the GAP for AJ... ~32 pips.... Although, I don't think its fully closed... but o well, got what I needed... Going to bed... Happy Trades... {image}
If we don't close below H4 TL, we'll get a bounce to the 38.2FF if not, we'll test the 81.80 level and bounce there...

Happy Trades!
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: Screen Shot 2015-09-28 at 9.47.30 PM.png Size: 158 KB
  • #1,298
  • Oct 1, 2015 9:34am Oct 1, 2015 9:34am
Double bottom...
Listen to the market
  • #1,299
  • Oct 6, 2015 4:31am Oct 6, 2015 4:31am
m5
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: Chart_AUD_JPY_5 Mins_snapshot.png Size: 16 KB
  • #1,300
  • Oct 7, 2015 2:44pm Oct 7, 2015 2:44pm
quite the rally up !

looks like turning point now ? back down to 85.3** ?
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