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  • #10,481
  • Sep 1, 2015 9:50am Sep 1, 2015 9:50am
Great video here, economy explained in 30m.
HOW THE ECONOMIC MACHINE WORKS
Hope is dangerous in this game.
  • #10,482
  • Sep 1, 2015 10:21am Sep 1, 2015 10:21am
Oh, the Humanity, Part Deux. Gotta believe the SPY deep V lows from a week or so ago are in play within the next week or so - maybe even sub-$180. As usual I am caught looking wit my pecker in my hand.....

Get outta bed, Old Dan Tucker
You're too late to get your supper
Supper's over and breakfast's cookin
Old Dan Tucker just stands there lookin

Inserted Video
"If The Fool persists in his Folly he will become wise." - William Blake
  • #10,483
  • Sep 1, 2015 11:46am Sep 1, 2015 11:46am
Another 50+ spoos drop day or two & you'd expect Dudley to come out and do his V-bottom dance. But maybe this time is different. Tough Love. The Fed does naught care what the market does. They heard me say they was Wall Street's personal ass whore and now they will show me.

Inserted Video
"If The Fool persists in his Folly he will become wise." - William Blake
  • #10,484
  • Sep 1, 2015 11:55am Sep 1, 2015 11:55am
I did not know this, ya learn something new every day....

http://finance.yahoo.com/news/theres...180910568.html

".....the final 10 minutes of trading could be ugly because corporate buyback orders have to be canceled at 3:50 p.m., and the closing bell rings at 4 p.m. So if the big supporter of stocks — which, all things considered, isn't doing much for the market given the big sell-off — steps away with 10 minutes to go, a complete lack of buyers could see bids tumble into the close. "
"If The Fool persists in his Folly he will become wise." - William Blake
  • #10,485
  • Sep 1, 2015 12:41pm Sep 1, 2015 12:41pm
hope you are scalping this SDog!
"If The Fool persists in his Folly he will become wise." - William Blake
  • #10,486
  • Sep 1, 2015 12:44pm Sep 1, 2015 12:44pm
Quoting The Fool
... They heard me say they was Wall Street's personal ass whore and now they will show me....
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: SPX-bear-flag.PNG Size: 142 KB


I think we are going down to test 1820 again and maybe going for a lower low.
Hope is dangerous in this game.
  • #10,487
  • Sep 1, 2015 1:14pm Sep 1, 2015 1:14pm
woohoo, bring the btfd V in AH, I wanna see SPY $198 again by Thursday
"If The Fool persists in his Folly he will become wise." - William Blake
  • #10,488
  • Sep 1, 2015 1:28pm Sep 1, 2015 1:28pm
Quoting StrayDog
{quote} {image} I think we are going down to test 1820 again and maybe going for a lower low.
Beginning to think that this 1995 is the lower high, but if I go short call vert on a bounce, I'll steer a bit wide of that for a bit ... . Too many times these BTFD'ers have other ideas on their minds ... .
Fireworks are fun ... as long as you don't blow your fingers off.
  • #10,489
  • Sep 1, 2015 1:30pm Sep 1, 2015 1:30pm
Common sense tells me I should add long SPY delta here, but I can't bring myself to do it ... .
Fireworks are fun ... as long as you don't blow your fingers off.
  • #10,490
  • Sep 1, 2015 1:40pm Sep 1, 2015 1:40pm
Thank you, Mr. Obvious: http://www.thestreet.com/story/13273...o&cm_ven=YAHOO
Fireworks are fun ... as long as you don't blow your fingers off.
  • #10,491
  • Sep 1, 2015 3:49pm Sep 1, 2015 3:49pm
Quoting ZebraSquirl
Common sense tells me I should add long SPY delta here, but I can't bring myself to do it ... .
this time is different, ZS....BTFD is broken.....the party is over and the punch bowl is finally gone. (Yeah right....)
"If The Fool persists in his Folly he will become wise." - William Blake
  • #10,492
  • Sep 1, 2015 4:13pm Sep 1, 2015 4:13pm
hey, what up, Cecil - are you still hanging in on AAPL long puts? Look like it could make another run to <$100 unless things settle down....
"If The Fool persists in his Folly he will become wise." - William Blake
  • #10,493
  • Edited 4:42pm Sep 1, 2015 4:23pm | Edited 4:42pm
you wanna see something funny (sad) - check out the UVXY Sept & Oct calls, you coulda bought $45/$50 calls a couple months ago for $1-2, they've gone above >$40 today, with UVXY up $20 to close at $87.50. I will look at ways to fade the spike but I know its hard to do in UVXY....

(look at Sept4/Oct1 deep put spreads)
"If The Fool persists in his Folly he will become wise." - William Blake
  • #10,494
  • Sep 1, 2015 4:51pm Sep 1, 2015 4:51pm
UVXY gone from $25 to $87.50 in nine trading days. Maybe vain hope to fade it but you can look at cheap put spreads in Sept4/Oct1 down around $35 or lower - getting filled is another story. idk, though - to get back down there I think you'd need to see a steady rise for SPY back to >$205 & I'm just not sure that can happen in late September....
"If The Fool persists in his Folly he will become wise." - William Blake
  • #10,495
  • Sep 1, 2015 6:36pm Sep 1, 2015 6:36pm
you absolutely can not fill the UVXY puts diagonal below for 4c, and the P/L will absolutely look nothing like that after the iv crashes - note iv 240% on the short leg...
Attached Image(s) (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: 2015-09-01_UVXY2.png Size: 60 KB
Click to Enlarge Name: 2015-09-01_UVXY.png Size: 94 KB
"If The Fool persists in his Folly he will become wise." - William Blake
  • #10,496
  • Sep 1, 2015 9:42pm Sep 1, 2015 9:42pm
spreads on ASHR suck, doubt I will get filled anywhere near 5c
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: 2015-09-01_ashr.png Size: 68 KB
"If The Fool persists in his Folly he will become wise." - William Blake
  • #10,497
  • Sep 2, 2015 10:16am Sep 2, 2015 10:16am
filled the puts leg of the ASHR DD above for 4c, trying the call side @ $49/50 for 5c, might pay more, but the volume is very thin out there, will wait/see
"If The Fool persists in his Folly he will become wise." - William Blake
  • #10,498
  • Sep 2, 2015 12:43pm Sep 2, 2015 12:43pm
Quoting The Fool
you absolutely can not fill the UVXY puts diagonal below for 4c, and the P/L will absolutely look nothing like that after the iv crashes - note iv 240% on the short leg...
crazy shit up $20 one day & down $15+ the next.....it might get even crazier
"If The Fool persists in his Folly he will become wise." - William Blake
  • #10,499
  • Sep 2, 2015 12:56pm Sep 2, 2015 12:56pm
Quoting The Fool
{quote} crazy shit up $20 one day & down $15+ the next.....it might get even crazier
Yeah it could... /ES and /NQ finishing session at daily highs... we could see another short covering rally.

There were 2 attempts to break support trend line on both /ES and /NQ... both failed, both were false breakdowns (pic somewhere above)...
Hope is dangerous in this game.
  • #10,500
  • Sep 2, 2015 1:20pm Sep 2, 2015 1:20pm
I tried to fill the UVXY Sept4/Oct1 put diag shown just above.....for 1 penny...lol, a 1c mid but they wanted 20c, the shit is just too squirrelly to mess with. BUT...if you'd bought a 10 lot of UVXY Sept $50 calls a few weeks back, for $500 or so, they would have got you $40k yesterday....
"If The Fool persists in his Folly he will become wise." - William Blake
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