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Jay's High Probability Setups

  • #81
  • Aug 13, 2015 11:03pm Aug 13, 2015 11:03pm
yeah i saw it. but how you get profits if your sl is hit??

gbp/jpy is possible that touch 195. so we will see. if the system is capable of being consistent it will be a very strong system. it is based on probabilities that is the key in the markets. it is working for jay we will see if it will work for us.

Peace and pips.
  • #82
  • Aug 25, 2015 1:03pm Aug 25, 2015 1:03pm
High probabilty ?
  • #83
  • Aug 25, 2015 2:40pm Aug 25, 2015 2:40pm
gbp/jpy hit the target but other currencies didnt do that. so problem is when you wait and expect that something happens for one reason and because of multitude variables it didnt happen. i think the strategy offered by jay is good but is made for too long periods. i will make it with less timeframe, 1 hour or 15 minutes. however there are millions of applications for this strategy based like he said on trend, volatility, transient and recurrent zones and other variables. so... the art is in you.

Peace and pips.

Pd: i wish the best of lucks to jay that made so much contributions for all of us.
  • #84
  • Nov 20, 2015 11:17pm Nov 20, 2015 11:17pm
Quoting FX-Jay
I'm not going to be very active in the time being, but I'll be around from time to time, and hopefully towards November I'll be back to spend more time around here.
Back for the moment, hopefully I'll be able to stick around and actively participate this time both on this thread and around FF in general.

If there's anything new that happened in the TZ/Probability scene while I was away, do hit me up with the links.
Personally I haven't added anything new to my trading techniques/strategies. I'm satisfied with the consistency, specially since I didn't have much time for short term trading recently.

I totally miss engaging with the intelligent thought provoking discussions that led to some fine discoveries in the last year.

Best,
Jay
  • #85
  • Nov 20, 2015 11:20pm Nov 20, 2015 11:20pm
hi

nice to see you again we all are waiting for you knowledge
  • #86
  • Nov 20, 2015 11:23pm Nov 20, 2015 11:23pm
Not really related to probabilities, but the below looks like a nice setup for next week
Looking forward to buy somewhere in the blue box.

The good old channel & fib trading That was one of the first set-ups I learned when i started practicing trading around 6/7 years ago
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: Capture.PNG Size: 40 KB
  • #87
  • Nov 21, 2015 5:19am Nov 21, 2015 5:19am
Quoting FX-Jay
Not really related to probabilities, but the below looks like a nice setup for next week Looking forward to buy somewhere in the blue box. The good old channel & fib trading That was one of the first set-ups I learned when i started practicing trading around 6/7 years ago {image}

Welcome back Jay...
  • #88
  • Nov 24, 2015 3:35am Nov 24, 2015 3:35am
Quoting FX-Jay
Not really related to probabilities, but the below looks like a nice setup for next week Looking forward to buy somewhere in the blue box. The good old channel & fib trading
Nah, wasn't such a good idea, had to take the loss on this one.
Better stick to probabilities for now

& speaking about probabilities, I'll be waiting to see USDCAD make a new high above 1.3435 pretty soon. Stop @ 1.3245
  • #89
  • Nov 24, 2015 3:56am Nov 24, 2015 3:56am
Quoting FX-Jay
{quote} Back for the moment, hopefully I'll be able to stick around and actively participate this time both on this thread and around FF in general. If there's anything new that happened in the TZ/Probability scene while I was away, do hit me up with the links. Personally I haven't added anything new to my trading techniques/strategies. I'm satisfied with the consistency, specially since I didn't have much time for short term trading recently. I totally miss engaging with the intelligent thought provoking discussions that led to some fine discoveries...
Hey Jay,

Good to see you around here. I too have not been visiting as much - there certainly is life outside of FF. :-)
Hope all is green pips with you!

Vlad
A pip is only worth it if you know how much you risked to earn it
  • #90
  • Nov 24, 2015 4:23am Nov 24, 2015 4:23am
Quoting vlady1974
{quote} Hey Jay, Good to see you around here. I too have not been visiting as much - there certainly is life outside of FF. :-) Hope all is green pips with you! Vlad

Yo Vlad, been a long while mate

Kind of missing the action & excitement in the Factory these days, doesn't seem there's much going on though

Hope ur doing well with ur trading, personally I've been neglecting it for a while cz I've been over my head with a couple of projects, but I think it's about time to make some serious trading from now till end of Q1 16.

All the best Let's keep in touch

Jay
  • #91
  • Nov 26, 2015 9:20am Nov 26, 2015 9:20am
Hello Jay i am new to this group..but i like ur comment
pls en lite me more on transient probability theorem
and bb related pattern.
  • #92
  • Nov 26, 2015 5:51pm Nov 26, 2015 5:51pm
Quoting FX-Jay
{quote} [...] I'll be waiting to see USDCAD make a new high above 1.3435 pretty soon. Stop @ 1.3245
The currency correlator seems to suggest a larger move in either directions too.
Attached Image
less than
  • #93
  • Edited 2:58am Dec 2, 2015 2:46am | Edited 2:58am
Quoting FX-Jay
{quote}I'll be waiting to see USDCAD make a new high above 1.3435 pretty soon. Stop @ 1.3245
Get ready! + (S/L now 55 pips tighter @ 1.3300)
Also keep an eye on AUDCAD, lots of cool stuff are gonna happen there
  • #94
  • Dec 4, 2015 9:23am Dec 4, 2015 9:23am
Quoting FX-Jay
{quote} Get ready! + (S/L now 55 pips tighter @ 1.3300) Also keep an eye on AUDCAD, lots of cool stuff are gonna happen there
Gotta admit that i'm puzzled with USDCAD's lack of movement. We're stuck in the same 200 pip range for a month now
Probabilities were highly pointing to a new high ... we ended up seeing highs on AUDCAD, NZDCAD, EURCAD, GBPCAD, & CADCHF (inverse - low) all while USDCAD is still hanging in its place.

Time to move on & forget that pair until a new opportunity proves itself. On all cases the modified tight SL was hit, so not planning on re-entering.


I'll be keeping an eye on GBPUSD for next week. Will be only looking to short it if/when the opportunity presents itself
  • #95
  • Dec 4, 2015 2:19pm Dec 4, 2015 2:19pm
Hi Jay!

Nice seeing you around. Lets move on. Thanks

Warm Regards
fm
No Risk No Reward
  • #96
  • Dec 4, 2015 4:51pm Dec 4, 2015 4:51pm
yes USD/CAN a puzzle very weird thanks JAY
  • #97
  • Dec 8, 2015 3:17am Dec 8, 2015 3:17am
Quoting FX-Jay
{quote} Gotta admit that i'm puzzled with USDCAD's lack of movement. We're stuck in the same 200 pip range for a month now Probabilities were highly pointing to a new high ... we ended up seeing highs on AUDCAD, NZDCAD, EURCAD, GBPCAD, & CADCHF (inverse - low) all while USDCAD is still hanging in its place.
Look who finally decided to move & join the party
USDCAD finally made a new high, and is up more than 200 pips in the last 24 hrs (too bad i didn't get to enjoy any of it)
I still see more upside, but R:R not so favorable so I'll just sit & watch
  • #98
  • Dec 8, 2015 3:22am Dec 8, 2015 3:22am
Quoting FX-Jay
{quote} I'll be keeping an eye on GBPUSD for next week. Will be only looking to short it if/when the opportunity presents itself
As expected GU started this week to the downside, almost 90 pips down so far.
Didn't get the opportunity to short it before it fell, so no profits for me on this one too
if I was able to short from the weekly open i would have taken 75% off the short position at current prices since I'm not as bearish anymore as I was end of last week
  • #99
  • Dec 11, 2015 5:21am Dec 11, 2015 5:21am
Buying AUDCAD here, targeting 0.9950
  • #100
  • Dec 14, 2015 6:45am Dec 14, 2015 6:45am
Quoting FX-Jay
Buying AUDCAD here, targeting 0.9950
Up 40 pips so far, SL moved to break-even
Target remains 0.9950
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