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Walk the Talk from a fun loving discretionary trader 46 replies

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  • #47,041
  • Aug 7, 2015 7:22am Aug 7, 2015 7:22am
The Chonchy
  • #47,042
  • Aug 7, 2015 7:41am Aug 7, 2015 7:41am
....Then again, I'm lost, red numbers and price drop, lol, bastards robbers, thieves....
The Chonchy
  • #47,043
  • Aug 7, 2015 7:46am Aug 7, 2015 7:46am
Quoting chonchy
{quote}
Ya Just sleep
  • #47,044
  • Aug 7, 2015 7:51am Aug 7, 2015 7:51am
Quoting DailyChart
{quote} Ya Just sleep
I was short, lol, I knew it was bad numbers, or in line.....see my post....
The Chonchy
  • #47,045
  • Aug 7, 2015 7:52am Aug 7, 2015 7:52am
Quoting chonchy
.....I think the numbers are going to be, when the best in line....if not lower, bad, against Yellen wishes, lol
The Chonchy
  • #47,046
  • Aug 9, 2015 3:54am Aug 9, 2015 3:54am
I think wait for the retest around 7650-7750, then slam this mofo currency south Sir


Attached Image(s) (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: AUDUSDWeekly.png Size: 27 KB
Click to Enlarge Name: AUDUSDMonthly.png Size: 27 KB
Come with me if you want to live....
  • #47,047
  • Aug 9, 2015 6:29am Aug 9, 2015 6:29am
Quoting Ill-b-back
I think wait for the retest around 7650-7750, then slam this mofo currency south Sir {image} {image}
....I just want to learn Sir. so please explain me the correct way to run those trend lines, because this is what I see on the monthly....

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.....Weekly...

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The Chonchy
  • #47,048
  • Aug 9, 2015 6:34am Aug 9, 2015 6:34am
......And to tell you the true, I think we already bounce up from that magenta line.....if the dollar lose one foot, we may go up, I know funnymentals don't help my theory but anything can happen in forex, Yell may call the boss and said I need help the dollar is too strong and can export anything out of here and the boss throw her a hand with raising interest rates or some like that on the euro zone, soon, who knows.... Or in Australia who knows, who knows is the fraise....

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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The Chonchy
  • #47,049
  • Aug 9, 2015 6:44am Aug 9, 2015 6:44am
...Daily is very happy going up, RSI and MACD concur with this move, so...is being a long move down and we already retraced to the red ema 100 once, now is hitting green ema 30 but if it cross it may go for the red ema 100 again, and it may cross also the red ema 100, we will just have to wait and see, but in bet win this emas is a lot of pips to me made, Sir., that is why I go to the smaller time frames lately with all the range bound trading in all pairs, my 2 cents Sir. hope is not any imposition in my posts, to each its own, different folks, different strokes, more than one way to skin a cat Sir. your trade is also great to wait for that retest of that trend line and slam it down like you say, it should work also, is just a matter of patience and wait for the correct moment to enter, discipline, focus.....

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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The Chonchy
  • #47,050
  • Aug 9, 2015 6:53am Aug 9, 2015 6:53am
...4H is already crossing all emas going up, MACD and RSI are close to the 70 line, so it may bounce on the green ema 30 of the daily...

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The Chonchy
  • #47,051
  • Aug 9, 2015 6:55am Aug 9, 2015 6:55am
...One hour is all the way up there, RSI is at the 70 line, ready for the bounce, MACD is not all the way up yet, but we need to see it all, daily I will say is the main event with that ema green 30 as a wall there....

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The Chonchy
  • #47,052
  • Aug 9, 2015 7:01am Aug 9, 2015 7:01am
.....30 minutes looks toppy also with RSI in the 70 line, MACD can bounce from there, but also could go a little more up, so....

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....Now 15 minutes is very toppy, RSI at the 70 line, MACD is at the top of the histogram, so I would say this pair is about to fall......

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at the open today I will chance a short true the 5m chart, and lock it at +1 ASAP....it may keep going up a bit more, like usual to run all stops but I will scale in with 1/4 of the whole trade and add as it goes up but at least secure the 1/4 because is about to fall, me think, my 2 cents Sir.....

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The Chonchy
  • #47,053
  • Aug 9, 2015 7:04am Aug 9, 2015 7:04am
.........7427 should be a good place to enter, is very toppy, good risk reward with a tithe stop and +1 ASAP.....

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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The Chonchy
  • #47,054
  • Aug 9, 2015 7:06am Aug 9, 2015 7:06am
Quoting DailyChart
{quote} Ya Just sleep
:nerd:
The Chonchy
  • #47,055
  • Aug 9, 2015 7:12am Aug 9, 2015 7:12am
Quoting Ill-b-back
I think wait for the retest around 7650-7750, then slam this mofo currency south Sir {image} {image}
........Is it the bulk or the body of the candles, or the wicks of the candles what we should use to run those trend lines, anybody out there can help on this, please, thanks in advance..........
The Chonchy
  • #47,056
  • Aug 9, 2015 7:17am Aug 9, 2015 7:17am
Quoting chonchy
......And to tell you the true, I think we already bounce up from that magenta line.....if the dollar lose one foot, we may go up, I know funnymentals don't help my theory but anything can happen in forex, Yell may call the boss and said I need help the dollar is too strong and can export anything out of here and the boss throw her a hand with raising interest rates or some like that on the euro zone, soon, who knows.... Or in Australia who knows, who knows is the fraise.... {image}
Hello Sir, yes it's true, we have not reached the actual TL if taking the lows.
We have not reached your magenta line yet Sir.
But by utilizing the lowest (close) of the previous major swing low, we see good confluence with the weekly breakout.
My point is that I think we might retest the weekly breakout (and monthly TL 1), then drop to the (monthly TL 2) (using the swing low points) for a good 500-600 pips Sir.
The weekly breakout pattern is quite bearish (chart 1).
Monthly Chart 2 shows bigger picture and a trade zone we are in
Attached Image(s) (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: AUDUSDWeekly.png Size: 27 KB
Click to Enlarge Name: AUDUSDMonthly1.png Size: 31 KB
Come with me if you want to live....
  • #47,057
  • Aug 9, 2015 7:23am Aug 9, 2015 7:23am
Quoting Ill-b-back
{quote} Hello Sir, yes it's true, we have not reached the actual TL if taking the lows. We have not reached your magenta line yet Sir. But by utilizing the lowest (close) of the previous major swing low, we see good confluence with the weekly breakout. My point is that I think we might retest the weekly breakout (and monthly TL 1), then drop to the (monthly TL 2) (using the swing low points) for a good 500-600 pips Sir. The weekly breakout pattern is quite bearish (chart 1). Monthly Chart 2 shows bigger picture and a trade zone we are in {image}...
I see what you mean Sir. good analysis....
The Chonchy
  • #47,058
  • Aug 9, 2015 7:32am Aug 9, 2015 7:32am
....Even though MACD and RSI may keep going up, green ema 30 and the low power of the opening are telling me this pair is going to bounce at the open if it hasn't bounced yet over the weekend, maybe an old lady eaten a kangaroo over the weekend in Australia and it already bounced, if not it will bounce on that green ema 30 to regain power and go back up and cross.....

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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The Chonchy
  • #47,059
  • Aug 9, 2015 7:37am Aug 9, 2015 7:37am
...."If" the new daily candle opens on the other side of the green ema 30, then there is another story.....only "If", but if is a red candle under or below the green ema 30, then short for a few is worse the risk, but it will continue up after she recovers......entrie order at .7427 short may be good for a few....

......Long term, yes Sir. a retest of the monthly and weekly trend lines like you say, 1 and 2, is a very good analysis Sir.

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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The Chonchy
  • #47,060
  • Aug 9, 2015 7:40am Aug 9, 2015 7:40am
Quoting chonchy
....Even though MACD and RSI may keep going up, green ema 30 and the low power of the opening are telling me this pair is going to bounce at the open if it hasn't bounced yet over the weekend, maybe an old lady eaten a kangaroo over the weekend in Australia and it already bounced, if not it will bounce on that green ema 30 to regain power and go back up and cross..... {image}
Let's see how she rolls, I like your EMA's, I think I will try them out if you don't mind Sir.

I have to go to bed, have a great week Chonchy

Come with me if you want to live....
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