Trend Trading System

Hey Elda,

If you're entering off the 4 hour you can pay attention to the daily and weekly charts.

If you're entering off the daily you can pay attention to the weekly and monthly charts.

Sorry i don't have recommendation for US broker as I'm not from there.

Hope it helps!

fartist

EURNZD H4 long:

Hi Rayner,

I am facing a problem for holding positions/ and taking profits, my winners become mostly lossers now. They hitted SL, I was gain 1100 pips almost every trade and daily/weekly trend still looks good except H4.

I am only triggering on pullbacks and S/R. Sometimes I traded beyond 50 EMA because of SR. I dont know why winners became lossers, it was a good profit which I didnt take it...

Please advice what to do now?!

Thanks.
Umee

Fartist, all,

Looks like most of us don't touch EUR/USD any reason?

Hey fartist, am i right?
Eurgbp tends to down
following weekly and monthly , trend
its bellow 50 ema

Hey umair,

You can consider trailing your stops.

There's a few ways to go about it, you can exit your trades when price close beyond the moving average.

or..

Exit when price trades below the low of X number of bars (for long setups)

Find an approach that suits you.

Trend following requires giving back profits in order to capture big trends in the markets.

fartist

Hi, I was wondering where did you get that page with all the trending info on it ?

Thanks!

that page is called dashboard.

This Incredible tool create by Honestknave In FF.
Its, multi timeframe dashboard looking at price's distance from a moving average. Call MADdash.
Follow This Link http://www.forexfactory.com/showthre...03#post8387803. For the Last Version
and Go To First Page For the Instruction,

i set this indicator. with fartist technique 50 EMA
With Thist Tool, I Can make quick View which pair is trending or reversing


Look the Gbp Block. all pair its above 50, daily and weekly Exponential Moving average

omg thanks a lot man!! I was looking for something like this !

Hi guys

Following with great interest. Thanks Fartist for starting the thread.
So much to learn.

Rayner. I like your method of trading and plan to get better at it. I will also help contribute to your thread if you don't mind. I hope to get better at trading this system and also giving back.

Trade # 1 [NZD_USD]

Explanation for Entry: I entered this trade because price is currently in a downtrend on the weekly and I believe it broke a level that it was consolidating at on this time frame. I took a short on the retouch of what I believe will be a resistance level. The consolidation is more obvious on the daily time frame, you can see where it broke the support. I made my execution on the 4 hour time frame and I am risking about 70 pips (represented by the red block) 2ATR, of the 4 hour time frame. I believe that price is going to take out the support level in red at the bottom, and I will be looking to add my position at this break. I will also move my stop to break even when price reaches this level. Like Rayner says, Whatever happens is for the market to decide, I just manage my risk".

Weekly [NZD_USD]

Daily

4 Hour [Execution]




Please give me feedback, where I can improve. I look forward to help Rayner.

Explanation for Entry: I don't really know what price is doing on the weekly, its at a standstill and the monthly says the same, I believe that its in a consolidation phase, so I will be looking at a Swing Trade. There is a downtrend resistance line on the daily, identified in the picture below, where I am looking to get short and ride the train to the bottom of the channel. I will be executing this trade on the 4 Hour time frame, I believe that this is a low risk trade, so it's worth our time because the payoff is relatively large if it goes as planned. Moreover, I used to ATR to set my stop which is a 78 pip stop, I will quickly know if I am wrong if price breaks this resistance level, but I allowed some space for a fake break. But nothing ever goes as planned, so stay alert. 'Whatever happens is for the market to decide, I just manage my risk"

Please offer feedback

[EUR/JPY]
Weekly

Daily

4H

You're welcome Sky

The trend isn't too clear on Eurjpy.

I'd prefer going long on Gbp/jpy instead.

You'd want to have trends on the different time frame aligning together.

If they're not, it's best to find something else.

fartist

Palladium Short

Weekly


Daily


H4

nice spotting, i like this.

What Do All Successful Traders Have In Common?

A successful trader is not the trader who makes a lot of money over a short period of time because he could simply be lucky. Rather it is the consistently profitable trader who makes money year after year that is successful.

After reading Market Wizards 3 times and crossing path with other successful traders, I notice they all follow certain principles in their trading. It doesn’t matter if a trader is a scalper, swing trader or trend follower, these principles still hold.

Thus if you want to be a consistently profitable trader, then it would make sense to learn and follow these principles right?

Always have a stop loss


Trading without a stop loss is like playing Russian Roulette. You may escape once or twice but eventually you are going to blow up your trading account.

I remember vividly years ago when I got long a particular stock Yangzijiang. I did not have a stop loss in place but was simply going to see where the market takes me.
And the worst thing is having that long position while I was in Krabi having a holiday. I obviously couldn’t enjoy it at all.

Price was going against me day after day and the pain was too much to bear that I eventually bailed out my position on the last day of the trip. It ruined my holiday and taught me a very important lesson in trading, always have a stop loss!

By having a stop loss in place, it is an insurance for you and gives you a peace of mind to what’s the worst that could possibly happen. If you are trading without a stop loss, you will never know how much you could lose and your mind will always be a in a state of worry and uncertainty. Trust me you wouldn’t want to go near there, especially when you are on a holiday.

Risk a fraction of your equity

Successful traders know that trading is for the long haul. Your trading success isn’t determine by a few trades, rather it is determined by the next 10,000 trades you are going to take and how much risk you are putting on each trades.

You can have a trading system that wins 70% of the time, but if you are risking 50% of your account on each trade, your risk of ruin is certain.



I am sure you notice all casinos have table limits and do you wonder why?

It’s the same as trading, they are risking a fraction of their equity on every round of gamble. Their edge over the players is no more than 2-3% and if they are risking 20% of their equity on each gamble, their risk of ruin is almost certain.

Successful traders are looking to trade the markets over the next few decades. If you can keep you risk to a fraction of your equity then you are ensuring your longevity of being a trader.

Have an edge

When you have an edge in the market it means that you have a positive expectancy.

Expectancy = (Probability of Win * Average Win) – (Probability of Loss * Average Loss)

I can tell you honestly I took years to find out what my edge in the market is. I was like most traders out there, lurking at trading forums and checking new trading strategies. After 1 strategy failed, I will hop on to the next strategy rinse and repeat all over again.

And this is the cold hard truth, 95% of all trading systems posted on the internet do not have an edge. Which brings you to understand why 95% of traders fail to be consistently profitable.

You can have the best trading psychology in the world but if you trade without an edge, you will still lose over the long run due to spreads and commissions. You must find out what is your edge in the markets before anything else.

Have a trading plan

All successful traders that I’ve read about or come across have a trading plan that suits their personality. A trading plan helps you stay objective during the heat of trading and prepares you for all possible scenarios that could happen.

Your trading plan must answer the following questions

1. How much are you risking on each trade?
2. What markets are you trading?
3. How will you enter your trades?
4. How will you exit your trades if you right?
5. How will you exit your trades if you are wrong?

If you need more help, check out this post where I teach you How To Build A Trend Following Trading System.

Trade with the trend

This may not apply to all traders as there are some out there who are successful despite not trading with the trend. But majority of successful traders out there align their trading with the trend.

Imagine you are out in the open sea swimming against the current. I’m sure you know how difficult it takes to move from one point to the next if you are against the current. And how easy it is to move from one point to the next if you have the current behind your back.

Trading with the trend is like swimming out in the open sea, you want the trend behind your back so that it is easier to capture pips from one point to another.

Grit

Trading is one of the toughest endeavor you will ever experience. The markets doesn’t care if you are a 1st class honors graduate or a school drop out. If you don’t follow the rules, it will take away your money before you know it.

And there are many rules of trading that you will only learn about after years of trading the markets, that’s if you haven’t given up yet. This is why grit is the hallmark of all successful traders.

1. Martin Schwartz, a market wizard who became successful only after 9 years trading the financial markets
2. Michael Marcus, a market wizard who blew his first trading account and, went on to multiply his company account by 2500 fold over a 10 year period
3. Jesse Livermore, possibly the most famous speculator was declared bankrupt a number of times but, came back stronger and made $100 million during the great depression
4. Tony Saliba, a market wizard who almost lost his trading capital in 6 weeks and, went on to string 70 consecutive months of profits exceeding $100,000

Success in any field requires you to have fighting spirit to constantly overcome any obstacles in your way. Studies have shown that if you want to be successful, you must have Grit.

Discipline

I am sure you already know that discipline is paramount to being a successful trader. You cannot be discipline in your trading but remain undisciplined in your everyday life, it simply doesn’t work that way.

Thus to be a disciplined trader, it has to come from within you yourself and it will spill over to your trading. You must have the discipline to follow your trading plan religiously, continuously improve yourself, continuously learn about the markets, consistently execute your trades and to control your emotions.

If you have no discipline in the markets, you will do things that is detrimental to your trading account. Like failure to cut your losses, hopping from one trading system to the next or risking too big on a single trade. So how do you become discipline?

It all starts from within yourself and here are some of the things I do to make sure my discipline stays intact.

1. Always be punctual for any meetings whether it’s family, friends or colleagues
2. Have an exercise regime and stick to it, try lifting weights, running or cycling
3. Do housework on a weekly basis like washing toilets or mopping the floors
4. Make your bed every morning without fail
5. Wash your own dishes after every meal

Do things that don’t get you excited at first. But do it anyway because it will slowly change how you feel towards it and gradually learn to love it.

And just like trading you have to do all the little things that don’t get you excited, like developing your trading plan or continuously improve yourself. But slowly you find yourself getting better at it and your equity curve starts pointing in the right direction.

Conclusion

Successful trading is the sum of small efforts, repeated day in and day out – R Collier

These are my own findings after reading hundreds of trading books ,interacting with other traders and observing how they trade.

I don’t consider myself a successful trader, but I do know the fastest way is to learn from the best traders out there. I enjoy reading books like Market Wizards, interacting with other traders and following them on social media.

So, what do you think successful traders have in common?

Very Good Post, thanks!!

you're welcome pipolo