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Cesarnc's market talk, gossips, rumours & fun

  • #46,821
  • Jul 11, 2015 5:05pm Jul 11, 2015 5:05pm
Quoting Ill-b-back
{quote} and boom boom, just like that Sir, you make it look easy
....Well I lower the stop and almost got hit, then it went down again, let see where is going next week...

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....Monthly is a beauty but RSI is oversold, let see if it lags like they usually do....

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weekly is oversold too according to RSI, oh well is lock in profits so let it go where he wants to.....

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The Chonchy
  • #46,822
  • Jul 11, 2015 5:13pm Jul 11, 2015 5:13pm
...As soon as it opens I need to put a stop at +1 on one of this guys, and I hope it doesn't go up anymore, I hope to hit the 200 ema purple, let see...

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The Chonchy
  • #46,823
  • Jul 12, 2015 12:54am Jul 12, 2015 12:54am
Looking at current PA, I think we could be heading back to 61.8 fib around 1.57 area.

Probably some trailing stops just above the red line and it's the markets job to take them out.

What do you think Sir?
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  • #46,824
  • Jul 12, 2015 1:03am Jul 12, 2015 1:03am
Quoting Ill-b-back
Looking at current PA, I think we could be heading back to 61.8 fib around 1.57 area. Probably some trailing stops just above the red line and it's the markets job to take them out. What do you think Sir? {image} {image}
I will tell you this. As you already know technical analysis of any form is not 100% accurate. This will probably be one of those times because of Greece. The problem is that those that went long, if the market will gap lower their stops will not hold and incur a bigger loss. This is why it's always wise to keep an eye out on any major market events. I hope this makes sense.
  • #46,825
  • Jul 13, 2015 1:02am Jul 13, 2015 1:02am
Quoting limp
{quote} I will tell you this. As you already know technical analysis of any form is not 100% accurate. This will probably be one of those times because of Greece. The problem is that those that went long, if the market will gap lower their stops will not hold and incur a bigger loss. This is why it's always wise to keep an eye out on any major market events. I hope this makes sense.
Yes of course it makes sense, but looks like longs could make some money this week.

In the bigger cycles of things, we may get another brief risk on reprieve before the shit hits the fan and $ strength prevails on safe haven status.
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  • #46,826
  • Jul 13, 2015 3:51am Jul 13, 2015 3:51am
I am very skeptic about long eurusd or any euro pair for that matter. I know the charts but I think this is nothing but a technical illusion.
  • #46,827
  • Jul 13, 2015 4:04am Jul 13, 2015 4:04am
Quoting Ill-b-back
Looking at current PA, I think we could be heading back to 61.8 fib around 1.57 area. Probably some trailing stops just above the red line and it's the markets job to take them out. What do you think Sir? {image} {image}
...Yep... pump and dump style Sir. should work fine, entrie orders on those blue and red line should do the trick, the blue looks like a hard wall to cross, so stop a few pips over the blue line and is worse the risk.....good luck.....blue and magenta on my chart....

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The Chonchy
  • #46,828
  • Jul 13, 2015 4:07am Jul 13, 2015 4:07am
....If it pass the blue line it may go to the upper trend line of this channel, that is another good entrée Sir. but with all this Greece thing, and dollar as scape goat like you said, then who knows, tithe stops Sir. tithe stops that is all, and rinse and repeat.....

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The Chonchy
  • #46,829
  • Jul 13, 2015 4:10am Jul 13, 2015 4:10am
......I believe a last pump before the dump is in order, but is difficult to trade north with all the Greece drama, so I will wait to sale a rally, sale a rally sir., I think is the most advisable thing to do.....

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The Chonchy
  • #46,830
  • Jul 13, 2015 6:36pm Jul 13, 2015 6:36pm
Hard to tell Chonchy,
we got some rejection off resistance here.

Short term and long term 38.2 fibs sharing similar space also and showing rejection.
A closed break of the blue channel either way could tell the story Sir
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  • #46,831
  • Jul 13, 2015 7:27pm Jul 13, 2015 7:27pm
From a high TF tech perspective Sir it looks very bearish.

Bailout is not good for Euro which ever way I look at it(assuming ministers agree on it).

That Greek leader is a clown Sir, a very scary clown, like out of a Steven King novel Sir
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  • #46,832
  • Jul 13, 2015 7:30pm Jul 13, 2015 7:30pm
Quoting Ill-b-back
From a high TF tech perspective Sir it looks very bearish. Bailout is not good for Euro which ever way I look at it(assuming ministers agree on it). That Greek leader is a clown Sir, a very scary clown, like out of a Steven King novel Sir {image}
...Lol.... He is in deed....bearish in deed sir., just a bit me think....
The Chonchy
  • #46,833
  • Jul 13, 2015 10:38pm Jul 13, 2015 10:38pm
Quoting chonchy
{quote}...Lol.... He is in deed....bearish in deed sir., just a bit me think....
A retest of the breakout will be interesting to watch Sir
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  • #46,834
  • Jul 14, 2015 9:43am Jul 14, 2015 9:43am
Quoting Ill-b-back
{quote} A retest of the breakout will be interesting to watch Sir {image} {image}
It sure it is Sir., It sure it is....good call
The Chonchy
  • #46,835
  • Jul 14, 2015 3:48pm Jul 14, 2015 3:48pm
Looks like a death march to hell Sir
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  • #46,836
  • Jul 14, 2015 3:52pm Jul 14, 2015 3:52pm
Quoting chonchy
{quote} It sure it is Sir., It sure it is....good call
Thanks Sir, we will have to wait and see
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  • #46,837
  • Jul 14, 2015 11:25pm Jul 14, 2015 11:25pm
Quoting Ill-b-back
Looks like a death march to hell Sir {image}
yep that pair is going down......
The Chonchy
  • #46,838
  • Jul 15, 2015 3:45am Jul 15, 2015 3:45am
......G/U took a hit Sir. but is recovering fast, lol news mean nothing sometimes I guess, very bad numbers.....and is back 50%....
The Chonchy
  • #46,839
  • Jul 15, 2015 5:47am Jul 15, 2015 5:47am
Quoting chonchy
......G/U took a hit Sir. but is recovering fast, lol news mean nothing sometimes I guess, very bad numbers.....and is back 50%....
Give it a little time Sir, just needs to nudge up a little further into resistance, (61.8 retrace about 1.5698), then watch PA Sir.

US numbers yesterday were not good either but technically, we are retesting the weekly TL.

A close below the main 38.2 fib at 5569 will tell the story I think Sir.
Attached Image(s) (click to enlarge)
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  • #46,840
  • Jul 15, 2015 12:13pm Jul 15, 2015 12:13pm
Quoting Ill-b-back
{quote} Give it a little time Sir, just needs to nudge up a little further into resistance, (61.8 retrace about 1.5698), then watch PA Sir. US numbers yesterday were not good either but technically, we are retesting the weekly TL. A close below the main 38.2 fib at 5569 will tell the story I think Sir. {image} {image}
...Nice plan sir. nice analysis, like always....I need a retest of the weekly trend line...
The Chonchy
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