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Strat's Long Term Stress Free Trading

  • #20,461
  • Jun 21, 2015 2:30pm Jun 21, 2015 2:30pm
Quoting strat
AUDNZD {quote} Not being critical Wild Thing, just identifying other trades taken by PASR Trend Trading. Your trades are the green arrows #1 is a much earlier entry with PRICE closing above the Strat Shadow #2 is a "standard" entry off a bull flag #3 is a standard trend line break entry along with your trade with PRICE supported by the Strat Shadow #4 is another standard trend line break #5 is a standard breakout after a PAUSE But, of course, you knew all that. Still wondering what a crocodile with bad breath is? {image}


Thanks for your analysis Strat - the entry points you identified would have been smarter as a trend trade.


The crocodile quip just relates to my earlier post #20358 ("You must have crossed the river before you may tell the crocodile he has bad breath.")
  • #20,462
  • Edited 9:17pm Jun 22, 2015 8:51pm | Edited 9:17pm
Quoting strat
NZDCHF Double bottom and 75% of the ""W"" bottom formation. {image}

Hello Strat

I've been watching this pair for some time now - looking for a possible turn.

What do you mean by "75% of the ""W"" bottom formation" please?

The big picture still warrants caution imo

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We may have a "safer" looking bottom on the Aussie/Swiss

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Do you have any thoughts on these pairs?
  • #20,463
  • Jun 22, 2015 10:45pm Jun 22, 2015 10:45pm
Quoting trogger
{quote} Hello Strat I've been watching this pair for some time now - looking for a possible turn. What do you mean by "75% of the ""W"" bottom formation" please? The big picture still warrants caution imo {image} {image} We may have a "safer" looking bottom on the Aussie/Swiss {image} Do you have any thoughts on these pairs?
There are 4 lines to draw a " W "

3 out of 4 = 3/4 or 75%



PS: there are more rate cuts coming for NZD so if anything, be short term long and long term short for any NZD pair
MAY THE TREND BE WITH YOU
  • #20,464
  • Jun 23, 2015 8:57am Jun 23, 2015 8:57am
NZDCHF

Quoting trogger
{quote} Hello Strat I've been watching this pair for some time now - looking for a possible turn. What do you mean by "75% of the ""W"" bottom formation" please? The big picture still warrants caution imo {image} {image} We may have a "safer" looking bottom on the Aussie/Swiss {image} Do you have any thoughts on these pairs?
Wild Thing, many times a double bottom forms a "W" pattern and a double top forms an "M" pattern. In this case, we had 3 out of the 4 legs but the last bottom didn't hold so it never became a confirmed "W" or bottom.

Attached Image
15 YEARS OF PASR ON FOREX FACTORY!
  • #20,465
  • Jun 23, 2015 9:01am Jun 23, 2015 9:01am
AUDCHF

Quoting trogger
{quote} Hello Strat I've been watching this pair for some time now - looking for a possible turn. What do you mean by "75% of the ""W"" bottom formation" please? The big picture still warrants caution imo {image} {image} We may have a "safer" looking bottom on the Aussie/Swiss {image} Do you have any thoughts on these pairs?
The Worker is trying to put in a bottom but needs confirmation from the Boss. Let's SEE what this week brings.
15 YEARS OF PASR ON FOREX FACTORY!
  • #20,466
  • Jun 23, 2015 12:12pm Jun 23, 2015 12:12pm
GBPNZD

On April 01, 2015, I posted this for the membership on www.stratsforextrading.com:

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Here is what happened:

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459 pips just for following my recommendation
15 YEARS OF PASR ON FOREX FACTORY!
  • #20,467
  • Jun 25, 2015 12:34pm Jun 25, 2015 12:34pm
EURGBP

UP - DOWN - UP - DOWN - UP - DOWN - ?

Wonder where the rockets scientists are to figure out the next move

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15 YEARS OF PASR ON FOREX FACTORY!
  • #20,468
  • Jun 25, 2015 12:39pm Jun 25, 2015 12:39pm
EURJPY

Now lets SEE if those same rocket scientists can figure out the next move on this

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15 YEARS OF PASR ON FOREX FACTORY!
  • #20,469
  • Jun 25, 2015 12:49pm Jun 25, 2015 12:49pm
EURNZD

Now lets SEE if those same rocket scientists can figure out the next move on this

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15 YEARS OF PASR ON FOREX FACTORY!
  • #20,470
  • Jun 25, 2015 12:57pm Jun 25, 2015 12:57pm
GBPJPY

Now this will probably need a certified NASA rocket scientist

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15 YEARS OF PASR ON FOREX FACTORY!
  • #20,471
  • Jun 25, 2015 1:08pm Jun 25, 2015 1:08pm
GBPNZD

Now this one will need an ESA and NASA certified rocket scientist to figure out the next move

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15 YEARS OF PASR ON FOREX FACTORY!
  • #20,472
  • Jun 30, 2015 4:44pm Jun 30, 2015 4:44pm
Quoting strat
NZDJPY All hell could break loose if this support doesn't hold {image}
Yup.

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Our reserve bank governor will be one "happy chappy" this week, for sure!
  • #20,473
  • Jun 30, 2015 5:05pm Jun 30, 2015 5:05pm
Quoting trogger
{quote} Yup. {image} Our reserve bank governor will be one "happy chappy" this week, for sure!



Of course, I'm not entirely unhappy myself, having sold this thing at 93 back in Jan.


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Basis for entry was on the retrace after the hanging man warning on the weekly, 12/6/14.

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Took partial profit at 90 and again at 87 on the first run down. Held the final third, but foolishly didn't monitor the pair for another entry after the retrace in March/April and clear PA for another short.

Oh, well...
  • #20,474
  • Jun 30, 2015 5:15pm Jun 30, 2015 5:15pm
Quoting strat
AUDCHF {quote} The Worker is trying to put in a bottom but needs confirmation from the Boss. Let's SEE what this week brings.



Yup.


I like your emphasis on the word SEE


Now, patience has never been my virtue, so my speculative account is already long.

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Based on:


1. failure to form a new low past 4 weeks now.


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and

2. The BIG picture

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Remember - "If the trade is WRONG - ? - ? "
  • #20,475
  • Jun 30, 2015 5:36pm Jun 30, 2015 5:36pm
Quoting trogger
{quote} Current open positions {image} I don't expect to hold above 1.13 on this run - but you never know...



You just NEVER know...

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Say, is that a Mantis lurking...?
  • #20,476
  • Jun 30, 2015 5:42pm Jun 30, 2015 5:42pm
Quoting trogger
{quote} You just NEVER know... {image} Say, is that a Mantis lurking...?


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  • #20,477
  • Jun 30, 2015 7:59pm Jun 30, 2015 7:59pm
NZDJPY

Quoting trogger
{quote} Yup. Our reserve bank governor will be one "happy chappy" this week, for sure!
Watch for support on the 200
15 YEARS OF PASR ON FOREX FACTORY!
  • #20,478
  • Jun 30, 2015 8:03pm Jun 30, 2015 8:03pm
AUDCHF

Quoting trogger
{quote} Yup. I like your emphasis on the word SEE Now, patience has never been my virtue, so my speculative account is already long. {image} Based on: 1. failure to form a new low past 4 weeks now. {image} and 2. The BIG picture {image} Remember - "If the trade is WRONG - ? - ? "
I think you may be a little premature with your longs, Wild Thing, as all I SEE is Distribution
15 YEARS OF PASR ON FOREX FACTORY!
  • #20,479
  • Jun 30, 2015 8:07pm Jun 30, 2015 8:07pm
AUDNZD

Quoting trogger
{quote} You just NEVER know... {image} Say, is that a Mantis lurking...?
Since PRICE is now at the 200, it may start praying.
15 YEARS OF PASR ON FOREX FACTORY!
  • #20,480
  • Jul 1, 2015 7:16pm Jul 1, 2015 7:16pm
Quoting strat
AUDCHF {quote} I think you may be a little premature with your longs, Wild Thing, as all I SEE is Distribution

Yup. Speculative for long, but I don't see anything to suggest a short.

I think we are at make or break point right now, at 72.50

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Will monitor carefully and collect the roll in the meantime.

What do you mean by distribution Strat? Up and down between buyers and sellers?
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