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NZD/USD

  • #9,381
  • Jun 8, 2015 5:50am Jun 8, 2015 5:50am
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  • #9,382
  • Edited Jun 9, 2015 6:00pm Jun 8, 2015 6:45pm | Edited Jun 9, 2015 6:00pm
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NZ dollar pares gains as White House denies reported Obama comments, RBNZ awaited
https://nz.finance.yahoo.com/news/nz...064700806.html
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The only thing I am worrying is
Thurs, 11Jun2015, US Retail Sales m/m.
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  • #9,383
  • Jun 8, 2015 7:50pm Jun 8, 2015 7:50pm
UBS is expecting RBNZ to keep OCR unchanged. A rally the reckon? Must be hinting at a short squeeze.

http://www.efxnews.com/story/29254/r...ons-ubs-nomura
  • #9,384
  • Jun 8, 2015 9:00pm Jun 8, 2015 9:00pm
We now expect the RBNZ to cut the OCR later this year, most likely in September and October.

Markets Monthly. 03.06.15 ASB

Full report attached
Attached File(s)
File Type: pdf MM-May-2015II.pdf   239 KB | 212 downloads
  • #9,385
  • Jun 9, 2015 12:10am Jun 9, 2015 12:10am
Quoting ranimiro
We now expect the RBNZ to cut the OCR later this year, most likely in September and October. Markets Monthly. 03.06.15 ASB Full report attached {image}
Hmmm.. my guess is there'll be no short squeeze then! Ah well, closed my short position for some nice profits anyway - not bad for a rookie
  • #9,386
  • Jun 9, 2015 4:06am Jun 9, 2015 4:06am
ABC on wave 4
  • #9,387
  • Jun 9, 2015 5:46am Jun 9, 2015 5:46am
what do about the next step of RBNZ Rate Statement and Monetary Policy Statement??
  • #9,388
  • Jun 9, 2015 2:28pm Jun 9, 2015 2:28pm
http://www.efxnews.com/story/29265/r...-goldman-sachs
  • #9,389
  • Edited Jun 10, 2015 5:33pm Jun 9, 2015 9:59pm | Edited Jun 10, 2015 5:33pm
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  • #9,390
  • Jun 10, 2015 1:08am Jun 10, 2015 1:08am
Range trading for the next 3-4 weeks, before resuming downtrend.
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Elliott Wave for optimum entry, exit and risk management of trades
  • #9,391
  • Jun 10, 2015 1:25am Jun 10, 2015 1:25am
only ABC
  • #9,392
  • Jun 10, 2015 12:57pm Jun 10, 2015 12:57pm
Hey guys. Anyone think it's possible they can cut the rate today?
  • #9,393
  • Jun 10, 2015 1:51pm Jun 10, 2015 1:51pm
Quoting mikerock
Hey guys. Anyone think it's possible they can cut the rate today?
Of course you will find some.........

Summary:

This rate decision has been highly anticipated with some analysts expecting a cut and others a hold. Arguments on both sides of the camp have logic. On one side of the coin, inflation is low and the current OCR is high. On the other side of coin, oil has large influence on this low inflation. However even core inflation in New Zealand is at 1% y/y. Several major investment banks are calling for two rate cuts this year, proposing the first one at this meeting. At the same time many other financial institutions are expecting RBNZ to wait until later in the year, some of them citing overheating housing.

Of 14 economists polled by Reuters, most are expecting rates to remain on hold. However a handful are predicting a cut to 3.25%.

Despite whether or not there is a cut, a lot of attention will turn to the statements. On this occasion there will also be the quarterly Monetary Policy Statement which will likely provide deeper insights into the RBNZ’s interest rate plans. Given how close the rate cut call is, there is a good chance that even if they don’t cut, they will indicate the likelihood of a cut at coming meetings.
It takes a lot for me to IGNORE you, but you can try.
  • #9,394
  • Jun 10, 2015 2:06pm Jun 10, 2015 2:06pm
Thanks Axitrader, huge gaps in GBPNZD, EURNZD
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It takes a lot for me to IGNORE you, but you can try.
  • #9,395
  • Jun 10, 2015 2:10pm Jun 10, 2015 2:10pm
Quoting Erebus
Thanks Axitrader, huge gaps in GBPNZD, EURNZD {image}
Love AxiTrader! Made a hefty profit this morning
  • #9,396
  • Jun 10, 2015 2:11pm Jun 10, 2015 2:11pm
Quoting Dano12
only ABC
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  • #9,397
  • Edited 7:27pm Jun 10, 2015 5:54pm | Edited 7:27pm
Monetary Policy Statement
http://www.rbnz.govt.nz/monetary_pol...icy_statement/

Current Monetary Policy Statement
the pdf file and below files
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Exchange rates & TWI
B1 Daily (2014–current) (XLS >400KB)
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I think I need to read the may2015 stability report again for further understanding of the NZD/USD future direction.

Current Financial Stability Report
http://www.rbnz.govt.nz/financial_st...bility_report/
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I have bought NZD back at about 0.703x in this morning.

I will sell bits before US retail sales.
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Now we have the width about 750 points between AUD/USD and NZD/USD : recently, normally, about 560 points.
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  • #9,398
  • Edited Jun 11, 2015 6:49pm Jun 10, 2015 8:28pm | Edited Jun 11, 2015 6:49pm
The Reserve Bank has indicated it may cut interest rates once more - but some economists believe there could be more than that
http://www.interest.co.nz/bonds/7591...omists-believe
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RBNZ's Wheeler says inflation indicators, commodities, currency are key to interest rate track
http://www.forexfactory.com/showthre...58#post8319258
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  • #9,399
  • Jun 11, 2015 12:48am Jun 11, 2015 12:48am
will cut interest rates again only know when
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  • #9,400
  • Jun 11, 2015 1:12am Jun 11, 2015 1:12am
Good day,
Just a quick one to those traders who traded the RBNZ rate news earlier. My trading platform was frozen for 4 minutes after the news was released. Is this normal?
Im concerned because I place pending buy and sell stop orders and both orders can be triggered during this time that that the platform is frozen.
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