GN (dangerous CT - catching a shooting arrow?) M30 div & extended ADR & near W1 res & assumed there would be a H&S +160+160+160+160+160pips (back to RN - rough values) {image}
Most days it doesn't seem to matter what I do, I'm on the wrong side of the trade. 
{quote} I just don't understand how you do this.
that is why probability is the closest thing you can have... set your R:R b/w 1:1 and 1:2 (or better) and in the long run you should be ok {quote} start thinking like a 'market maker'... say you want to move the market higher but you need the funds to do so - how can you achieve this goal? well if the chart says PA should be breaking high you slam it short - but it may be that that itself sets off a chain reaction and shorts the market - no one can dictate PA (IMO) absolutely
Hello there Noticed that this thread is a branch of main TMS thread, but using M30 specifically. Anything special about this timeframe? Seems suitable for me, M15 is too short and H1 is too long
{quote} If I'm thinking like a market maker, and I want to move the market higher, I need to push the price DOWN to create the orders / liquidity that I need to buy into. I don't believe that market makers set off accidental chain reactions. They know exactly where they want price to go and will take it in that direction.
... its like the market is a living thing and not a machine ??? who knows ???
GN (dangerous CT - catching a shooting arrow?
Hello there Noticed that this thread is a branch of main TMS thread, but using M30 specifically. Anything special about this timeframe? Seems suitable for me, M15 is too short and H1 is too long
{quote} a number of reasons ... one is red news hits on the M30 - M30 covers the top of the H1 - perfect...
{quote} I'm okay with disagreeing... I have a hell of a lot of respect for your trading ability. However, I do still believe that major banks manipulate the market and that absolutely nothing happen by accident, nor art any moves coincidental. No hard feelings whatsoever....!
... 
. until it breaks out of range. a short would be nice {quote} yeah, there always seems like someone is pushing the buttons - you are still my buddy
{quote} Thanks GS.... you know I feel the same about you ! And I can't argue with your trading strategy.... you are killing it, my man !!!
{quote} retail traders are successful at predicting the direction of most pairs (b/w around 50% - 70% for popular pairs) - so you have to ask yourself why is there so many that lose their account - it is because they have much larger losers than these winners. Simple answers is to set your R:R above 1:1. it does not have to be 1:20 etc just better than even
{quote} Agreed. I've got the position sizing / money mgm / R:R locked in. It's my entries that suck !
{quote} you are an excellent PA trader SK??? I have seen it many times...
{quote} Yep, I'm targeting the swing high also. However, on my chart, the close of the previous 30m candle appears to have caused the tdi to cross and is above the 50.
