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  • #1
  • First Post: Edited 9:38pm Apr 18, 2015 9:21pm | Edited 9:38pm
السلام عليكم ورحمة الله وبركاته
هنا شرح منهجيتي والتي من خلالها يمكن تحقيق 100% شهرياً
Hi all

EUR.AUD = EUR.USD / AUD.USD
is it true?

MyTheory: analyze "Dolaric pairs" and put positions on "Non-Dolaric pairs"
according to above eq.
EURAUD is nondolaric, since the USD is not part of it.
AUDUSD is dolaric
EURUSD is dolaric

when you analyze two pairs it is more safety. but you will take positions on the non-dolaric pair associated with both two dolaric ones.



nondolaric pairs move more faster than dolarics.
  • #2
  • Edited 10:17pm Apr 18, 2015 9:41pm | Edited 10:17pm
assume AUD USD on doube top and EUR USD showing double bottom

usually they will go oppositly

if you win 100 pips for either on of them, it is good. but it is better tp engage in EUR.AUD
EURAUD=EURUSD/AUDUSD

it will be faster and safer.
  • #3
  • Apr 18, 2015 10:18pm Apr 18, 2015 10:18pm
Alraqeem i looked into this a while back but often made the wrong calls. hopefully you will do better. good luck
  • #4
  • Apr 18, 2015 10:33pm Apr 18, 2015 10:33pm
http://store2.up-00.com/2015-03/1425574528671.png
  • #5
  • Apr 18, 2015 10:34pm Apr 18, 2015 10:34pm
our system depends on last table, dolaric and non-dolaric pairs.
Mathematical relationships

there are 8 cases:
++ case
- -
- +
+ -
0 -
- 0
+ 0
0 +
  • #6
  • Apr 18, 2015 10:36pm Apr 18, 2015 10:36pm
try it gain Kraven
it simply based on mathematical relations
there are 8 cases: ++ -- +- -+ 0- -0 +0 0+ according to schedule
  • #7
  • Apr 18, 2015 10:42pm Apr 18, 2015 10:42pm
case-1
+ +
first plus and second plus
assume EUR.NZD pair

eur first --- connection with USD = EUR.USD
nzd second -- connection with USD = NZD.USD

but eur.nzd is EURUSD/NZDUSD

prove
EURUSD/NZDUSD = (EUR/USD)/(NZD/USD) = (USD*EUR)/ (USD*NZD) = EUR/NZD = EUR.NZD

so in ++ ---- means when eurusd goes up and also nzd usd goes up. what will happen to eurnzd.

in table above when both move 100 pips up ---- N=100, D=100, EURNZD will moves down 66.9 pips
  • #8
  • Apr 18, 2015 10:45pm Apr 18, 2015 10:45pm
what will happen in case: + -

in this case eurusd goes up 100 pips
NZDUSD goes down 100 pips

eurnzd according to table will go up 338 PIPS

so for eurnzd we ignore all market possibilities except case + -

or - +

it will be a good and strong move.
  • #9
  • Apr 19, 2015 1:29am Apr 19, 2015 1:29am
this graphic shows your theory, picture tells 1,000 words

it is on the internet at several sites for long time

good luck, it will work if Price Action is right

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: 19-04-2015 4-23-46 PM.png Size: 836 KB
It takes a lot for me to IGNORE you, but you can try.
  • #10
  • Apr 19, 2015 4:46am Apr 19, 2015 4:46am
Quoting Alraqeem
case-1 + + first plus and second plus assume EUR.NZD pair eur first --- connection with USD = EUR.USD nzd second -- connection with USD = NZD.USD but eur.nzd is EURUSD/NZDUSD prove EURUSD/NZDUSD = (EUR/USD)/(NZD/USD) = (USD*EUR)/ (USD*NZD) = EUR/NZD = EUR.NZD so in ++ ---- means when eurusd goes up and also nzd usd goes up. what will happen to eurnzd. in table above when both move 100 pips up ---- N=100, D=100, EURNZD will moves down 66.9 pips
Some traders will do the opposite, I mean based on the cross pair move they will trade the two individual pairs.
So if EUR/NZD is Up they will buy EUR/USD and Sell NZD/USD, now both pairs combined can get you a good target.

Notice also that spread on crosses is higher than spread on majors, and margin requirement is also different.

All will work if your analysis was right.
No guts, no glory
  • #11
  • Apr 19, 2015 9:37am Apr 19, 2015 9:37am
Quoting Erebus
this graphic shows your theory, picture tells 1,000 words it is on the internet at several sites for long time good luck, it will work if Price Action is right
thax, especially for photo.
in our photo we study 8 possible cases for all "non-dolaric" pairs. You call it CROSS. we forbid using this word "CROSS" -- it is either DOLLARiC or NON-DOLLARIC. we who coin these "Terms"

lOTS: we do not select the size of our positions haphazardly in rough and satirical way -
it should be calculated according to equation:

http://store2.up-00.com/2015-03/1425460530911.png

anyhow, rough work is not allowed. we should not behave like idols!
  • #12
  • Apr 19, 2015 9:42am Apr 19, 2015 9:42am
Quoting abokwaik
{quote} Some traders will do the opposite, I mean based on the cross pair move they will trade the two individual pairs. So if EUR/NZD is Up they will buy EUR/USD and Sell NZD/USD, now both pairs combined can get you a good target. Notice also that spread on crosses is higher than spread on majors, and margin requirement is also different. All will work if your analysis was right.
THX dear

what is better? eurnzd or eurusd+nzdusd??
for margin will be doubled in last case
for spread will be additive in the last case!

what is safer if you analyse dolarric pairs and engage in Non-dollaric pairs

ABSOLUTELY EURNZD. it depends on two technical analysis. NOT ONE

http://store1.up-00.com/2015-03/142555844091.png

what is better nzdusd with 99 pips or eurnzd with 150 pips ??
  • #13
  • Apr 19, 2015 10:40am Apr 19, 2015 10:40am
i depends on basic analysis; news+most famous indicators either priori or posteriori indicators.
1) NEWS
2) DMA: Dynamic Moving Average (nonlinear trend)
3) MA-100 simple
4) AO: Awesome Oscillator - built-in meta-trader
5) RSI-14
6) T S/R : TREND SUPPORT/RESISTANCE
7) H S/R : HORIZONTAL SUPPORT/RESISTANCE
8) STUPIDITY
http://alshalfx.com/vb/attachment.ph...1&d=1429371833
  • #14
  • Apr 19, 2015 10:46am Apr 19, 2015 10:46am
Quoting Alraqeem
1) NEWS
only 4 categories:
1) inflation (aud+nzd+cad+gbp+usd)
2) employment (aud+nzd+cad+gbp+usd)
3) interest rates (aud+nzd+cad+gbp+usd)
4) Growth (aud+nzd+cad+gbp)
-------
  • #15
  • Apr 19, 2015 10:51am Apr 19, 2015 10:51am
these news we can get 100 pips twice:
1) Direct way during news
2) indirect way: Mathematical way. (after news)
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: 001.png Size: 33 KB
  • #16
  • Apr 19, 2015 11:09am Apr 19, 2015 11:09am
Quoting Alraqeem
{quote} THX dear what is better? eurnzd or eurusd+nzdusd?? for margin will be doubled in last case for spread will be additive in the last case! what is safer if you analyse dolarric pairs and engage in Non-dollaric pairs ABSOLUTELY EURNZD. it depends on two technical analysis. NOT ONE {image} what is better nzdusd with 99 pips or eurnzd with 150 pips ??
Thanks,


Its just my opinion, I could be wrong, and as I said earlier both ways can be traded.

As for spread : On my platform (FXDD) current EU spread is 1.5 NU is 3.4 (Avg = 2.5) while EN = 6.5 (worse).
As for Required Margin : EU 540, NU 385 (avg 462) while EN = 540 (worse)

Now which is safer ?

In my opinion trading 2 pairs is safer than trading one pair, specially in this case as we will be hedging the dollar. So if we loose our loss will be limited.

Which can generate more profit?

I think EN can generate higher profit (as it moves faster), but with higher risk.

Green Pips,

Khalil

EDIT : Fixed some typing errors
No guts, no glory
  • #17
  • Apr 19, 2015 11:51am Apr 19, 2015 11:51am
Quoting abokwaik
{quote} Thanks, Its just my opinion, I could be wrong, and as I said earlier both ways can be traded. As for spread : On my platform (FXDD) current EU spread is 1.5 NU is 3.4 (Avg = 2.5) while EN = 6.5 (worse). As for Required Margin : EU 540, NU 385 (avg 462) while EN = 540 (worse) Now which is safer ? In my opinion trading 2 pairs is safer than trading one pair, specially in this case as we will be hedging the dollar. So if we loose our loss will be limited. Which can generate more profit? I think EN can generate higher profit (as it moves faster),...
nothing wrong in deep and scientific discussions.

but if you read again previous posts, we said we cannot take position in eurnzd for example until we analyze two pairs. this is the safety aspect. we don not mean movement itself.
it something like "double check"

and according to table almost eurnzd is a "slave" or follower to NZDUSD rather than EURUSD.

it is a matter of deliberate analysis.
  • #18
  • Apr 19, 2015 11:54am Apr 19, 2015 11:54am
Quoting abokwaik
{quote}
As for spread : On my platform (FXDD) current EU spread is 1.5 NU is 3.4 (Avg = 2.5) while EN = 6.5 (worse).
As for Required Margin : EU 540, NU 385 (avg 462) while EN = 540 (worse)
there are some mistakes here. do not take avg, but take the summation since you lose spread for each position: = 1.5+3.4 = 4.9
and for margin also add them: 540+385.

and yes we are cencelling USD - "Hedging USD"
  • #19
  • Apr 19, 2015 11:56am Apr 19, 2015 11:56am
CHECK PICT BELOW:

what is better:

engaging in 2 dollaric pairs: GBPUSD+USDCHF
or taking on position on trier collective pair GBPCHF <------ NON-DOLLARIC

REMEMBER: we do not take short position until we analyse TWO dollaric pairs!
one of them show opposite to our guess. but other cancel some of its negative affect.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: 000.png Size: 44 KB
  • #20
  • Apr 19, 2015 12:01pm Apr 19, 2015 12:01pm
RULE: if you want to taKe long position on GBPCHF, please do not analyse GBPCHF. Do not open its chart. it is a mathematical pair. it is not technical pair.

you do not need to open its chart at all.
only analyze its related dollaric pairs: GBPUSD + USDCHF, then decide on strong technical points. and make calculations to get mathematical point for GBPCHF
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