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  • #8,101
  • Apr 8, 2015 2:42pm Apr 8, 2015 2:42pm
Quoting StrayDog
It's hawkish overall. Definitely keeps a June hike on the table
Maybe so but market reaction is just ho-hum. I don't think anybody believes the Fed wants to hike the ffr & any further weak econ data will reinforce that view. I also think oil swings the market to an abnormal extent - US indices will not break out upside unless crude is rising, too.

I am filling short SPY verticals 1 at a time....annoying. I should have put in all or none....
"If The Fool persists in his Folly he will become wise." - William Blake
  • #8,102
  • Apr 8, 2015 2:46pm Apr 8, 2015 2:46pm
FXI loves loose CB monee
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"If The Fool persists in his Folly he will become wise." - William Blake
  • #8,103
  • Apr 8, 2015 3:00pm Apr 8, 2015 3:00pm
Quoting The Fool
{quote} Maybe so but market reaction is just ho-hum. I don't think anybody believes the Fed wants to hike the ffr & any further weak econ data will reinforce that view. I also think oil swings the market to an abnormal extent - US indices will not break out upside unless crude is rising, too. I am filling short SPY verticals 1 at a time....annoying. I should have put in all or none....
I just added a bit to my SPY May 212/214 bear call spreads... for $0.65 CR
Hope is dangerous in this game.
  • #8,104
  • Apr 8, 2015 3:19pm Apr 8, 2015 3:19pm
UVXY on the way to $12.xx, then $0.00....my $54 mio trade is doing well, so far

http://blogs.barrons.com/focusonfund...rrons&ru=yahoo
"If The Fool persists in his Folly he will become wise." - William Blake
  • #8,105
  • Apr 8, 2015 4:03pm Apr 8, 2015 4:03pm
Quoting The Fool
{quote} Maybe so but market reaction is just ho-hum. I don't think anybody believes the Fed wants to hike the ffr & any further weak econ data will reinforce that view. I also think oil swings the market to an abnormal extent - US indices will not break out upside unless crude is rising, too. I am filling short SPY verticals 1 at a time....annoying. I should have put in all or none....
think it may test the highs once more, DOW finished slightly bullish not by much but it did. Difficult one to read
  • #8,106
  • Apr 8, 2015 7:05pm Apr 8, 2015 7:05pm
Quoting Cecil Gee
{quote} think it may test the highs once more, DOW finished slightly bullish not by much but it did. Difficult one to read
oh no US indices are definitely headed higher, now that I have a SPY short call vertical spread on....
"If The Fool persists in his Folly he will become wise." - William Blake
  • #8,107
  • Apr 8, 2015 7:17pm Apr 8, 2015 7:17pm
....the DOW has been up in April an average of 3.1% every year since 2006. April is the best-performing month for the DOW since 1950.
"If The Fool persists in his Folly he will become wise." - William Blake
  • #8,108
  • Apr 8, 2015 9:25pm Apr 8, 2015 9:25pm
Go East, Young Man.
http://finance.yahoo.com/news/video-...010847696.html
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"If The Fool persists in his Folly he will become wise." - William Blake
  • #8,109
  • Apr 9, 2015 8:55am Apr 9, 2015 8:55am
I filled a USO May/May4 $20 call calendar for $0.07
"If The Fool persists in his Folly he will become wise." - William Blake
  • #8,110
  • Apr 9, 2015 9:15am Apr 9, 2015 9:15am
Quoting The Fool
I filled a USO May/May4 $20 call calendar for $0.07
Hey TF... I see that on platform.
Hope is dangerous in this game.
  • #8,111
  • Apr 9, 2015 9:42am Apr 9, 2015 9:42am
Quoting The Fool
{quote} oh no US indices are definitely headed higher, now that I have a SPY short call vertical spread on....
there's still life in that short, we will know in the next 2 hours
  • #8,112
  • Apr 9, 2015 9:51am Apr 9, 2015 9:51am
Quoting Cecil Gee
{quote} got the close below it now next level is to close below 17805 on the DOW and then we should see some good bear action for the remainder of the month
some wild swings in the DOW, anyhow we finish below the 17805 today then I'm expecting a 200 plus point drop tomorrow back to where we were at in the DOW futures last Friday, with any luck we may even get that today
  • #8,113
  • Apr 9, 2015 10:56am Apr 9, 2015 10:56am
Quoting Cecil Gee
{quote} some wild swings in the DOW, anyhow we finish below the 17805 today then I'm expecting a 200 plus point drop tomorrow back to where we were at in the DOW futures last Friday, with any luck we may even get that today
we got close to 17805 again a few minutes ago on the DOW futures then it bounced again, same level from yesterdays FOMC minutes, would like it to close near that level which would show bear attention for tomorrow or next week, IF it finishes above 17889 then bulls have it, this is hard to call
  • #8,114
  • Edited 11:23am Apr 9, 2015 11:12am | Edited 11:23am
Quoting Cecil Gee
... this is hard to call
It sure is, CG... looking at 4h doji candle on SPX... price right at the middle, with less than an hour left.
Indecisive PA, but it will break up or down from the range... small one, 2072 - 2090 on SPX cash. All week inside the range, after that Monday spike.
Could a strong $ play some role in downside action? Just wandering...
Oil down, AA down 4%+
Hope is dangerous in this game.
  • #8,115
  • Apr 9, 2015 12:02pm Apr 9, 2015 12:02pm
Actually, crude is on the move now... wild, wild shit...
Hope is dangerous in this game.
  • #8,116
  • Apr 9, 2015 12:05pm Apr 9, 2015 12:05pm
Quoting StrayDog
Just wandering...
I am losing interest in trading. Is there still time for me to become a highly paid male prostitute?
"If The Fool persists in his Folly he will become wise." - William Blake
  • #8,117
  • Apr 9, 2015 12:20pm Apr 9, 2015 12:20pm
Quoting The Fool
{quote} I am losing interest in trading. Is there still time for me to become a highly paid male prostitute?


I guess there are people out there who love mature guys?

Hilarious comment TF!!!
Hope is dangerous in this game.
  • #8,118
  • Apr 9, 2015 12:41pm Apr 9, 2015 12:41pm
Quoting StrayDog
!!!
sigh....too old to be a gigolo, too poor to be a Sugar Daddy.

I totally missed the boat on the Chinese stock rally, have been watching with envy. Also missed PBR making a nice little run, had wanted to be in that long, never got there....

...still eyeing lotto tickets long UVXY...
"If The Fool persists in his Folly he will become wise." - William Blake
  • #8,119
  • Apr 9, 2015 1:00pm Apr 9, 2015 1:00pm
15 minute TF showing we may make a fall down to 17805 providing we get past 17818, price is 17896 at the minute
  • #8,120
  • Apr 9, 2015 1:42pm Apr 9, 2015 1:42pm
I have been surprised by the down move for the long bond (TLT) over the last few days. I guess bond traders are not convinced the Fed won't raise rates sooner than later.

Email from T. Preston today suggests a $126/$136 May short strangle...but I don't trust that, not enough premium out there, anyway.
"If The Fool persists in his Folly he will become wise." - William Blake
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