{quote} DAX crash is coming soon.
"I know one thing, that I know nothing." Sokrates
- #8,541
- Mar 19, 2015 11:16pm Mar 19, 2015 11:16pm
- Joined Jul 2009 | Status: Winter is coming. Ask Kondratieff. | 8,196 Posts
- #8,542
- Mar 19, 2015 11:19pm Mar 19, 2015 11:19pm
- Joined Mar 2012 | Status: Trader | 10,087 Posts
{quote} Yes, but soon is relative term. We have a decade levels breaking all over the place. USDX breaking 12 years highs every day - UJ just did, EU 5 year low, Oil approaching 2K8, Nikkei all time and DAX the leading king bubble since ECB QE. I know its gonna pop, SL ready
- #8,543
- Mar 19, 2015 11:25pm Mar 19, 2015 11:25pm
- Joined Jul 2009 | Status: Winter is coming. Ask Kondratieff. | 8,196 Posts
"I know one thing, that I know nothing." Sokrates
- #8,545
- Mar 19, 2015 11:37pm Mar 19, 2015 11:37pm
- Joined Jul 2009 | Status: Winter is coming. Ask Kondratieff. | 8,196 Posts
may i ask you what is your reason for buying in may EU ?
. Long story short, am nuts and watching megacycle. I have posted few numbers somwhere here, gimme few sec to find it, is just to have a look, really cant fit it in here. FA reasons mostly cash flow correlations.
"I know one thing, that I know nothing." Sokrates
- #8,546
- Edited Mar 20, 2015 12:02am Mar 19, 2015 11:39pm | Edited Mar 20, 2015 12:02am
- Joined Jul 2009 | Status: Winter is coming. Ask Kondratieff. | 8,196 Posts
This is one of those nuts cycles, but am counting more numbers, this is just one wave selection.
Edit: Btw, stop hunting my stops! Now, I command you. GU m15 holds h4 level, nikkei M15 reverses HC mid.
... Man.. you really want them, dont you? I got next S right here at 178,112
... Nikkei! finally moved, touched daily marker..tryin break.. but could be last wave befor push to your target
- I must admit it would be perf intraday correction.
Edit: Btw, stop hunting my stops! Now, I command you. GU m15 holds h4 level, nikkei M15 reverses HC mid.
... Man.. you really want them, dont you? I got next S right here at 178,112
... Nikkei! finally moved, touched daily marker..tryin break.. but could be last wave befor push to your target
- I must admit it would be perf intraday correction.If you wish, in the meanwhile you can gaze at the same numbers as me. Am just watching this mofo cycle. Ooommm. Gotta do some counting, but seems is about to finish. I think @ end of May, but timing is usually fail. These are Onanda data daily closes. Wave recognition 27% retracement and 1500 pips. {image} {image} {image}
"I know one thing, that I know nothing." Sokrates
- #8,547
- Mar 20, 2015 12:01am Mar 20, 2015 12:01am
- Joined Mar 2012 | Status: Trader | 10,087 Posts
{quote} Oh, you may, but is such a long topic I think am not able to manage to fit it in one post now. Am gonna prepare essay which will be finished till May
how would you calculate your chart if this chart is right ???
- #8,548
- Edited 12:36am Mar 20, 2015 12:07am | Edited 12:36am
- Joined Jul 2009 | Status: Winter is coming. Ask Kondratieff. | 8,196 Posts
{quote} interesting reading how would you calculate your chart if this chart is right ??? {image}
and prolly continue to LO, coz am not tired. Cant help myself. But will send you numbers prolly till weekend. Depends how fast I can put timeserie into that script. Am actually not very good with PCs and stuff.Ofc prefere *.csv, but *.txt is more challenging, because I wanna update my program so he can chew whatever I insert
Edit: Is very interesting how much your chart differs though. I have Onanda data. Know they use some currency basket pre ecu. Ah that data...still the same. but think since ecu it can be somewhat trusted.
One more edit: See, I am watching strength of waves both relative and absolute, actually aint interested in that wannabe channel in there and this is megalong cycle. Long term am watching those correlations and latest decade data, although twisted as usuall, are more precise.
Edit: and now cmon, Nikkei running for highs, Yen dont screw me over!
See, I also need to be awake to see that Daxie gap. Need stocks to go up. I know I shouldnt say "need" but I have crystal ball....and force
.Edit: Man, 177,75 still valid intraday, Nikkis almost 19500 and Geppy stuck, may correct soon :/. Nikkis corrects - Geppy unstuck.
"I know one thing, that I know nothing." Sokrates
- #8,551
- Edited 1:19am Mar 20, 2015 1:05am | Edited 1:19am
- Joined Jul 2009 | Status: Winter is coming. Ask Kondratieff. | 8,196 Posts
GU may wanna test 1,474 - was the GJ pull, but so far h4 support holds. Geppy h1 intraday pretty bad for bulls also. Seems wanna correct. Lucky Nikkis running and running. Dont stop!
Edit: Well ok, I TP Nikkis. Am not that much greedy.. could be wrong, but I dont like Japans (type of ninja investing), prefere Germans
Edit: GU m15 hold h4 level..boiinnng.. but still, we are prolly headed lower, to Schicks 177,756 :/ (Or one pip off my stops). But now also Daily hit on UJ, another support, so, range could hold and we wont get last intraday wave down and continue with 178,4 break.
Edit: Well ok, I TP Nikkis. Am not that much greedy.. could be wrong, but I dont like Japans (type of ninja investing), prefere Germans
Edit: GU m15 hold h4 level..boiinnng.. but still, we are prolly headed lower, to Schicks 177,756 :/ (Or one pip off my stops
). But now also Daily hit on UJ, another support, so, range could hold and we wont get last intraday wave down and continue with 178,4 break.
"I know one thing, that I know nothing." Sokrates
- #8,552
- Mar 20, 2015 1:43am Mar 20, 2015 1:43am
- Joined Jun 2010 | Status: zero | 20,603 Posts
{quote} DAX crash is coming soon. Watch Bund is near 160.00! Mathematic tech wise she can't go higher as 160.00 - highest high was 159.11 until now. LOL www.elliottwave.com is counting bund chart above 160.00- and 159.11 is the end of wave 3. last year i said go long on DAX @ 8.500 and go to the beach..... but oktober was to cold to go to the beach here in germany
Hi Schickeria,
she can go higher, when the 10 year bund drifts to negative territory. Example -1% would result in 170, -2% would result in 180 and so on.
That would be clearly the case in a severe deflationary scenario
Since neither the FED nor Abe was able to spur inflation, why should the ECB be able?
- #8,554
- Mar 20, 2015 1:49am Mar 20, 2015 1:49am
- Joined Jan 2014 | Status: Less is more ... | 9,059 Posts
Fix up, trade sharp ...
- #8,555
- Edited 2:05am Mar 20, 2015 1:54am | Edited 2:05am
- Joined Jul 2009 | Status: Winter is coming. Ask Kondratieff. | 8,196 Posts
{quote} Hi Schickeria, she can go higher, when the 10 year bund drifts to negative territory. Example -1% would result in 170, -2% would result in 180 and so on. That would be clearly the case in a severe deflationary scenario Since neither the FED nor Abe was able to spur inflation, why should the ECB be able?
Edit: Omfg that Dax Gap! Should be other way, would be dead... Fkin timezones.
"I know one thing, that I know nothing." Sokrates
- #8,556
- Edited 2:35am Mar 20, 2015 2:10am | Edited 2:35am
- Joined Jul 2009 | Status: Winter is coming. Ask Kondratieff. | 8,196 Posts
GU may wanna test 1,474 - was the GJ pull, but so far h4 support holds. Geppy h1 intraday pretty bad for bulls also. Seems wanna correct. Lucky Nikkis running and running. Dont stop!
edit: lol - low on my chart 1,47403 - 3 piplettes
. Nicey bouncey.
"I know one thing, that I know nothing." Sokrates
- #8,557
- Mar 20, 2015 2:13am Mar 20, 2015 2:13am
- Joined Jan 2014 | Status: Less is more ... | 9,059 Posts
Fix up, trade sharp ...
- #8,559
- Mar 20, 2015 2:21am Mar 20, 2015 2:21am
- Joined Jan 2014 | Status: Less is more ... | 9,059 Posts
Fix up, trade sharp ...
- #8,560
- Mar 20, 2015 2:28am Mar 20, 2015 2:28am
- Joined Jan 2014 | Status: Less is more ... | 9,059 Posts
Fix up, trade sharp ...