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NZD/USD

  • #8,901
  • Mar 16, 2015 1:11pm Mar 16, 2015 1:11pm
sell limit target is .7392
  • #8,902
  • Mar 16, 2015 4:15pm Mar 16, 2015 4:15pm
Quoting BankerUZB
looks like nzd/usd is going to drop for 30+ pips now sell limit target is .7392
??
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Patience is key
  • #8,903
  • Mar 16, 2015 4:37pm Mar 16, 2015 4:37pm
HAHAH LOL!
  • #8,904
  • Mar 16, 2015 4:47pm Mar 16, 2015 4:47pm
Quoting seenkat
{quote} Completely agree. LT bearish, ST bullish. No commodity ccy central banks are divvying out 3.50% returns. NZD will see an inflow of foreign currency in exchange for theirs (also, slow China growth, less importing, possible easing to come). The fact that the RBNZ held rates while BoC and RBA cut is surprising; keep a close eye on oil, precious metals, and the GDT Index - aka their dairy index (print on Tuesday). On the other hand, the FOMC statement is Wednesday - a complete and utter curveball if you ask me. NZDUSD is yet to find an equilibrium...

Very nice analysis, thanks.
  • #8,905
  • Mar 16, 2015 5:50pm Mar 16, 2015 5:50pm
Quoting pbylina
I'm calling the top. {image}
On a 5 Minute chart?

You're my new hero

MAY THE TREND BE WITH YOU
  • #8,906
  • Mar 16, 2015 7:18pm Mar 16, 2015 7:18pm
Quoting Tradezilla
{quote} Very nice analysis, thanks.
Thank you, sir. Here is another chart generated on a daily time duration with a few more comments.
RBA Minutes at 8:30PM EST - to all, be careful

@Erebus - hahahah
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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Patience is key
  • #8,907
  • Edited 10:23pm Mar 16, 2015 9:48pm | Edited 10:23pm
Quoting Erebus
you got it right {image} {image}
Hi Erebus,

there is a nice picture regarding correlations. I just wonder you posted a part of it and didnt give away the whole piece. I believe its just fair if you use intellectual property of somebody else its appropriate to give him/her/them credit for their work, isnt it?

Source: http://www.fxkeys.com/currency-pairs...urrency-pairs/
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  • #8,908
  • Mar 16, 2015 10:22pm Mar 16, 2015 10:22pm
Quoting FX-Ray
{quote} Hi Erebus, there is a nice picture regarding correlations. I just wonder you just posted a part of it and dont give away the whole piece. I believe its just fair if you use intellectual property of somebody else its appropriate to give them credit for their work, isnt it? Source: http://www.fxkeys.com/currency-pairs...urrency-pairs/ {image}

Thank you
There is a winner and a loser, nothing in between.
  • #8,909
  • Mar 16, 2015 10:34pm Mar 16, 2015 10:34pm
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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There is a winner and a loser, nothing in between.
  • #8,910
  • Edited 10:55pm Mar 16, 2015 10:51pm | Edited 10:55pm
Quoting FX-Ray
{quote} Hi Erebus, there is a nice picture regarding correlations. I just wonder you posted a part of it and didnt give away the whole piece. I believe its just fair if you use intellectual property of somebody else its appropriate to give him/her/them credit for their work, isnt it? Source: http://www.fxkeys.com/currency-pairs...urrency-pairs/ {image}
Thanks for the advice

the source is right there in the watermark

so who it belong to?

Also this from the RULES

VII. No commercial agendas

Members may not use Forex Factory to promote a product or service, either their own or someone else's. This includes products or services that are planned for the future. If a member's posts can link them to a forex-related company, they're in violation of this code.

Members who are focused on a product or service, or new members who mention a little-know website, are generally suspected to be company shills. Action may be taken against suspected shills without conclusive evidence, as they compromise the integrity of discussions and can be difficult to prove conclusively.
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MAY THE TREND BE WITH YOU
  • #8,911
  • Mar 17, 2015 2:17am Mar 17, 2015 2:17am
Quoting LouiseZA
{quote} Thought I was missing something or didn't know something. Morgan Stanley entered long for target .77 My tech shows bearish on weekly and 4h.
I'm with you as long as the pair continue trading below the descending trend-line resistance.
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  • #8,912
  • Mar 17, 2015 11:45am Mar 17, 2015 11:45am
Quoting Erebus
{quote} On a 5 Minute chart? You're my new hero


Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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P.s.: When is greece gonna collapse?
  • #8,913
  • Mar 17, 2015 8:20pm Mar 17, 2015 8:20pm
Quoting pbylina
{quote} {image} P.s.: When is greece gonna collapse?
Good call. Leaving my short order open in the event it retests the 4 hour EMA100, as well as the 23% Fib from .7612 to .7150. Selling at .7350, but not much.
Mark
  • #8,914
  • Mar 18, 2015 1:23am Mar 18, 2015 1:23am
Reversing from its descending trend-line resistance, the NZDUSD is likely testing 0.7240 support.
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  • #8,915
  • Mar 18, 2015 4:05am Mar 18, 2015 4:05am
Quoting LouiseZA
Their SL .729 and they said it's short term!
So MS had their stop taken
  • #8,916
  • Mar 18, 2015 4:47am Mar 18, 2015 4:47am
Quoting sakisf
{quote} So MS had their stop taken
Or they realized their mistake and got out!
  • #8,917
  • Mar 18, 2015 9:08am Mar 18, 2015 9:08am
Can't help but sense we're headed lower from here. Topped out at .7441, (3/12) tried again at .7408, (3/16 Monday) and now the NZD appears to me to be tapping out one more top before dropping again as we slowly head for that dreaded .7200 level. We'll see.
  • #8,918
  • Mar 18, 2015 11:26am Mar 18, 2015 11:26am
Quoting idaho19
Can't help but sense we're headed lower from here. Topped out at .7441, (3/12) tried again at .7408, (3/16 Monday) and now the NZD appears to me to be tapping out one more top before dropping again as we slowly head for that dreaded .7200 level. We'll see.
I agree with your projection, but any hint at prolonging the start of rate hikes will guide the pair toward descending trend resistance, or possibly higher toward a test of .7600. The Kiwi is serving out good interest returns; if the more-dovish-than-last-year FOMC indicates takeoff for September or later, USD will get crunched short term, most likely until next payrolls, core CPI, and the next cash rate out of NZD. The robust jobs data has essentially put a 50/50 sentiment in the market regarding rate liftoff occurring June. At the same time, RBNZ wants nzdusd ~0.6400...

Just playing devils advocate here. Safe trading!
Patience is key
  • #8,919
  • Mar 18, 2015 11:56am Mar 18, 2015 11:56am
NZDUSD: perfect rally to sell again with tight stops
@Aymankkhlifat
  • #8,920
  • Mar 18, 2015 12:10pm Mar 18, 2015 12:10pm
Quoting seenkat
{quote} I agree with your projection, but any hint at prolonging the start of rate hikes will guide the pair toward descending trend resistance, or possibly higher toward a test of .7600. The Kiwi is serving out good interest returns; if the more-dovish-than-last-year FOMC indicates takeoff for September or later, USD will get crunched short term, most likely until next payrolls, core CPI, and the next cash rate out of NZD. The robust jobs data has essentially put a 50/50 sentiment in the market regarding rate liftoff occurring June. At the same...
i think ... short
sell 0.736xx
sl 0.738xx
tp 0.73xxx

you think??
share..
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