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  • #7,681
  • Mar 13, 2015 8:38am Mar 13, 2015 8:38am
I believe I can fly....
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"If The Fool persists in his Folly he will become wise." - William Blake
  • #7,682
  • Mar 13, 2015 8:41am Mar 13, 2015 8:41am
Been watching them scalp /ZB on the TT Live show this morning. I am in a TLT $120 put calendar for next Friday expiry - looking for some action off the FOMC, b/e upside is around $125 - I see that is there for $0.04 mid now - I paid $0.06....
"If The Fool persists in his Folly he will become wise." - William Blake
  • #7,683
  • Mar 13, 2015 8:46am Mar 13, 2015 8:46am
any how those traders take out 17784 then we're going to low low, vice versa if we take out 17847 then 17914 and if that goes then new highs in the coming weeks
  • #7,684
  • Mar 13, 2015 8:53am Mar 13, 2015 8:53am
Quoting Cecil Gee
any how those traders take out 17784 then we're going to low low, vice versa if we take out 17847 then 17914 and if that goes then new highs in the coming weeks
huge divergence from one side of the pond to the other - Fed threatening to (consider thinking about the possibility of forming a committee to explore the ramifications of) tightening, ECB embarked on QE1ez. Huge divergence between bond yields also - very interesting times.
"If The Fool persists in his Folly he will become wise." - William Blake
  • #7,685
  • Edited 9:03am Mar 13, 2015 9:03am | Edited 9:03am
Mate you watch that Oil? Nuts, approaching 46.

See, Isis actually aint barbarians, but bunch of traders. Oil flow never stopped for even a second while they have conquered those fields. Something smells fishy.
"I know one thing, that I know nothing." Sokrates
  • #7,686
  • Mar 13, 2015 9:04am Mar 13, 2015 9:04am
Quoting Cecil Gee
any how those traders take out 17784 then we're going to low low, vice versa if we take out 17847 then 17914 and if that goes then new highs in the coming weeks
Friday 13 couls see another 300 point fall if the above high lighted area gets taken out
  • #7,687
  • Mar 13, 2015 9:05am Mar 13, 2015 9:05am
Quoting The Fool
{quote} Well, everything changes, except some things don't really change that much, or, if they do, they prolly just get worse. Anyway, there are cheap spreads out in the fotm PBR chains - you can do Oct $7/$8 calls for $0.10 pays around 7x if PBR gets much above $8 in Q3...hey it was trading near $8 just a month or so ago....might take that long for crude to bounce well, USD to weaken, political mess in Brazil to cool down, pigs to fly across the sky, etc, etc...
Yikes, PBR just broke $5....be patient....if anything survives a Brazil meltdown, PBR will
"If The Fool persists in his Folly he will become wise." - William Blake
  • #7,688
  • Mar 13, 2015 9:06am Mar 13, 2015 9:06am
Quoting Cecil Gee
{quote} Friday 13 couls see another 300 point fall if the above high lighted area gets taken out
there she takes it, all we need now is this 30 minute candle to close beneath it
  • #7,689
  • Mar 13, 2015 9:09am Mar 13, 2015 9:09am
Quoting Tom_D_Trader
Mate you watch that Oil? Nuts, approaching 46. See, Isis actually aint barbarians, but bunch of traders. Oil flow never stopped for even a second while they have conquered those fields. Something smells fishy.
It'd be easy to stop those flows cold, but hey, war is war, and business is business, no need to shit where you live, not yet, anyway...
"If The Fool persists in his Folly he will become wise." - William Blake
  • #7,690
  • Mar 13, 2015 9:15am Mar 13, 2015 9:15am
Quoting The Fool
{quote} It'd be easy to stop those flows cold, but hey, war is war, and business is business, no need to shit where you live, not yet, anyway...
Yy, also could be US + China complot to damage Russia. . Am wearing tin foil hat and following cash. Biggest gainer out of this are biggets Oil importers. Biggest looser Russia. Oil flow never slowed down, so lunatics like me may suggest someone just needed to conquer all that cheap Oil. Someone with enough cash to make a professional military organization able to conquer 1/3 rd of Persia within few months.
"I know one thing, that I know nothing." Sokrates
  • #7,691
  • Mar 13, 2015 9:21am Mar 13, 2015 9:21am
Quoting The Fool
{quote} she's up $0.25 on early volume of 400k shares traded - I am looking for 50x that by the end of the day and an epic short squeeze....
c'mon and ...squeeeeeze me!

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"If The Fool persists in his Folly he will become wise." - William Blake
  • #7,692
  • Mar 13, 2015 9:28am Mar 13, 2015 9:28am
Quoting Cecil Gee
{quote} there she takes it, all we need now is this 30 minute candle to close beneath it
dammit Cecil. I wanted the crash to start next week! I need SPY >$206.50 by next Wed, then it can go to hell....
"If The Fool persists in his Folly he will become wise." - William Blake
  • #7,693
  • Mar 13, 2015 9:31am Mar 13, 2015 9:31am
Quoting The Fool
{quote} dammit Cecil. I wanted the crash to start next week! I need SPY >$206.50 by next Wed, then it can go to hell....
sorry man, i'm long 205 puts for 12c just for today's expiration bought earlier when SPY was 206.30

SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)
-NYSEArca
205.91 https://s.yimg.com/lq/i/us/fi/03rd/down_r.gif 1.19(0.57%) 14:29 - Nasdaq Real Time Price
  • #7,694
  • Mar 13, 2015 10:04am Mar 13, 2015 10:04am
Quoting Cecil Gee
{quote} sorry man, i'm long 205 puts for 12c just for today's expiration bought earlier when SPY was 206.30 SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY) -NYSEArca 205.91 {image} 1.19(0.57%) 14:29 - Nasdaq Real Time Price
price now of spy now, if DOW takes out 17674 say hello to a possible 300 point plus fall by end of day

SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)
-NYSEArca
205.05 https://s.yimg.com/lq/i/us/fi/03rd/down_r.gif 2.05(0.99%) 15:00 - Nasdaq Real Time Price
  • #7,695
  • Mar 13, 2015 10:27am Mar 13, 2015 10:27am
Quoting The Fool
{quote} c'mon and ...squeeeeeze me! https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=a4Z3A53nY7Q {image}
Good job TF!
Hope is dangerous in this game.
  • #7,696
  • Mar 13, 2015 10:35am Mar 13, 2015 10:35am
Quoting Cecil Gee
any how those traders take out 17784 then we're going to low low, vice versa if we take out 17847 then 17914 and if that goes then new highs in the coming weeks

the DOW could fall as low as 17479 today
  • #7,697
  • Mar 13, 2015 10:51am Mar 13, 2015 10:51am
Quoting Cecil Gee
{quote} price now of spy now, if DOW takes out 17674 say hello to a possible 300 point plus fall by end of day SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY) -NYSEArca 205.05 {image} 2.05(0.99%) 15:00 - Nasdaq Real Time Price
looking for 203.79 and the long shot 202.49
  • #7,698
  • Mar 13, 2015 10:54am Mar 13, 2015 10:54am
Quoting Cecil Gee
{quote} sorry man, i'm long 205 puts for 12c just for today's expiration bought earlier when SPY was 206.30 SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY) -NYSEArca 205.91 {image} 1.19(0.57%) 14:29 - Nasdaq Real Time Price
closed half my contracts at 69c for over 5x


SPY Mar 2015 205.000 put (SPY150313P00205000)
-OPR
0.69 https://s.yimg.com/lq/i/us/fi/03rd/up_g.gif 0.43(65.15%) 15:37
  • #7,699
  • Mar 13, 2015 11:22am Mar 13, 2015 11:22am
Quoting Cecil Gee
{quote} closed half my contracts at 69c for over 5x SPY Mar 2015 205.000 put (SPY150313P00205000) -OPR 0.69 {image} 0.43(65.15%) 15:37
Amazing job.... Logical move to buy puts... since it stayed pretty much all Asian session right at resistance, dropped a little before open, you shorted the pullback... ah man, old school... I had short via CFDs, banked that very early.... various short positions with options on account, hoping for more pressure...

BUT, in the same time, EUR is down, was under 1.05 today, and DAX is just ... idk... but 11.900, up, and up.... nothing can stop it UNTIL we see a pullback in EUR. Because it is the only thing preventing pullback on it. (I am aware of QE and all, but still nothing is settled with Greece, no reaction on bad US data, no reaction on SPX fall.)
Hope is dangerous in this game.
  • #7,700
  • Mar 13, 2015 11:31am Mar 13, 2015 11:31am
Quoting StrayDog
{quote} Amazing job.... Logical move to buy puts... since it stayed pretty much all Asian session right at resistance, dropped a little before open, you shorted the pullback... ah man, old school... I had short via CFDs, banked that very early.... various short positions with options on account, hoping for more pressure... BUT, in the same time, EUR is down, was under 1.05 today, and DAX is just ... idk... but 11.900, up, and up.... nothing can stop it UNTIL we see a pullback in EUR. Because it is the only thing preventing pullback on it. (I am...
thx, I'm waiting on that DAX to show weakness on very long term charts
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