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NZD/USD

  • #8,721
  • Feb 17, 2015 1:19am Feb 17, 2015 1:19am
I am more bullish than bearish here as long as grinding continues and i see on longer time frame a resistance at a previous support around $0.76. Be glad to see a speed up in price and little bit parabolic price action to initiate short sell right at that point, not now.
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  • #8,722
  • Edited 2:26am Feb 17, 2015 1:21am | Edited 2:26am
Tonight 4 speeches :
1. CHF Swiss National Bank President Jordan Speaks in Brussels
2. USD Fed's Plosser Speaks on Monetary Policy in Philadelphia
3. GBP BOE's Haldane Speaks in Norwich, England
4. NZD RBNZ Governor Wheeler Speaks in Auckland

(a bit worry. Shaking the currency world.)
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  • #8,723
  • Feb 17, 2015 1:47am Feb 17, 2015 1:47am
Closed my short. As it broke 75300
Bullish bias now.
  • #8,724
  • Feb 17, 2015 2:31am Feb 17, 2015 2:31am
Quoting tembox
{quote} 0.755 getting closer. expect some reaction on that zone. {image}
too beautiful to happen
let's see how market react to this zone..
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we are in cause and effect
  • #8,725
  • Feb 17, 2015 2:38am Feb 17, 2015 2:38am
Quoting tembox
{quote} too beautiful to happen let's see how market react to this zone.. {image}
I share similar view with you.
currently I long tp 75500.
my previous short could not reach below 75000 (well it went below a bit)
  • #8,726
  • Feb 17, 2015 2:48am Feb 17, 2015 2:48am
Quoting Idkurv
{quote} I share similar view with you. currently I long tp 75500. my previous short could not reach below 75000 (well it went below a bit)
yep.. 0.7550 high probability hit
good luck
we are in cause and effect
  • #8,727
  • Feb 17, 2015 2:53am Feb 17, 2015 2:53am
You guys sound like you have no idea of today's range, how far up it could, how far down it could go, on average

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It takes a lot for me to IGNORE you, but you can try.
  • #8,728
  • Edited 3:27am Feb 17, 2015 3:04am | Edited 3:27am
Quoting Idkurv
{quote} I share similar view with you. currently I long tp 75500. my previous short could not reach below 75000 (well it went below a bit)
Quoting tembox
{quote} yep.. 0.7550 high probability hit good luck
Both of you are right.
All depends on our timezones and our trading sessions.
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  • #8,729
  • Feb 17, 2015 3:12am Feb 17, 2015 3:12am
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  • #8,730
  • Feb 17, 2015 3:30am Feb 17, 2015 3:30am
Quoting Erebus
You guys sound like you have no idea of today's range, how far up it could, how far down it could go, on average {image}
Nice indi sir
do you use default inputs for all pairs?
  • #8,731
  • Feb 17, 2015 3:59am Feb 17, 2015 3:59am
Quoting Erebus
You guys sound like you have no idea of today's range, how far up it could, how far down it could go, on average {image}
Are you suggesting long tp 75990
  • #8,732
  • Feb 17, 2015 4:32am Feb 17, 2015 4:32am
Even after the break of 0.7530, multiple resistances on the upside, coupled with the oversold RSI, can pullback the pair towards sub 0.7500 soon.
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  • #8,733
  • Feb 17, 2015 4:49am Feb 17, 2015 4:49am
I have no open position until GDT news
  • #8,734
  • Feb 17, 2015 4:59am Feb 17, 2015 4:59am
Quoting Karpa
{quote} Nice indi sir do you use default inputs for all pairs?
Default ??

There is no default for Average Daily Range

Each pair makes it's own range

The indicator just show the expected high and low IF the pair make the ADR
It takes a lot for me to IGNORE you, but you can try.
  • #8,735
  • Feb 17, 2015 5:00am Feb 17, 2015 5:00am
Quoting Idkurv
{quote} Are you suggesting long tp 75990
Absolutely, if it continues up and make the ADR it will hit it during US session
It takes a lot for me to IGNORE you, but you can try.
  • #8,736
  • Feb 17, 2015 5:35am Feb 17, 2015 5:35am
Don't put on the trade just yet. The dairy auction result should be coming out between 9am to 11am EST. That would decide if this pair change direction or continue down with the broad down trend.
  • #8,737
  • Feb 17, 2015 6:55am Feb 17, 2015 6:55am
last knife was stabbed to shorters. it seems down movement starts with this hour closing as BEOB

my 0.7530 sell Limit order is waiting pull-back.
  • #8,738
  • Feb 17, 2015 7:14am Feb 17, 2015 7:14am
Quoting tembox
{quote} too beautiful to happen let's see how market react to this zone.. {image}
nice start for reaction at 0.7550 zone
let's see how far supply build its base
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we are in cause and effect
  • #8,739
  • Feb 17, 2015 9:10am Feb 17, 2015 9:10am
Liking the short on this pair. Plenty of resistance created by the 200 SMA on the 4hour at .7550, as well as the 50%fib from .79 to .72. The 50 EMA on the daily has provided resistance on this downmove, and is currently at .7579. I do not seeing this pair breaking .7580 before another big move down.
Mark
  • #8,740
  • Edited 12:21pm Feb 17, 2015 12:07pm | Edited 12:21pm
Good Morning!
It seems to be still on track at this moment (I also saw some drops yesterday night but I am not sure which relate to this drop yet. I have just waken up.)
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On Wednesday, only these two data : USD Industrial Production (JAN) and USD Manufacturing (SIC) Production (JAN) are expected to be lower.
USD Building Permits (JAN) and USD Housing Starts (JAN) should still be good by Yellen's force.
The morning USA Mortgage data will be the hints for the night USA housing data.

For Asian session, AUS data may also affect NZD/USD.

JPY Bank of Japan Policy Statement/Kuroda Press Conference will be a turning point for NZD/USD about military and currency (as we all knew that Japan had earthquake yesterday).

EUR Euro-Zone Construction Output s.a. (MoM) (DEC) will show how fast EURO zone is recovering and stable growth by the help of the last EURO's drop.
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