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AUD/USD

  • #88,761
  • Jan 30, 2015 6:26am Jan 30, 2015 6:26am
Copper Oil Gold all up... Good for AUD
  • #88,762
  • Jan 30, 2015 6:28am Jan 30, 2015 6:28am
Quoting RBlackburn
{quote} I got out at BE and reversed position. Short from 7768 Target open
Probably prudent, I still think short but I am going to wait until Monday I think. Crazy news cycle at the moment might throw anything up for weeks open.
  • #88,763
  • Jan 30, 2015 7:41am Jan 30, 2015 7:41am
No sign of reversal. Unchanged strategy, sell on rallies.
The true fact is market doesn't care, risk mgt is important.
  • #88,764
  • Jan 30, 2015 2:41pm Jan 30, 2015 2:41pm
Do anyone have ideas on Monday's AUD http://c1802182.cdn.cloudfiles.racks...com/spacer.gifAIG Manufacturing Index?
(as a reversal after the last data on 4Jan2015)
  • #88,765
  • Jan 30, 2015 6:35pm Jan 30, 2015 6:35pm
Quoting roger44
Do anyone have ideas on Monday's AUD {image}AIG Manufacturing Index? (as a reversal after the last data on 4Jan2015)
This is going to take in a quiet holiday period so I wouldn't expect a larger figure. I think this data is probably going to get lost in all the interest rate talk so won't have much impact, if any.
  • #88,766
  • Jan 30, 2015 9:52pm Jan 30, 2015 9:52pm
Bookies in for rate cut at 1.75. Paying double to hold.

http://www.sportsbet.com.au/betting/...-rate-decision
  • #88,767
  • Jan 31, 2015 7:03pm Jan 31, 2015 7:03pm
Down down here we go!!!!
  • #88,768
  • Edited 6:13am Feb 1, 2015 5:23am | Edited 6:13am
If RBA rate cuts what will happen to AUD will it be strong or weak? Please advice as my buy order is still open at 0.7824.
  • #88,769
  • Feb 1, 2015 7:08am Feb 1, 2015 7:08am
likely to gap down upon opening on monday... due to china's news. China’s Factory Gauge Sinks to Two-Year Low as Slowdown Lingers
took my loss on friday.. best not to hold onto long positions for now....
  • #88,770
  • Feb 1, 2015 12:45pm Feb 1, 2015 12:45pm
Numbers I have been working with for a couple of weeks now. Might update with this weeks points later on.

Monthly Base:

Position:
Sell @ 0.8047
SL: 0.8247 = 8247-8047 = 200
TP: 0.6100 = 8047-6100 = 1947
RR: 200/1947 = 9.735
POS = 5% risk max of equity
(In direction of trend)

-------------------------------------------

Weekly Base:

Position:
Short @ 0.7963
SL: 0.8087 = 8087-7963 = 124
TP: 0.6100 = 7963-6100 = 1863
RR: 124/1863 = 15
POS: 10% of equity
(Direction of trend)
--------------------------------
Note to Self: Take daily based position.

--------------------------------------------------------

Positions have been entered.
  • #88,771
  • Feb 1, 2015 1:19pm Feb 1, 2015 1:19pm
Quoting a16908
If RBA rate cuts what will happen to AUD will it be strong or weak? Please advice as my buy order is still open at 0.7824.
This is not the season to hold any short USD position..from weekly point of view AUD has just started to go down again..
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: AUDUSDWeekly.png Size: 40 KB
Be the change that you want to change
  • #88,772
  • Feb 1, 2015 1:23pm Feb 1, 2015 1:23pm
As of this post - the low is still sitting at .77324

Attached Image


now .77661
  • #88,773
  • Feb 1, 2015 3:38pm Feb 1, 2015 3:38pm
A headline crossing the wires (Bloomberg):

  1. Goldman Sachs says RBA to hold tomorrow
  2. Forecasts cuts in March and August

More:

  1. RBA to shift to an easing bias on Tuesdya
  2. RBA cut might see the AZUD doen to 0.75, but could rise to 0.80 if no cut
  3. RBA likely to signal easing, which should at least cap AUD/USD appreciation

​

money ain't shit,i'm the shit..
  • #88,774
  • Feb 1, 2015 3:57pm Feb 1, 2015 3:57pm
I am expecting AUDUSD would go range before rate minutes next week.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: Capture2.PNG Size: 88 KB
If u luv happiness, start w/ discomfort, make friends w/ pain and failure.
100 Hits 0 Miss All Time Return: 35.8%
  • #88,775
  • Feb 1, 2015 7:54pm Feb 1, 2015 7:54pm
Agreed
http://s1.postimg.org/hi08kv14v/16_AUDUSDH1.png
free upload image
  • #88,776
  • Feb 1, 2015 8:23pm Feb 1, 2015 8:23pm
Quoting FXSayWhat
I am expecting AUDUSD would go range before rate minutes next week. {image}
Bullshit, we have a near 50-50 rate announcement tomorrow. Could be 200-300 pips up or down tomorrow.
  • #88,777
  • Feb 1, 2015 8:41pm Feb 1, 2015 8:41pm
Quoting diggo
{quote} Bullshit, we have a near 50-50 rate announcement tomorrow. Could be 200-300 pips up or down tomorrow.
diggo, do you understand what 'BEFORE the rate minutes' mean? I suggest you try at least understand what you are reading before you call your bullshit.
If u luv happiness, start w/ discomfort, make friends w/ pain and failure.
100 Hits 0 Miss All Time Return: 35.8%
  • #88,778
  • Feb 1, 2015 9:55pm Feb 1, 2015 9:55pm
Technical analysis Barclays Capital on Aussie / dollar:

Breakthrough 0.7700 support will increase the strength of a bear market in this currency pair. The fall in commodity prices, in particular, copper prices had a significant impact on the depreciation of the Australian dollar. Our expectations of further weakness of non-ferrous metals are a major factor in favor of our bearish for the Australian currency. Yields on 10-year bonds traded Australia already at record low levels, and the rate cut by the Central Bank on Tuesday further exacerbate the situation. Our next goal is to pair AUD / USD is at 0.7100
  • #88,779
  • Feb 1, 2015 10:29pm Feb 1, 2015 10:29pm
I'm still trying to hold short into the minutes...
Although i have stops just above 78
Long on GBP/AUD
  • #88,780
  • Feb 1, 2015 11:13pm Feb 1, 2015 11:13pm
Quoting RBlackburn
I'm still trying to hold short into the minutes... Although i have stops just above 78 Long on GBP/AUD
This ascending trendline is giving the aussie a bit of support..
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: Andysnap_131.png Size: 77 KB
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