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NZD/USD

  • #8,581
  • Jan 26, 2015 5:23am Jan 26, 2015 5:23am
Quoting edge540
{quote} So what Roger? You are a waste of space....all you do is post stuff that is easily obtainable elsewhere and of no real use.What you need to do is start showing us you trading strategy, if you actually have one.
I would like to share things with other and I have my own style (that means whenever who see my name will know what I would provide.).
I am constructing my own theories/methods (different theories/methods from several years ago) that people can easily understand and achieve it, which I use old-fashioned University-slideshow-style presentation.
  • #8,582
  • Edited 9:04am Jan 26, 2015 5:57am | Edited 9:04am
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The size of the following chart is magnified (please refer to the above for the related positions of the color circles):
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  • #8,583
  • Jan 26, 2015 9:37am Jan 26, 2015 9:37am
Well at least someone's sharing to keep the thread alive... heh... anyways fundamentally it really depends on NZD's CB announcements this week, once we get past that, it's all going to be obvious... as long NZD holds rate and insists on no easing NZD will bounce.
Luck shines on the positive.
  • #8,584
  • Jan 26, 2015 5:24pm Jan 26, 2015 5:24pm
Quoting YvetteTeo
Well at least someone's sharing to keep the thread alive... heh... anyways fundamentally it really depends on NZD's CB announcements this week, once we get past that, it's all going to be obvious... as long NZD holds rate and insists on no easing NZD will bounce.
Thank you very much!

Good Idea for reference.
  • #8,585
  • Edited Jan 27, 2015 6:09am Jan 26, 2015 5:31pm | Edited Jan 27, 2015 6:09am
USD Dallas Fed Manufacturing Activity (JAN)=-4.4
(expected=3.0, last=4.1)
which may reflect the factory orders loss on USA.
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NZ dollar touches fresh 3-year low, dips below 74 US cts, ahead of RBNZ meeting
https://nz.finance.yahoo.com/news/nz...193600679.html
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NZ lamb wool price rises to 3-year high on increased demand
https://nz.finance.yahoo.com/news/nz...010300079.html

affecting Export and Trade Balance.
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  • #8,586
  • Edited 8:29pm Jan 27, 2015 4:43pm | Edited 8:29pm
(HKT6:42)
China (CNY) Westpac-MNI Consumer Sentiment (JAN) will pull NZD/USD up (today/tomorrow channel top may be up to 0.758x).
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As a record only,
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  • #8,587
  • Edited 6:00am Jan 28, 2015 1:40am | Edited 6:00am
NZDUSD in line for a double central bank boost
https://www.tradingfloor.com/posts/n...-boost-3427275

NZ dollar drops vs. Australian dollar after inflation data; Fed, RBNZ loom
https://nz.finance.yahoo.com/news/nz...040300793.html

Major and minor economic calendar data (start time on Monday a bit late : some data before it, which are not included).
http://www.forexlive.com/economic-calendar/

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I named this method as "Rising Sun method" for charting.
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  • #8,588
  • Edited 7:49am Jan 28, 2015 6:05am | Edited 7:49am
I named this method as "Rising Sun method" for charting.
Attached Image
http://www.forexfactory.com/attachme...1&d=1422446320

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Brown line is the slope of a hill (one of the light-ray);
Red line can leave the planet;
Orange line can reach the highest point in the planet;
Yellow line can reach the longest distance in the planet;
Green line can reflect the light of grass on the hill only.

The light-ray of the star can reach the highest point in the planet as well (positions of stars must be lower than the position of the sun).

The Left-Hand side light-ray of the SUN and top of the hill have the condition : Lines started from the open value of RED (drop) candles (can be a cross) only.

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  • #8,589
  • Jan 28, 2015 6:32am Jan 28, 2015 6:32am
Quoting roger44
I named this method as "Rising Sun method" for charting. Attached Image {image} ****** Draw longer the yellow line (for update on the NZD/USD chart only) : {image} ******
apparently need more elaboration...
  • #8,590
  • Jan 28, 2015 6:42am Jan 28, 2015 6:42am
Quoting roger44
I named this method as "Rising Sun method" for charting. Attached Image {image} ****** Draw longer the yellow line (for update on the NZD/USD chart only) : {image} ******
Roger,
You post often across many threads. However, your charts are not clear and clutter the forum. There is nothing in your charts that is forward-looking; rather, you have drawn colored lines with no clear interpretation.
Given your Rising Sun chart, what is your view for Kiwi?
  • #8,591
  • Jan 28, 2015 6:53am Jan 28, 2015 6:53am
Quoting eco prof
{quote} Roger, You post often across many threads. However, your charts are not clear and clutter the forum. There is nothing in your charts that is forward-looking; rather, you have drawn colored lines with no clear interpretation. Given your Rising Sun chart, what is your view for Kiwi?
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  • #8,592
  • Jan 28, 2015 7:06am Jan 28, 2015 7:06am
NZDUSD is likely heading towards 0.7505 resistance area. However, overbought RSI is likely to restrict further up-move and the pair can once again test 0.7450 supports.
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Click to Enlarge Name: NZDUSDH1.png Size: 29 KB
  • #8,593
  • Edited 7:27am Jan 28, 2015 7:10am | Edited 7:27am
Quoting chiyuy
{quote} apparently need more elaboration...
I take a long time for practice and of course need to adjust as well.
For descriptions, as having a long time no use English for communication, please forgive it.

Quoting eco prof
{quote} Roger, You post often across many threads. However, your charts are not clear and clutter the forum. There is nothing in your charts that is forward-looking; rather, you have drawn colored lines with no clear interpretation. Given your Rising Sun chart, what is your view for Kiwi?
Not one theory only if you read more on my previous posts.
As they are some minors only and not mature yet.

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  • #8,594
  • Jan 28, 2015 3:39pm Jan 28, 2015 3:39pm
hello,,

is any one on this pair at the moment?
money ain't shit,i'm the shit..
  • #8,595
  • Jan 28, 2015 3:50pm Jan 28, 2015 3:50pm
I shorted it as soon as it dropped earlier and already took profits.. should have waited a little more probably though
  • #8,596
  • Jan 28, 2015 3:55pm Jan 28, 2015 3:55pm
i guess at that time i was long waiting for a reaction but it caught me badly..

no idea if i should wait or close position right now..
money ain't shit,i'm the shit..
  • #8,597
  • Jan 28, 2015 4:07pm Jan 28, 2015 4:07pm
I was short during the rate news as I guessed the market would shake out some longs but I was not expecting the market to move this much. I'm now long myself and questioning whether it was a sensible decision, but I think with the Fed/NZD rate decision and the Export/Import numbers I will hold and see what happens.
  • #8,598
  • Jan 28, 2015 4:08pm Jan 28, 2015 4:08pm
Quoting roadtogo
i guess at that time i was long waiting for a reaction but it caught me badly.. no idea if i should wait or close position right now..
It seems to be stopped by the Trade Balance.
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NZ dollar drops to 4-year low, swap rates fall after central bank shifts into neutral
https://nz.finance.yahoo.com/news/nz...213100392.html
"That could see the kiwi move toward the bottom of the band, 72 to 73 US cents, in the next couple of weeks," said Tim Kelleher, ASB Bank's head of institutional FX sales in New Zealand. "The market has got no reason at this point in time to be buying currency."
  • #8,599
  • Jan 28, 2015 4:14pm Jan 28, 2015 4:14pm
thanx for giving hope =D
money ain't shit,i'm the shit..
  • #8,600
  • Edited 4:43pm Jan 28, 2015 4:20pm | Edited 4:43pm
Quoting roadtogo
thanx for giving hope =D
Do you have any ideas on the rise of IMPORT data a lot?
I think NZD/USD will be back to normal in the Asian session.

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