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NZD/USD

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NZD/USD

  • #8,501
  • Dec 23, 2014 10:36pm Dec 23, 2014 10:36pm
Quoting praviiii
{quote} anil ..what is your view on nuzusd next couple of days
With no economics left to track amid holiday season, forex market is likely to maintain its USD favored tune with soft music. NZDUSD isn't an objection and the break of 0.7670 can cause the pair to test 0.7600 soon. However, limited downside seems unless the pair breaks 0.7600.
  • #8,502
  • Dec 24, 2014 3:55am Dec 24, 2014 3:55am
Even if the descending trend-line continue restricting the NZDUSD up-move, only break of 0.7690 can cause the NZDUSD to plunge. Otherwise sideways trading will remain during holiday seasons.
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  • #8,503
  • Dec 25, 2014 10:45pm Dec 25, 2014 10:45pm
overeaching and overconfident on bullish move. But if price breaks above the black pitchfork and the first red resistance zone we could see it start trading up inside the blue structure.

I´m long and will close on any sign of weakness. Just look how many times it has tested the upside of the black structure, I count 7 tests and a very strong rejection of the 7660 / 7715 support. Price is contracting hardly at these levels and I favor the long side

let´s see what happens and I think my stops are way too tight and should go around 7650 but the risk is already in. Fuck... I´m really not in love with this one.
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  • #8,504
  • Dec 26, 2014 3:32am Dec 26, 2014 3:32am
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  • #8,505
  • Dec 29, 2014 4:47am Dec 29, 2014 4:47am
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  • #8,506
  • Dec 30, 2014 3:16am Dec 30, 2014 3:16am
Even if the the NZDUSD broke above the descending trend-line resistance, 0.7870 can become important resistance for the pair to break before it rallies to 0.8000 mark.
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  • #8,507
  • Edited 3:40am Dec 30, 2014 3:25am | Edited 3:40am
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resstance

you have to look for somewhere short again
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  • #8,508
  • Dec 30, 2014 8:52am Dec 30, 2014 8:52am
Quoting ElonMusketee
overeaching and overconfident on bullish move. But if price breaks above the black pitchfork and the first red resistance zone we could see it start trading up inside the blue structure. I´m long and will close on any sign of weakness. Just look how many times it has tested the upside of the black structure, I count 7 tests and a very strong rejection of the 7660 / 7715 support. Price is contracting hardly at these levels and I favor the long side let´s see what happens and I think my stops are way too tight and should go around 7650 but the risk...
This is working clearly. We have broken with the inmediate down structure, it took some time but I think we are going to see some bullish pressure on this pair.
  • #8,509
  • Dec 30, 2014 2:23pm Dec 30, 2014 2:23pm
Planning a long at .7775
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--
  • #8,510
  • Jan 1, 2015 7:45pm Jan 1, 2015 7:45pm
Quoting zenoniel
Planning a long at .7775 {image}
Got stopped out again.
Gonna try for the lower zone.
--
  • #8,511
  • Jan 2, 2015 5:56am Jan 2, 2015 5:56am
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Hero calls followed by margin calls...
  • #8,512
  • Jan 4, 2015 4:00pm Jan 4, 2015 4:00pm
Hi, NZD/USD could be a great setup this coming week.

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We have hit a strong level of support, and we have some negative US news forecast on Tuesday, even after the USD's recent rally, this could be what provides a little bit of a retracement. Negative news against a strong currency too.

What do people think?

Thanks
  • #8,513
  • Jan 6, 2015 4:22am Jan 6, 2015 4:22am
Even if the NZDUSD observe ascending trend-line on H1 chart, the break of 0.7760 becomes necessary for the pair to rally towards 0.7800, 0.7825 and 0.7850 (imp. resistances). A break below 0.7715 and 0.7700 can again fuel the decline.
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  • #8,514
  • Jan 6, 2015 7:18am Jan 6, 2015 7:18am
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  • #8,515
  • Jan 6, 2015 10:19am Jan 6, 2015 10:19am
Hey guys, new poster here

Generally speaking, AUD/USD and NZD/USD move in similar manners as they are both so-called commodity currencies crossed with USD... The GDT came in at 3.6% today from a previous 2.4% -- but why is the price action so choppy in the kiwi? Many top-tier commodities have been following a bearish trend - so how is a small nation such as New Zealand sustaining relative strength paired with the USD? I feel as though NZD/USD is due for a big collapse - yet the market seems to be protecting the double bottom around 0.7606-0.7615 range. Any thoughts?

Excuse the unprofessional charting...in class

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Patience is key
  • #8,516
  • Edited 9:12pm Jan 6, 2015 8:24pm | Edited 9:12pm
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  • #8,517
  • Jan 6, 2015 9:07pm Jan 6, 2015 9:07pm
If you look at GDT data and not just the price index - then it explains the overall position for NZ. This is not reflected in the 'Price' index, which has provided an initial trading opportunity (45 pips on a trend line break and flag set-up). However, this does not reflect the overall theme for NZ.

Why are we so choppy? Liquidity running at say 70% at Christmas period, dollar index in profit taking/pull back mode, and vol out of Japan and Europe. Look at vol in GDP, EUR and JPY.

More likely to be selling at a limit at around the 78.8'ish level on the Kiwi.
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  • #8,518
  • Jan 7, 2015 12:25am Jan 7, 2015 12:25am
NZDUSD is likely to test 0.7700 and 0.7680 soon with stop-loss being 0.7780. On the break of 0.7780, the psychological resistance of 0.7800-10 can restrict the pair's up-move towards 0.7850 which caps the near-term up-move of the pair.
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  • #8,519
  • Edited Jan 8, 2015 3:03am Jan 7, 2015 6:37pm | Edited Jan 8, 2015 3:03am
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  • #8,520
  • Jan 7, 2015 7:40pm Jan 7, 2015 7:40pm
Sell Kiwi on rallies is the name of the game I would have thought. If you are counter trend trading then trade half a position - that is, use your capital management.
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