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AUD/USD

  • #88,261
  • Dec 23, 2014 7:23pm Dec 23, 2014 7:23pm
Quoting samirs
struggling go above 8150
(Y)
  • #88,262
  • Dec 24, 2014 12:47am Dec 24, 2014 12:47am
IMO it is ten times better for me to be caught long Aud/Usd here with positive swap and limited down side range than the opposite
  • #88,263
  • Dec 24, 2014 4:42am Dec 24, 2014 4:42am
Quoting trader700
IMO it is ten times better for me to be caught long Aud/Usd here with positive swap and limited down side range than the opposite
that would be true in an uptrend market but this is a falling market. You could be stuck with your positions for months.
Buy at the Low, Sell at the High You make money by waiting not by trading.
  • #88,264
  • Dec 24, 2014 5:32am Dec 24, 2014 5:32am
Overall Aud/Usd bearish momentum.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: AUDUSDH1mj.png Size: 45 KB
  • #88,265
  • Dec 24, 2014 5:39am Dec 24, 2014 5:39am
Quoting trader700
IMO it is ten times better for me to be caught long Aud/Usd here with positive swap and limited down side range than the opposite
If AUD starts to fall really hard... the swap will be worthless....
Buy at the Low, Sell at the High You make money by waiting not by trading.
  • #88,266
  • Dec 24, 2014 5:45am Dec 24, 2014 5:45am
Quoting Lacunoide
{quote} If AUD starts to fall really hard... the swap will be worthless....
well swaps depend on the interest rates, not on the currencie exchange rates
Hero calls followed by margin calls...
  • #88,267
  • Dec 24, 2014 6:41am Dec 24, 2014 6:41am
Quoting Lacunoide
{quote} If AUD starts to fall really hard... the swap will be worthless....
Concur!
  • #88,268
  • Dec 24, 2014 7:33am Dec 24, 2014 7:33am
Monthly candle showing strong move to 5 year low support. Interesting to see if it holds.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: AUDUSDMonthlyMJ.png Size: 54 KB
  • #88,269
  • Dec 24, 2014 10:55am Dec 24, 2014 10:55am
Quoting trader700
IMO it is ten times better for me to be caught long Aud/Usd here with positive swap and limited down side range than the opposite
Long-term you win some swap and you lose some swap. In the end it's all the same. Swap matters in investing - position trading more. Like dividends in equities sort of. When you buy a stock to trade it you are not buying it because you think you will get a dividend you are buying it to gain from appreciation in price. Same is in FX. You buy/sell a pair to gain from exchange rate difference not swap. If you are position trading then that is a different story - when you stay in trade for months or even years at a time.

Look at US GDP numbers, I hope you have a set of steel balls cause you will need them - USD bulls are not done!
  • #88,270
  • Dec 24, 2014 11:18am Dec 24, 2014 11:18am
Quoting Fxism
{quote} Long-term you win some swap and you lose some swap. In the end it's all the same. Swap matters in investing - position trading more. Like dividends in equities sort of. When you buy a stock to trade it you are not buying it because you think you will get a dividend you are buying it to gain from appreciation in price. Same is in FX. You buy/sell a pair to gain from exchange rate difference not swap. If you are position trading then that is a different story - when you stay in trade for months or even years at a time. Look at US GDP numbers,...
I agree...$USD is up appreciably since July...but, to us scalpers....an hour is a "lifetime with cobwebs"! HAPPY HOLIDAYS, TRADERS!!!!
  • #88,271
  • Dec 25, 2014 4:44pm Dec 25, 2014 4:44pm
Quoting MJBhinder
Monthly candle showing strong move to 5 year low support. Interesting to see if it holds. {image}
looks ready to plunge below the support in to the abyss
  • #88,272
  • Dec 29, 2014 1:39am Dec 29, 2014 1:39am
Aussie can cross 0.8150, that is a good reason to keep shorting, probably projection a new low.
  • #88,273
  • Dec 29, 2014 1:49am Dec 29, 2014 1:49am
To me, it looks as though price is starting to turn upwards for a bit.


Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: AUDUSDDaily.png Size: 34 KB


This shows the daily price range, and the last few days have formed a rounded bottom shape. A good indicator of a start upwards.
The next few day will point the way clearer.
Holy Grail part 1. - Cut loses short.
  • #88,274
  • Dec 29, 2014 5:31am Dec 29, 2014 5:31am
Quoting samirs
.8150 still the resistance....then .8175 followed by .82 and then .8235...so long way for uptrend meanwhile short the bounce may be the strategy
agreed....Short the bounce.
  • #88,275
  • Dec 29, 2014 7:01am Dec 29, 2014 7:01am
Even after the AUDUSD broke its descending trend-line, it needs to surpass 0.8200 on a closing basis to justify its strength. On the downside, 0.8085 becomes important support.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: AUDUSDH4.png Size: 34 KB
  • #88,276
  • Dec 29, 2014 7:20am Dec 29, 2014 7:20am
Quoting Zondervan
I realize that AUDUSD is in a major down trend, however my system tells me to buy today- so I did! Long from 0.81047 SL 0.80864 (18.3 pips) Intraday target 0.81694 (64.7 pips) Risk/Reward 1:3.5 H1 chart {image}
Mine, too....but, only for today...maybe even half of a day.
  • #88,277
  • Dec 29, 2014 7:20am Dec 29, 2014 7:20am
Quoting mystic
To me, it looks as though price is starting to turn upwards for a bit. {image} This shows the daily price range, and the last few days have formed a rounded bottom shape. A good indicator of a start upwards. The next few day will point the way clearer.
Concur...for a brief period though.
  • #88,278
  • Dec 29, 2014 7:24am Dec 29, 2014 7:24am
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: AUDUSD_H1.gif Size: 205 KB
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: AUDUSD_H4.gif Size: 187 KB
  • #88,279
  • Dec 29, 2014 7:29am Dec 29, 2014 7:29am
An air of Long caution right now...flat-lining for the moment
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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  • #88,280
  • Dec 29, 2014 8:04am Dec 29, 2014 8:04am
Quoting Bmitchell
An air of Long caution right now...flat-lining for the moment {image}
It looks like you have good trading system.
The Market pays you to be disciplined
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