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AUD/USD

  • #87,841
  • Nov 25, 2014 9:58am Nov 25, 2014 9:58am
Quoting 2+2=4ex
To everyone: Happy Thanksgiving. To Bulls: thanks for giving :-)
Ahahaha 👍 happy Thanksgiving
  • #87,842
  • Nov 25, 2014 10:02am Nov 25, 2014 10:02am
Quoting geniusztc
AUDUSD monthly (work WELL or not?! what are u guys talking about? don't we discuss technical analysis?) {image}

hope u dont refer to this grey box mate? .... anyway, It's always the question how to trade it and where to place trades/stops
Hero calls followed by margin calls...
  • #87,843
  • Nov 25, 2014 10:02am Nov 25, 2014 10:02am
Quoting 2+2=4ex
To everyone: Happy Thanksgiving. To Bulls: thanks for giving :-)
2morrow? or on thursday?
Hero calls followed by margin calls...
  • #87,844
  • Nov 25, 2014 10:06am Nov 25, 2014 10:06am
Quoting 2+2=4ex
To everyone: Happy Thanksgiving. To Bulls: thanks for giving :-)
No problem! Spend these 10 bucks wisely lol
Fix up, trade sharp ...
  • #87,845
  • Nov 25, 2014 10:27am Nov 25, 2014 10:27am
Quoting Hickson
{quote} No problem! Spend these 10 bucks wisely lol
"Holy Grail" exists - accepting where is the first step.
  • #87,846
  • Nov 25, 2014 5:10pm Nov 25, 2014 5:10pm
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  • #87,847
  • Nov 26, 2014 1:56am Nov 26, 2014 1:56am
Good Morning !
Today's S/R Levels on MT4 Templates

EURO
CABLE
AUDUSD
USDJPY

http://www.forexfactory.com/showthre...80#post7900080

EURO PINK
CABLE PINK
FX is a Bitc*h!, No one keeps me wake all night but FX does!!
  • #87,848
  • Nov 26, 2014 2:55am Nov 26, 2014 2:55am
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  • #87,849
  • Nov 26, 2014 2:59am Nov 26, 2014 2:59am
Quoting tashkent
{quote} congrats with 2 pips. better than nothing
Thank's . 2 pips are 4-5-10% of your account if you trade with dinamic risk .
Money moves the market, not an indicator.
  • #87,850
  • Nov 26, 2014 4:07am Nov 26, 2014 4:07am
What is this drop about?And...is there any decent support in sight?So much for the rise on China news the other day..
  • #87,851
  • Nov 26, 2014 4:34am Nov 26, 2014 4:34am
Quoting Zeenia
What is this drop about?And...is there any decent support in sight?So much for the rise on China news the other day..
Strong vs weak expectations. A little blip number from China aint going to do shit for long term trend. What the main drivers for forex trends arer interest rate expectations and monetary policy, I dont care if you trade technicals or whatever. This is what big money trades on the basis of. Just give it some time. AUDUSD for me is a swing if you long as you buying low selling high. Lots of varibles.
All posts are my personal opinion
  • #87,852
  • Nov 26, 2014 4:52am Nov 26, 2014 4:52am
Quoting Rtm
{quote} Strong vs weak expectations. A little blip number from China aint going to do shit for long term trend. What the main drivers for forex trends arer interest rate expectations and monetary policy, I dont care if you trade technicals or whatever. This is what big money trades on the basis of. Just give it some time. AUDUSD for me is a swing if you long as you buying low selling high. Lots of varibles.
Market is also pricing in probability of rba rate cut of 25bps
All posts are my personal opinion
  • #87,853
  • Nov 26, 2014 5:25am Nov 26, 2014 5:25am
Quoting Rtm
{quote} Market is also pricing in probability of rba rate cut of 25bps
Only 4% probability per http://www.asx.com.au/prices/targetratetracker.htm (unless you can be bothered doing a live calculation)
Hope for the best, prepare for the worst.
  • #87,854
  • Nov 26, 2014 5:59am Nov 26, 2014 5:59am
Quoting dab
{quote} Only 4% probability per http://www.asx.com.au/prices/targetratetracker.htm (unless you can be bothered doing a live calculation)
All posts are my personal opinion
  • #87,855
  • Nov 26, 2014 6:02am Nov 26, 2014 6:02am
Quoting Rtm
{quote} Strong vs weak expectations. A little blip number from China aint going to do shit for long term trend. What the main drivers for forex trends arer interest rate expectations and monetary policy, I dont care if you trade technicals or whatever. This is what big money trades on the basis of. Just give it some time. AUDUSD for me is a swing if you long as you buying low selling high. Lots of varibles.
.8480 short target has been hit.

(a bit more long term..)

Let's be real - has a dollar rally ever gone on, well, forever? ..exactly..

I still hold the same sentiment that across markets we are in precisely the opposite setup as we were heading into the real start of the fireworks in late 07 and into 08. Dollar was getting poleaxed. Commodities were running uber hot (oil running up on $150/barrel). The only consistent thing right now is equities timidly tapping on record highs with all the experienced traders timidly placing long trades because they've seen a bottom drop out before. - Interesting to me how we're near about perfect polar opposite to all of those conditions now with the same thing happening - "wow...this thing is just going to keep going (this way)" - and how did that turn out?

Where am I going? History have proven that over time a "rebalancing" of sorts across the board has to take place. I'm not a permabull, but, the odds of a major short continuation are getting smaller and smaller the further we go.
"Holy Grail" exists - accepting where is the first step.
  • #87,856
  • Nov 26, 2014 6:07am Nov 26, 2014 6:07am
Quoting VaBikePacker
{quote} .8480 short target has been hit. (a bit more long term..) Let's be real - has a dollar rally ever gone on, well, forever? ..exactly.. I still hold the same sentiment that across markets we are in precisely the opposite setup as we were heading into the real start of the fireworks in late 07 and into 08. Dollar was getting poleaxed. Commodities were running uber hot (oil running up on $150/barrel). The only consistent thing right now is equities timidly tapping on record highs with all the experienced traders timidly placing long trades because...
Eventually US will announce they wont be hiking rates and US will reverse all the gains it has made when it starts a QE program all over again, either as QE4 or bring back some QE3, it is inevitable really. When this will happen or if they do hike rates that is when US will likely get correction in equities and USD can have final surge on risk aversion. I agree with what you saying here.
All posts are my personal opinion
  • #87,857
  • Nov 26, 2014 10:17am Nov 26, 2014 10:17am
Good day traders. AUD/USD on the menu for today. Sold the pair @ 0,8535. SL placed @ 0,8577.

Wish everyone a great day!
Twitter: MrC_Forex ; Facebook: /pages/MrC-Forex/197693770247397
  • #87,858
  • Nov 26, 2014 11:00am Nov 26, 2014 11:00am
Quoting Rtm
{quote} Eventually US will announce they wont be hiking rates and US will reverse all the gains it has made when it starts a QE program all over again, either as QE4 or bring back some QE3, it is inevitable really. When this will happen or if they do hike rates that is when US will likely get correction in equities and USD can have final surge on risk aversion. I agree with what you saying here.
I think FED won't bring QE anymore but interestingly they may cut interest rates further..Who knows negative interest rates?
When Scalpers win, I lose and Vice varsa...
  • #87,859
  • Nov 26, 2014 12:18pm Nov 26, 2014 12:18pm
Quoting Goldflake
{quote} I think FED won't bring QE anymore but interestingly they may cut interest rates further..Who knows negative interest rates?
you have a very optimistic attitude! its good but long term, this wont be enough for the usa. they going to need much more than this, but yes okay maybe short term hard now because we still very high and fed hasnt even gave any clue on next hike so hard to say but fed funds rate good indicator. I think us near top of business cycle in the markets, clearly seen in sp500 where it is just free float dry volume dragging up on low rates already.
All posts are my personal opinion
  • #87,860
  • Nov 26, 2014 12:35pm Nov 26, 2014 12:35pm
AUD USD
On the h1 chart on the floor of the channel a harmonic pattern is in sight. We are expecting a higher price to the high if the demand fueled up.



http://analysis2014.blogspot.com/


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