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AUD/USD

  • #87,821
  • Nov 25, 2014 6:37am Nov 25, 2014 6:37am
Quoting geniusztc
look at the monthly chart.the 50%retracement and the low support line may give price some support. anyway.i was in a hurry to long it. STOP OUT. 0.85-0.8480 maybe a good position to long. {image}
USD is flat right now. This is totally about AUD - which hasn't really changed so much as to warrant this large downmove - IMO.

I agree, I wouldn't be selling here. But, personally wouldn't be buying until something disturbs this move.
  • #87,822
  • Nov 25, 2014 6:57am Nov 25, 2014 6:57am
Guys, be careful with long positions. Dont try to hold the falling knife! If RBA wants AUD to be weak and same time USD is going strong, fundamentally why do you think it will not drop? Rely on your technicals and try the next support at 0.8480.
  • #87,823
  • Nov 25, 2014 6:59am Nov 25, 2014 6:59am
sell stop triggered at 8530, stop 8575, tg 8415

lets c...

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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Hero calls followed by margin calls...
  • #87,824
  • Nov 25, 2014 7:00am Nov 25, 2014 7:00am
Quoting geniusztc
look at the monthly chart.the 50%retracement and the low support line may give price some support. anyway.i was in a hurry to long it. STOP OUT. 0.85-0.8480 maybe a good position to long. {image}

this Trendline thing really doesnt work in the long run in my opinion.
Hero calls followed by margin calls...
  • #87,825
  • Nov 25, 2014 7:12am Nov 25, 2014 7:12am
IMHO, AUDUSD targeting 0.8470 on the downside.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: AUDUSDDaily.png Size: 34 KB
  • #87,826
  • Nov 25, 2014 7:14am Nov 25, 2014 7:14am
Quoting PipMaxzz
Guys, be careful with long positions. Dont try to hold the falling knife! If RBA wants AUD to be weak and same time USD is going strong, fundamentally why do you think it will not drop? Rely on your technicals and try the next support at 0.8480.
USD is having a rest. If this is to keep falling USD would need to rekindle - IMO. Definite bear trend, but this downmove took a long time to materialize - so it may not continue right away (unless v strong impetus - IMO).
  • #87,827
  • Nov 25, 2014 7:17am Nov 25, 2014 7:17am
Quoting Didgeridoo
{quote} USD is having a rest. If this is to keep falling USD would need to rekindle - IMO. Definite bear trend, but this downmove took a long time to materialize - so it may not continue right away (unless v strong impetus - IMO).

for me a question of time to break it, price doesnt show any bullish signs on M5/M15... just resting... anyway a close above prev. low on daily might be bad for bears intraday...
lets c
Hero calls followed by margin calls...
  • #87,828
  • Nov 25, 2014 7:26am Nov 25, 2014 7:26am
Quoting PhAnTi'
{quote} for me a question of time to break it, price doesnt show any bullish signs on M5/M15... just resting... anyway a close above prev. low on daily might be bad for bears intraday... lets c
yes, bearish for sure. I'd say it should just continue down from here, but USD's recent selloff may be a result of month end profit taking. Timing entry is critical for this pair - all IMO.
  • #87,829
  • Nov 25, 2014 7:28am Nov 25, 2014 7:28am
Quoting Didgeridoo
{quote} yes, bearish for sure. I'd say it should just continue down from here, but USD's recent selloff may be a result of month end profit taking. Timing entry is critical for this pair - all IMO.

USD sell-off? where? in Pandora?

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: Screenshot1.png Size: 67 KB
Hero calls followed by margin calls...
  • #87,830
  • Nov 25, 2014 7:29am Nov 25, 2014 7:29am
0.90... just 500 pips away
As Above, So Below
  • #87,831
  • Edited 7:42am Nov 25, 2014 7:32am | Edited 7:42am
Update : stopped out with locked profits. They try steal my money ahahaha , but too late


Quoting andoseg2
{quote} joined the new move with aggresive entry. Entire risk locked as profits . I'm looking for trailling now : {image}
Rejoin the down move at the news , profits locked :

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: aud.png Size: 48 KB
Money moves the market, not an indicator.
  • #87,832
  • Nov 25, 2014 7:36am Nov 25, 2014 7:36am
Quoting andoseg2
{quote} Rejoin the down move at the news , profits locked : {image}
congrats with 2 pips. better than nothing
As Above, So Below
  • #87,833
  • Nov 25, 2014 8:01am Nov 25, 2014 8:01am
Quoting PhAnTi'
{quote} USD sell-off? where? in Pandora? {image}
not a sweeping "sell-off", but s/t profit taking might be more accurate.

I just personally think you won't get "bang for your buck" entering here. That said, SELL is the only thing on the menu for AUD/USD - esp given Australia's expected commodity price woes - ie some problems exporting coal to China (talk of tariffs, reduced demand)
  • #87,834
  • Nov 25, 2014 8:04am Nov 25, 2014 8:04am
Quoting Hickson
{quote} Why did it not go up? The gurus were buying heavily ...
I bet they still sense it's going lower
  • #87,835
  • Nov 25, 2014 8:07am Nov 25, 2014 8:07am
Quoting Lamira
{quote} I bet they still sense it's going lower
Thought they wanted to buy more if it goes lower?!
Fix up, trade sharp ...
  • #87,836
  • Nov 25, 2014 8:27am Nov 25, 2014 8:27am
I sell it two times but closed too eaily.
Attached Image
  • #87,837
  • Edited 9:51am Nov 25, 2014 9:19am | Edited 9:51am
AUDUSD monthly
(work WELL or not?! what are u guys talking about? don't we discuss technical analysis?)
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: AU.jpg Size: 233 KB
A chart helps those who can read it.
  • #87,838
  • Nov 25, 2014 9:26am Nov 25, 2014 9:26am
Again we make new lows today. Plus RBA Lowe taking down the curency, we might see lower levels or fresh low in time to come. Both technically and fundamentally reasons point to the bears.
The true fact is market doesn't care, risk mgt is important.
  • #87,839
  • Nov 25, 2014 9:27am Nov 25, 2014 9:27am
Quoting geniusztc
AUDUSD monthly {image}
Don't think this pattern applies well to such a high timeframe. IMO, very unlikely.
The true fact is market doesn't care, risk mgt is important.
  • #87,840
  • Nov 25, 2014 9:51am Nov 25, 2014 9:51am
To everyone: Happy Thanksgiving.

To Bulls: thanks for giving :-)
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