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NZD/USD

  • #8,361
  • Nov 10, 2014 4:09am Nov 10, 2014 4:09am
NZDUSD is likely to trigger selling on the break of 0.7780.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: NZDUSDH1.png Size: 39 KB
  • #8,362
  • Nov 10, 2014 4:44am Nov 10, 2014 4:44am
The last time this pair made a bearish move of this magnitude was in 2011, when it reached the 7400 area. IMO, further conviction is needed in the equities market to drive the dollar higher.
Fundamentals make the waves, technicals predict the ripples
  • #8,363
  • Nov 10, 2014 10:41am Nov 10, 2014 10:41am
Quoting UKnightedFX
The last time this pair made a bearish move of this magnitude was in 2011, when it reached the 7400 area. IMO, further conviction is needed in the equities market to drive the dollar higher.

can u explain further please? dont quite understand the relationship between this and the equities market (u mean DJ, SP, NDQ)?
  • #8,364
  • Nov 10, 2014 1:21pm Nov 10, 2014 1:21pm
(11NOV2014 TUE)
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Attached Image

The above chart is 1 hour chart for NZD/USD.
It will drop to 0.765x level.
  • #8,365
  • Nov 10, 2014 1:47pm Nov 10, 2014 1:47pm
Quoting UKnightedFX
The last time this pair made a bearish move of this magnitude was in 2011, when it reached the 7400 area. IMO, further conviction is needed in the equities market to drive the dollar higher.
uk...From a technical view go to a W1 chart...look at the November 20, 2011 candle then look at the following candle. Then go to a D1 chart and look at the Novmber 25ths candle and following candles. Then look at the candles again on a 4hr chart and report back to the forum as to what you saw.
From a fundamental view calculate how many $ the kiwi borrowed (must return) and sold for liquidity from the FED through the swap window (lender of last resort). there is your conviction requirements.
I may not be right...BUT, I am never wrong
  • #8,366
  • Nov 10, 2014 1:49pm Nov 10, 2014 1:49pm
Quoting roger44
(11NOV2014 TUE) ********* {image} The above chart is 1 hour chart for NZD/USD. It will drop to 0.765x level.
I agree. Although it might not fall straight down like it did in Asian and European sessions, RBNZ Wheeler is on the wire late tomorrow so it might spark the decline there. USD is making up ground it lost last Friday and moving back up to 88 (USD index). It will be very interesting the next couple of days!
  • #8,367
  • Edited 2:59pm Nov 10, 2014 2:31pm | Edited 2:59pm
NZ Card Spending (better-than-lastvalue) (part of consumer confidence) support a while only and then the NZ & AUS House Price will make NZD/USD drop again because of AUD Home Loans (SEP) on this Monday (less than expected but better than last).

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Attached Image

The above chart is 1 minute chart for NZD/USD.
  • #8,368
  • Edited 8:43pm Nov 10, 2014 3:24pm | Edited 8:43pm
I have read a news.
RBNZ seeks stronger regulatory oversight of payment systems
https://nz.finance.yahoo.com/news/rb...230200729.html

Growing complexity and risk in payment systems
http://www.rbnz.govt.nz/news/2014/5926262.html

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Attached Image

The above chart is 5 minute chart for NZD/USD.

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Attached Image

The above chart is 15 minute chart for NZD/USD.
  • #8,369
  • Nov 10, 2014 9:41pm Nov 10, 2014 9:41pm
I have read a news.
NZ dollar little changed before RBNZ report that may include LVR change
https://nz.finance.yahoo.com/news/nz...041800641.html

It wrote :
~
The kiwi will probably trade in a range of 76.50 US cents to 78.50 cents in the next 24 hours, he (Tim Kelleher. head of institutional FX sales at ASB Bank) said. Trading may be subdued with the US marking the Veterans Day public holiday on Nov. 11.
~
  • #8,370
  • Nov 11, 2014 12:24am Nov 11, 2014 12:24am
My 1st target start to buy is 0.0100 below (from 0.7720 or less) the last peak (0.7822) but only bit by bit to ensure get the chance of approaching the minimum as different session only a certain group of people can buy at the real minimum.
  • #8,371
  • Nov 11, 2014 1:23am Nov 11, 2014 1:23am
Attached Image

The above chart is daily chart for NZD/USD.
  • #8,372
  • Edited 2:16pm Nov 11, 2014 11:00am | Edited 2:16pm
(12NOV2014 WED)

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Attached Image

The above chart is 4 hour chart for NZD/USD.

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The above chart is 2 hour chart for NZD/USD.

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The above chart is 30 minute chart for NZD/USD.
  • #8,373
  • Nov 11, 2014 11:41am Nov 11, 2014 11:41am
20 minutes to go, any ideas?
Attached Image
  • #8,374
  • Nov 11, 2014 11:51am Nov 11, 2014 11:51am
Quoting Karpa
20 minutes to go, any ideas? {image}
Um, short here and then short higher if necessary?
There's always money in the banana stand.
  • #8,375
  • Nov 11, 2014 11:58am Nov 11, 2014 11:58am
Quoting LizardGizzard
{quote} Um, short here and then short higher if necessary?
placed pending short at 0.78070
will add more if necessary
  • #8,376
  • Nov 11, 2014 12:47pm Nov 11, 2014 12:47pm
currency is still unsustainable and undependant now!! NZD is relying on USD!!... hmmm words of the NZD boss... Shorting Shorting!!
  • #8,377
  • Edited 7:40pm Nov 11, 2014 7:18pm | Edited 7:40pm
Gidday NZ

Were is NZ headed now

0.78 something
Attached Image
  • #8,378
  • Nov 11, 2014 10:33pm Nov 11, 2014 10:33pm
Some nice levels just broken North... I'm looking to take this long for a pin high target via 1Hr at 0.79756 for my TP.



Be careful if you have shorts on.

FXCyborg ~ Chris
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: nzdusd-11-11-14.png Size: 37 KB
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  • #8,379
  • Nov 11, 2014 10:34pm Nov 11, 2014 10:34pm
LMFAO... my previous post just started thread #420 (Blazing! lol)
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  • #8,380
  • Edited 3:20am Nov 12, 2014 2:08am | Edited 3:20am
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Attached Image

Attached Image

Attached Image

The above chart is 1 hour chart for NZD/USD.
Bright Blue lines are in parallel and are same length.
Orange lines are in parallel (show same length but not useful).
Purple line indicates 0.7765 which is about 0.011x less from the current peak.
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