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The similarity system

  • #11,761
  • Nov 7, 2014 4:25am Nov 7, 2014 4:25am
[quote=Ullen;7854003]
Quoting LITEchild
{quote} Nice error at that price.
...
  • #11,762
  • Nov 7, 2014 4:48am Nov 7, 2014 4:48am
Quoting Barbaresco
{quote} Normally I focus on only the numbers and stats - tonight I've been looking at charts with the data in mind... 1. TZ's generally oscillate Top/Bottom 2. Mid TZ's should not be traded against 3. The first PTZ of a direction is very unlikely to become a TZ So - if we know (or at least suspect) the likelihood of a PTZ becoming a TZ increases exponentially with time, then, once 50% of the time has elapsed, it might be reasonable to expect a PTZ to be a TZ. If it is a TZ, given observations 1-3 above, I think we can develop some rules for...
Very good observation,
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: first PTZ.png Size: 96 KB
the 3rd wave is the crowd's wave
  • #11,763
  • Edited 11:19am Nov 7, 2014 5:47am | Edited 11:19am
Quoting Kiads
{quote} {image} MTH
Wow Kiads I was able to decipher your indicator (bombs and arrows).
I can predict where bombs will show up (once price crosses a specific level as you described) and the arrows, which you said show up at candle open.



How is this related to the subsequence theorem?
From my understanding, it's only price related, no sequence?
I'm surely missing something...
the 3rd wave is the crowd's wave
  • #11,764
  • Nov 7, 2014 5:57am Nov 7, 2014 5:57am
Quoting juriFX
{quote} Very good observation, {image}
I think I have a pretty good strategy for trading the PTZ's but it seems like it would be "musical chairs" when the true TZ formed and I was trying to trade back to it. Is this just the 3% and good MM is key or are there other strategies I should be digging up on this awesome thread?

Thanks....
  • #11,765
  • Nov 7, 2014 6:32am Nov 7, 2014 6:32am
Quoting juriFX
{quote} Wow Kiads I was able do decipher your indicator (bombs and arrows). I can predict where bombs will show up (once price crosses a specific level as you described) and the arrows, which you said show up at candle open. How is this related to the subsequence theorem? From my understanding, it's only price related, no sequence? I'm surely missing something...
When result of sub-sequences supported by current candles formation then go head, but when it's not supported then hold.. just as simple as that.
just like TZ, mostly top/bottom PTZ become TZ when there is pinbar at the end of wave/trend, so when sub-sequences result show up at that kind formation.. what should you do ?

best regards
MTH
  • #11,766
  • Nov 7, 2014 6:39am Nov 7, 2014 6:39am
Quoting Barbaresco
{quote} I put both in, 1 long and 1 short, both floating profit already, plus an EU, UChf, and EChf to round it out! Edited: Seems we are trading towards across-pair DS...
Greting to all the "friend" (I read that there is a Month!!!) This 3d. I'm not nome all. I.m learning a lot. Taken study English and mathematics. Do no Parrot!!!
I can not open the file. ptl. Beginning whit first of Eurusdd. I would like to know the parameters dialog on why really like stochastic and bollinger bands. If you can post them here, thanks.

Geros
  • #11,767
  • Nov 7, 2014 7:45am Nov 7, 2014 7:45am
Quoting Eurusdd
Let us supposed we know the yellow area but the market has not develop the blue area yet. We can then assume that when the region B is matured, it will be transient. So, we declare the area A as recurrent. We then move ahead to find sell position above B. Now, if the market pulls back into B, we win. If B turns out to be transient, our assumption of A as recurrent will give our sell a profit. Both ways, we will win!!!{image}
what happen if the price keeps going up ? IF you dont put stop loss you will hit a margin call big time
  • #11,768
  • Nov 7, 2014 8:45am Nov 7, 2014 8:45am
[quote=LITEchild;7853987]
Quoting Ullen
{quote} 114.511
Not about how much you win, but how much you loose
  • #11,769
  • Nov 7, 2014 8:57am Nov 7, 2014 8:57am
Hi Kiads,

Can you point me to the indicator or indicators and template that produced the chart below. You attached that chart to the post you made at? Thanks. Also where can I find an explanation to the indicators you used there. I only just found this thread and while browsing through it this chart jumped out at me.

http://www.forexfactory.com/showthread.php?p=7850443#post7850443

http://www.forexfactory.com/attachme...1&d=1415250444
  • #11,770
  • Nov 7, 2014 8:59am Nov 7, 2014 8:59am
[quote=Ullen;7854992]
Quoting LITEchild
{quote}
Wow.. you are amazing.. Was that prediction based on SS?
  • #11,771
  • Nov 7, 2014 9:03am Nov 7, 2014 9:03am
This is why Litechild is able to successfully trade away from a PTZ as soon as it is formed if there is a trigger such as the symphonie indicator or a reversal bar.

Quoting kprsa
{quote} Hi, you can use the RecurrenceStatistic indicator to build a probability density and calculate the statistical quantities you may be interested in for your pair/TF. You can do this by varying the h_right parameter for your chosen h. Let me give you an example Example: h=10 h_right P(that it was cleared within this number of bars) 1 20% 2 30% 3 35% 4 37% Then you create your probability density function: h_right P(first clearance) 1 20 % 2 30-20%=10% 3 35-30%=5% 4 37%-35%=2% And then you can calculate all the properties you may need. <cleared...
  • #11,772
  • Nov 7, 2014 9:12am Nov 7, 2014 9:12am
[quote=Ullen;7854992]
Quoting LITEchild
{quote}
  • #11,773
  • Nov 7, 2014 9:12am Nov 7, 2014 9:12am
Quoting PiratePip
Still holding USDCHF short. Short from about the top blue line(filled) targeting the 2nd blue line(unfilled) for about 40 pips. Well see what happens. plan on closing trade or atleast protecting it aggressively before NFP comes out. {image}

Straight to TP as NFP hit. Think I am done for the week.
Attached Image(s) (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: Screen Shot 2014-11-07 at 8.09.52 AM.png Size: 32 KB
Click to Enlarge Name: Screen Shot 2014-11-07 at 8.10.33 AM.png Size: 13 KB
Life's Good & Why Wouldn't It Be? Im a Pirate After All!
  • #11,774
  • Nov 7, 2014 9:15am Nov 7, 2014 9:15am
Quoting Ullen
{quote} 114.511
In the end we were both right it seems...
  • #11,775
  • Edited 10:37am Nov 7, 2014 9:33am | Edited 10:37am
Hi All,
forget about 'bombs' and 'arrows'. I don't have any permission until now.. lol so no need to wait.. let's carry on and walk with normal life..

Attached Image


But.. Sharing is caring..

Attached Image


so, here we go my dumbest way to trade with TZ.. without any 'bombs' or 'fancy arrows'..lol.

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: ! My Dumbest Way to trade with Transient Zone Indicator.png Size: 370 KB


there's many TZ-BB relation patterns to watch, mark, and memorize the 'after' effect

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: ! My Dumbest Way to trade with Transient Zone Indicator 2.png Size: 385 KB


if you can mastered that.. then i believe you will rarely came to this FF community..lol.

Best regards.. have a nice weekend with your family and friends.
God Bless You..
MTH
  • #11,776
  • Edited Nov 8, 2014 9:25am Nov 7, 2014 10:09am | Edited Nov 8, 2014 9:25am
[quote=Kiads;7855237]Hi All, forget about 'bombs' and 'arrows'. I don't have any permission until now.. lol so no need to wait..

wow how many systems do you have up your sleeve ?

many thankx -------------You're The MAN !------------------
There has never been a statue erected in honor of a critic
  • #11,777
  • Nov 7, 2014 10:19am Nov 7, 2014 10:19am
Quoting Kiads
if you can mastered that.. then i believe you will rarely came to this FF community


k
  • #11,778
  • Nov 7, 2014 10:27am Nov 7, 2014 10:27am
[quote=jlee425;7855063]
Quoting Ullen
{quote} Wow.. you are amazing.. Was that prediction based on SS?
No, it was based on errors in the market.
Not about how much you win, but how much you loose
  • #11,779
  • Nov 7, 2014 10:35am Nov 7, 2014 10:35am
Quoting Kiads
Hi All, forget about 'bombs' and 'arrows'. I don't have any permission until now.. lol so no need to wait.. let's carry on and walk with normal life.. {image} But.. Sharing is caring.. {image} so, here we go my dumbest way to trade with TZ.. without any 'bombs' or 'fancy arrows'..lol. {image} if you can mastered that.. then i believe you will rarely came to this FF community..lol. Best regards.. have a nice weekend with your family and friends. God Bless You.. MTH
I will subscribe to you twice if I could!
I want more brain power!
  • #11,780
  • Edited 10:57am Nov 7, 2014 10:41am | Edited 10:57am
Quoting Kiads
{quote} and it happen simultaneously at higher TF {image} {image} {image} {image} once again thank you Chief EURUSDD.... May God Bless You Forever... MTH
Thank you Eurusdd for the concepts. Thank you Zelo and the man that always help with visual chat... Kiad...
I think i have been able to do something similar to your indicator. What i am still working on is the stat.(Probability). I need to go through the post again and study.

The TZ appears on or close to Sub Sequence (SS) levels . This concepts is making me see price in a different way. I will demo with this next week.

Thank you all.

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: Screenshot1.png Size: 66 KB
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