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NZD/USD

  • #8,341
  • Nov 5, 2014 11:25am Nov 5, 2014 11:25am
Quoting phongvu12
Just broke .7700. If today close below .77, we could see some major downward move sections ahead!

UK closed .7727 lets wait for NY close
  • #8,342
  • Nov 5, 2014 2:42pm Nov 5, 2014 2:42pm
Quoting MaryAnne
{quote} UK closed .7727 lets wait for NY close
Seems like it's not closing below .77 since there're too many event risks going on later tonight (AUD employment, ECB, BOE decision). Market probably move sideway until all those events risk take place and set the direction. The way I see it, FED is becoming more hawkish while RBNZ is dovish and becoming more like RBA with wait and see mode. Therefore, we could see alot more dollar strength and commodity currencies weakness toward the end of the year. Currently been shorting and selling NZD strength for the past month targeting .7500. Hope to see it hit by the end of November!
  • #8,343
  • Nov 5, 2014 3:07pm Nov 5, 2014 3:07pm
might get a retest an continuation, not sure, just have to follow like a sheep, dailys ugh..
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: nzdusdmm15.png Size: 35 KB
  • #8,344
  • Nov 5, 2014 3:13pm Nov 5, 2014 3:13pm
Quoting phongvu12
{quote} Seems like it's not closing below .77 since there're too many event risks going on later tonight (AUD employment, ECB, BOE decision). Market probably move sideway until all those events risk take place and set the direction. The way I see it, FED is becoming more hawkish while RBNZ is dovish and becoming more like RBA with wait and see mode. Therefore, we could see alot more dollar strength and commodity currencies weakness toward the end of the year. Currently been shorting and selling NZD strength for the past month targeting .7500. Hope...

well done bro... i was initially shorting but just picking some longs up earlier cos i thought USD would RT to make fresh lows on NU or something. severe misjudgement on my part. And yes, may we all make green pips
  • #8,345
  • Nov 5, 2014 3:20pm Nov 5, 2014 3:20pm
Quoting rikudo
might get a retest an continuation, not sure, just have to follow like a sheep, dailys ugh.. {image}
Probably just some short covering. Especially roll over at the end of Wednesday always 3x more than usual, which many traders take advantage of. If the job number from Aussie disappoint to night, I think we could see this pair broke .77 for good. Otherwise, have to wait for NFP to set the tone.
  • #8,346
  • Nov 5, 2014 3:27pm Nov 5, 2014 3:27pm
Quoting phongvu12
{quote} Probably just some short covering. Especially roll over at the end of Wednesday always 3x more than usual, which many traders take advantage of. If the job number from Aussie disappoint to night, I think we could see this pair broke .77 for good. Otherwise, have to wait for NFP to set the tone.
yea, dont really listen to news, ive found that too many ideas in your mind just ends up confusing u. I read about 1 or 2 sentances from major releases and thats all I need to know really, follow more technicals its much relaxing then having 1000 ideas of where it might go
  • #8,347
  • Nov 5, 2014 6:15pm Nov 5, 2014 6:15pm
The forth coming Aussie employment news is certainly going to have an effect on the Kiwi,given we've had a swing low fake out failure and some definite price levelling at the current pivot zone.My calculated estimate is that, based on technical analysis,we should see .7600 today if not .7550,load up the shorts folks and enjoy the ride down.
  • #8,348
  • Nov 5, 2014 6:24pm Nov 5, 2014 6:24pm
Quoting edge540
The forth coming Aussie employment news is certainly going to have an effect on the Kiwi,given we've had a swing low fake out failure and some definite price levelling at the current pivot zone.My calculated estimate is that, based on technical analysis,we should see .7600 today if not .7550,load up the shorts folks and enjoy the ride down.
Hmmm, maybe. Sure doesn't look ready to drop to me. Looks ready to make one more swing high. We shall see shortly.
There's always money in the banana stand.
  • #8,349
  • Nov 5, 2014 6:57pm Nov 5, 2014 6:57pm
Quoting edge540
The forth coming Aussie employment news is certainly going to have an effect on the Kiwi,given we've had a swing low fake out failure and some definite price levelling at the current pivot zone.My calculated estimate is that, based on technical analysis,we should see .7600 today if not .7550,load up the shorts folks and enjoy the ride down.
Right on calculation and analysis. Market is ignoring the good news from everywhere except US. Any rally now will probably be treated at opportunity to sell into. I'm not sure if we would see .76 until the NFP comes out on Friday. If NFP above 200k, then .76 will be broken and .75 will be targeted in upcoming weeks.
  • #8,350
  • Edited Nov 6, 2014 11:54am Nov 5, 2014 8:01pm | Edited Nov 6, 2014 11:54am
Parts of the drop is due to the US after-election effect.

*********
Attached Image

The above chart is 1 hour chart for NZD/USD.
Blue lines are in parallel.
Pink lines are in parallel.

*********
Attached Image

The above chart is 1 hour chart for NZD/USD.
  • #8,351
  • Edited 11:53am Nov 6, 2014 5:24am | Edited 11:53am
Attached Image

Attached Image

The above charts are 1 hour chart for NZD/USD.
0.7773 to 0.7783 is the next peak.
  • #8,352
  • Nov 6, 2014 6:33am Nov 6, 2014 6:33am
Quoting roger44
{image} The above charts are 1 hour chart for NZD/USD. 0.7773 to 0.7783 is the next peak.

thanks for sharing. managed to get a long from dips yesterday and offseted the losing longs from the day before in small profit
theres so much I would like to learn from you
  • #8,353
  • Nov 6, 2014 5:21pm Nov 6, 2014 5:21pm
Just closed below .7700. This is a defined moment for this pair. If NFP comes out in line or better than expected, NZD will follow its brother AUD to nose dive! Targeting .75 at the end of November.
  • #8,354
  • Edited Nov 7, 2014 4:24pm Nov 6, 2014 5:21pm | Edited Nov 7, 2014 4:24pm
(7NOV2014 FRI)
Attached Image

The above chart is 1 hour chart for NZD/USD.
Blue lines are in parallel.

*********
(HKT9:42)
I have just bought back all the NZD.

*********
At this moment, I checked that the 15 minute chart is much more suitable for us to use candle-pattern prediction rather than others.

*********
Attached Image

The above chart is 1 hour chart for NZD/USD.

*********
Attached Image

The above chart is 4 hour chart for NZD/USD.

*********
Attached Image

The above charts are 30 minutes chart for NZD/USD.

*********
Now (HKT15:44 7NOV2014 : US time 2:44 7NOV2014) repeat a month ago.
See US time 23:30 5OCT2014 for 30 minutes candle chart for NZD/USD ( same flow pattern from 29SEP2014 to 5OCT2014).
Attached Image

Attached Image


*********
Attached Image

The above chart is 2 hour chart for NZD/USD.
Green lines show equal distance.
Blue lines are in parallel.
Orange lines are in parallel.

*********
(8NOV2014 SAT)
Attached Image

The above chart is 1 hour chart for NZD/USD.
If the peak is 0.7766, the orange line must shift down 0.001x so the length of green line must be reduced. Then 0.789x point will be lowered to 0.786x level ( should use 1 hour chart rather than 2 hour chart for accuracy).
  • #8,355
  • Nov 6, 2014 11:20pm Nov 6, 2014 11:20pm
Quoting Fx-gtg
NZD/USD monthly Similar PA . 0.76 posible before year end {image}
really a great setup at tp zone now
ATM 0.7665
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: e4968364b63f4e5e26982720b7b5414b.png Size: 133 KB
  • #8,356
  • Nov 7, 2014 9:26am Nov 7, 2014 9:26am
Quoting roger44
(7NOV2014 FRI) {image} The above chart is 1 hour chart for NZD/USD. Blue lines are in parallel. ********* (HKT9:42) I have just bought back all the NZD. ********* At this moment, I checked that the 15 minute chart is much more suitable for us to use candle-pattern prediction rather than others. ********* {image} The above chart is 1 hour chart for NZD/USD. ********* {image} The above chart is 4 hour chart for NZD/USD. ********* {image} The above charts are 30 minutes chart for NZD/USD. ********* Now (HKT15:44 7NOV2014 : US time 2:44 7NOV2014) repeat...

hmmm... ok so the next peak should be .777x and if it closed above that, it will start aiming for .789x? if yes, then short entries should be adjusted around there? thanks
  • #8,357
  • Nov 8, 2014 11:14am Nov 8, 2014 11:14am
Inserted Video
"W. D. Gann said that time is the most important factor among all things."
  • #8,358
  • Nov 8, 2014 4:23pm Nov 8, 2014 4:23pm
I am very very happy as the chart on the Market of FF is WORKING again !
  • #8,359
  • Nov 8, 2014 11:20pm Nov 8, 2014 11:20pm
On the weekly chart, it is very possible that it may rise once it gets out of this consolidation zone.
  • #8,360
  • Edited 10:48pm Nov 9, 2014 4:14pm | Edited 10:48pm
I have read a news.
NZ dollar rises after US jobs report lags expectations
https://nz.finance.yahoo.com/news/nz...193600240.html

So we should sell NZD before today's China data and today's AUS data ?

*********
Attached Image

Attached Image

Attached Image

The above charts are 1 hour chart for NZD/USD.

*********
Attached Image

The above chart is 3 minute chart for NZD/USD.
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