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AUD/USD

  • #86,641
  • Nov 5, 2014 6:12am Nov 5, 2014 6:12am
Quoting MaryAnne
{quote} friend said due to the huge gold selloff too? but swiss have referendum on gold too coming up maybe something to do with that? so many possibilities... someone knows something sounds interesting. Big up then down would be better if they wanna continue long and heavy downtrend. This huge down first (before NFP and Aus news) is just weird bro... out of the normal sequence
Gold IMO is bearish too. If the bearishness continues, we might even go below $1000 mark. Hence with commodity getting weaker, Aussie will follow suit. Any slight rally on the Aussie will be deem as an opportunity to sell down further.
The true fact is market doesn't care, risk mgt is important.
  • #86,642
  • Nov 5, 2014 6:13am Nov 5, 2014 6:13am
Quoting Fx-opinion
{quote} I agree 100%. Also, did you see my earlier message regarding the sell off of huge amount of Gold in past 5 days? Something very strange is happening in the market and I hope it is not illegal. We will find out soon.

Agreed. obviously some kind of manipulation goin on in gold prices probably to reign in the BRICS nations zzz. if AUD employment data for jobs is good though, nice chance to see a good bounce up and close above .8650 of course we need to get past the ISM first... AUD suffering more than the other commodity pairs NZD and CAD today that's 4 red H4 in a row with thick bodies. Something is really up here
  • #86,643
  • Nov 5, 2014 6:17am Nov 5, 2014 6:17am
Quoting aminsattorov
{quote} ничего страшного, не деньги так здоровье
одно другому не мешает Green pips everybody
  • #86,644
  • Nov 5, 2014 6:23am Nov 5, 2014 6:23am
Quoting Ssm
{quote} Gold IMO is bearish too. If the bearishness continues, we might even go below $1000 mark. Hence with commodity getting weaker, Aussie will follow suit. Any slight rally on the Aussie will be deem as an opportunity to sell down further.
Here we go, we are breaking new lows as we speak. Broken below 86.
The true fact is market doesn't care, risk mgt is important.
  • #86,645
  • Nov 5, 2014 6:24am Nov 5, 2014 6:24am
So much for the bounce. Ha ha. Yowser.
There's always money in the banana stand.
  • #86,646
  • Nov 5, 2014 6:28am Nov 5, 2014 6:28am
Quoting LizardGizzard
So much for the bounce. Ha ha. Yowser.
yeah... no bounce until now unlike NZD and CAD at least some bounce there earlier hmmm

Quoting Ssm
{quote} Gold IMO is bearish too. If the bearishness continues, we might even go below $1000 mark. Hence with commodity getting weaker, Aussie will follow suit. Any slight rally on the Aussie will be deem as an opportunity to sell down further.
Man... closed shorts too early last week listened to friend >< he thought USD will have huge RT due to longs covering... never happened lol anyway lets see how this goes and thanks
  • #86,647
  • Nov 5, 2014 6:36am Nov 5, 2014 6:36am
Quoting Ssm
{quote} Here we go, we are breaking new lows as we speak. Broken below 86.
Quote "Citi said they are short AUD/USD with a potential target of 0.8050"
The true fact is market doesn't care, risk mgt is important.
  • #86,648
  • Nov 5, 2014 6:38am Nov 5, 2014 6:38am
Quoting Ssm
{quote} Quote "Citi said they are short AUD/USD with a potential target of 0.8050"
Isnt RBA target 0.85? Citi was stopped out of a bunch of trades though having too ambitious TP *until they got stopped by RT or spikes* that's why I think real hard before following
  • #86,649
  • Nov 5, 2014 6:44am Nov 5, 2014 6:44am
Inspecting bounce from .855ish till previous broken support .864ish to continue downtrend from there !
  • #86,650
  • Nov 5, 2014 6:45am Nov 5, 2014 6:45am
Quoting MaryAnne
{quote} Isnt RBA target 0.85? Citi was stopped out of a bunch of trades though having too ambitious TP *until they got stopped by RT or spikes* that's why I think real hard before following
Yes, we are close to RBA target now. But thats the target few months ago. With the further weakness in commodity price, I see Aussie weakness too. Furthermore, the bigger picture of the current trend is clear. Tomorrow Aussie unemployment rate, will be a big mover.
The true fact is market doesn't care, risk mgt is important.
  • #86,651
  • Nov 5, 2014 6:47am Nov 5, 2014 6:47am
Quoting Ssm
{quote} Yes, we are close to RBA target now. But thats the target few months ago. With the further weakness in commodity price, I see Aussie weakness too. Furthermore, the bigger picture of the current trend is clear. Tomorrow Aussie unemployment rate, will be a big mover.

U mean they didnt revise it? I thought the 0.85 was after all the adjustments were made...
  • #86,652
  • Nov 5, 2014 6:51am Nov 5, 2014 6:51am
Quoting MaryAnne
{quote} U mean they didnt revise it? I thought the 0.85 was after all the adjustments were made...
I am sorry but I am a little bit lost here. You are talking about RBA target of 0.85. Can you please post the link here .
  • #86,653
  • Nov 5, 2014 6:59am Nov 5, 2014 6:59am
Quoting Fx-opinion
{quote} I am sorry but I am a little bit lost here. You are talking about RBA target of 0.85. Can you please post the link here .
Here you go. Old news almost a year ago.

http://www.reuters.com/article/2013/...0JR11L20131212

At that time, Aussie was trading at 0.88 levels. It then bounces off 0.86. Gold was trading at abt 1220 levels. Comparing to now, we fell below 0.86 without hesitation.
The true fact is market doesn't care, risk mgt is important.
  • #86,654
  • Nov 5, 2014 7:05am Nov 5, 2014 7:05am
Quoting Ssm
{quote} Here you go. Old news almost a year ago. http://www.reuters.com/article/2013/...0JR11L20131212 At that time, Aussie was trading at 0.88 levels. It then bounces off 0.86. Gold was trading at abt 1220 levels. Comparing to now, we fell below 0.86 without hesitation.
OK, THX.
  • #86,655
  • Nov 5, 2014 7:08am Nov 5, 2014 7:08am
Quoting Ssm
{quote} Here you go. Old news almost a year ago. http://www.reuters.com/article/2013/...0JR11L20131212 At that time, Aussie was trading at 0.88 levels. It then bounces off 0.86. Gold was trading at abt 1220 levels. Comparing to now, we fell below 0.86 without hesitation.

Thanks for sharing. Btw i think maybe they factoring the AUD employment news already... lastime gold surged, didnt see 200 pip up on this pair on no news? How about u guys? There is correlation but not this massive
  • #86,656
  • Nov 5, 2014 7:13am Nov 5, 2014 7:13am
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  • #86,657
  • Nov 5, 2014 7:18am Nov 5, 2014 7:18am
NZD just followed the lead of AUD and broke major support. If both pairs close below that support today, major downward move in sections ahead. If NFP came out better than expected, AUD/USD and NZD/USD will see .83 and .75 soon! Bearish!
  • #86,658
  • Nov 5, 2014 7:20am Nov 5, 2014 7:20am
Quoting MaryAnne
{quote} Thanks for sharing. Btw i think maybe they factoring the AUD employment news already... lastime gold surged, didnt see 200 pip up on this pair on no news? How about u guys? There is correlation but not this massive
It is currently USD strength.
The true fact is market doesn't care, risk mgt is important.
  • #86,659
  • Nov 5, 2014 7:24am Nov 5, 2014 7:24am
Thanks for explaining guys
  • #86,660
  • Nov 5, 2014 7:58am Nov 5, 2014 7:58am
Quoting mrhb30jr
{quote} Hi All, Aud ... time to continue down movement ..... cheers {image} {image}
audusd .... patience
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