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Let's Trade Options

  • #5,421
  • Edited 3:27pm Oct 15, 2014 2:35pm | Edited 3:27pm
Quoting The Fool
I took a little punt on UVXY - with shares at $53.xx I bought Nov $25 puts. Holding off to see if the smoke clears a bit this week and I will look to sell weekly or Nov puts for credit or reduction of the $1.33 debit....^VIX looking pretty spikey, doesn't mean it won't keep spiking though. I am betting it will revert....
UVXY hadda drop like $6 before I even broke even on this trade. what a joke...
"If The Fool persists in his Folly he will become wise." - William Blake
  • #5,422
  • Oct 15, 2014 3:19pm Oct 15, 2014 3:19pm
o

m

g
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: 2014-10-15_nflx.png Size: 148 KB
"If The Fool persists in his Folly he will become wise." - William Blake
  • #5,423
  • Oct 15, 2014 7:34pm Oct 15, 2014 7:34pm
Quoting The Fool
Earnings Season. 10/14 - C, JPM, & WFC + INTC & KMP; 10/15 - BAC, EBAY, GS, LVS, NFLX; 10/16 - AMD, GOOGL, SNDK, SLB, XLNX; 10/17 - MS bmo 10/20 - AAPL; 10/21 - YHOO; 10/23 - AMZN, CAT, MSFT
Will NFLX point the way on GOOGL, AAPL, YHOO, AMZN...? I'm looking for a dip to buy in YHOO.
"If The Fool persists in his Folly he will become wise." - William Blake
  • #5,424
  • Oct 15, 2014 8:08pm Oct 15, 2014 8:08pm
Quoting Cecil Gee
Somewhere near the open I'm looking for a long put on AAPL. I'm looking to long a $98 put for under 30c if I can get it, if not I'll wait, yesterdays closing price was 77c ans appl closed 98.75, Earnings out Monday AAPL Oct 2014 98.000 put (AAPL141018P00098000) -OPR 0.77 {image} 0.16(26.23%) 14 Oct 20:59 Apple Inc. (AAPL) -NasdaqGS 98.75 1.06(1.06%) 14 Oct 21:15 |Pre-Market : 99.13 {image} 0.38 (0.38%) 13:05 - Nasdaq Real Time Price
didn't quite come down far enough on price

Day's Range :0.53 - 3.10
  • #5,425
  • Oct 15, 2014 8:12pm Oct 15, 2014 8:12pm
Quoting The Fool
o m g {image}
some people are gonna make a lot pf money on NFLX whiles others will get wiped out

Netflix, Inc. (NFLX)
-NasdaqGS
448.59 https://s.yimg.com/lq/i/us/fi/03rd/down_r.gif 0.53(0.12%) 15 Oct 21:00
|After Hours: : 330.00https://s.yimg.com/os/mit/media/m/ba...nt-1093278.png 118.59 (26.44%) 00:59
  • #5,426
  • Oct 15, 2014 9:46pm Oct 15, 2014 9:46pm
https://www.google.com/finance/optio...JtCykgXg44HABg

Feb. 2015, $18 calls are looking good now @ .35
  • #5,427
  • Oct 15, 2014 11:28pm Oct 15, 2014 11:28pm
Quoting Cecil Gee
{quote} some people are gonna make a lot pf money on NFLX whiles others will get wiped out Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) -NasdaqGS 448.59 {image} 0.53(0.12%) 15 Oct 21:00 |After Hours: : 330.00{image} 118.59 (26.44%) 00:59
boy howdy, you could've bought Oct $370 puts for $0.50 at the close & I bet they'll be worth $20+ in the morning...
"If The Fool persists in his Folly he will become wise." - William Blake
  • #5,428
  • Oct 15, 2014 11:31pm Oct 15, 2014 11:31pm
Quoting Cecil Gee
{quote} didn't quite come down far enough on price Day's Range :0.53 - 3.10
shoot, I was hoping you had got in that....
"If The Fool persists in his Folly he will become wise." - William Blake
  • #5,429
  • Edited 12:47am Oct 16, 2014 12:07am | Edited 12:47am
Quiz for novice options traders:

IWM held its own in selloff day, actually gained $2.40 on the day. I'm in a Nov/Dec put spread, $96 short/$103 long. I have been waiting to buy back the $96 puts and sell another leg at something closer to the $103's. The Dec $103 puts lost $0.15 today, but the Nov $96 puts, $7 further otm, gained $0.03. Why?
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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"If The Fool persists in his Folly he will become wise." - William Blake
  • #5,430
  • Oct 16, 2014 12:12am Oct 16, 2014 12:12am
Quoting stylinex
https://www.google.com/finance/optio...JtCykgXg44HABg Feb. 2015, $18 calls are looking good now @ .35
yeah, further out is better. Fed likely will be pushing out the rate hike date....
"If The Fool persists in his Folly he will become wise." - William Blake
  • #5,431
  • Oct 16, 2014 1:09am Oct 16, 2014 1:09am
Quoting The Fool
{quote} yeah, further out is better. Fed likely will be pushing out the rate hike date....
Do you still have your January calls for BAC? If we get down around $14 I would like to load up on them calls
http://finance.yahoo.com/video/crame...9UUEcAzhKTmYlQ
  • #5,432
  • Oct 16, 2014 2:00am Oct 16, 2014 2:00am
Quoting stylinex
{quote} Do you still have your January calls for BAC? If we get down around $14 I would like to load up on them calls http://finance.yahoo.com/video/crame...9UUEcAzhKTmYlQ
yup, been waiting to see some kind of upside to sell a front month leg
"If The Fool persists in his Folly he will become wise." - William Blake
  • #5,433
  • Oct 16, 2014 2:34am Oct 16, 2014 2:34am
hey guys

Google, Inc.Stock Quote:
GOOG (U.S.: Nasdaq)

 

  1. Earnings per share growth is forecasted to rise by almost 20% to 6.55% for the third quarter.
  2. Revenue growth is also projected at $16.6 billion, rising more than 11% when compared to the same time last year.
  3. analysts predict that the earnings announcement will be positive for Google stock, indicating a potential CALL position in GOOGLE shares when the market opens.

  • #5,434
  • Oct 16, 2014 2:37am Oct 16, 2014 2:37am
hey guys another heads up!

9:00GMT EUR Final CPI y/y CALL [email protected]% OR HIGHER PUT [email protected]% OR LOWER EXPIRY@9:15GMT
12:30GMT CAD Manufacturing Sales m/m CALL CADJPY@- 0.6% OR HIGHER PUT CADJPY@ -2.6% OR LOWER EXPIRY@13:00GMT
12:30GMT USD Unemployment Claims CALL USDJPY@280K OR LESS PUT USDJPY@290K OR HIGHER EXPIRY@13:00GMT
13:15GMT USD Capacity Utilization, USD Industrial Production m/m CALL USDJPY IF CAPACITY UTILIZATION IS 81% OR HIGHER AND INDUSTRIAL PRODUCTION IS 0.5% OR HIGHER PUT USDJPY IF CAPACITY UTILISATION IS 78% OR LOWER AND INDUSTRIAL PRODUCTION IS 0.3% OR LOWER EXPIRY@13:30GMT
14:00GMT USD Philly Fed Manufacturing Index CALL USDJPY@22 OR MORE PUT [email protected] OR LESS EXPIRY@14:30GMT
HAVE ANOTHER SUCCESS TODAY!
  • #5,435
  • Oct 16, 2014 2:52am Oct 16, 2014 2:52am
Quoting The Fool
{quote} Will NFLX point the way on GOOGL, AAPL, YHOO, AMZN...? I'm looking for a dip to buy in YHOO.
Are you buying any puts? Those $330 NFLX puts are going to pay like winning Lotto tickets when market opens up in New York
  • #5,436
  • Oct 16, 2014 4:18am Oct 16, 2014 4:18am
Quoting stylinex
{quote} Are you buying any puts? Those $330 NFLX puts are going to pay like winning Lotto tickets when market opens up in New York
By the time market opens everyone will be too late to buy puts instead if indeed NFLX opens below $330 that's a massive $128 fall from the close of yesterday I'll be looking to LONG short term CALLS expecting some retrace
  • #5,437
  • Oct 16, 2014 5:10am Oct 16, 2014 5:10am
Be careful when trading earnings season this time round, the market in its present decline is dictating the direction despite good results for some
  • #5,438
  • Oct 16, 2014 5:21am Oct 16, 2014 5:21am
Quoting Cecil Gee
keep an eye on the weekly close on the DOW a close below 16700 and held then I'm looking for a fall to 13700 just for the starters. Easy government money has in my view taking it high enough for a correction to take place without mass panic like 2008. NFP was good with unemployment figure lowering each quarter and real jobs adding into the US economy, everyone including me was looking for even higher highs instead we have gone the other way. it still may happen but looking at THE WEEKLY DOW chart its showing downward...
Could get there sooner than first thought if the current bear acceleration continues
  • #5,439
  • Oct 16, 2014 6:15am Oct 16, 2014 6:15am
A little late, now the experts talk

We might end up with a full-blow 10% correction: Strategist Jim Paulsen

CNBC.com staff | @CNBC

Updated Moments Ago
  • #5,440
  • Edited 8:30am Oct 16, 2014 8:12am | Edited 8:30am
Quoting Cecil Gee
Be careful when trading earnings season this time round, the market in its present decline is dictating the direction despite good results for some
Exactly. Overall bearish sentiment. I am glad I did NFLX IC on paper (literally I just write down the prices)... and I would not do it on live account because when market is plunging you have to promise miracles in order for it to not just go down with the market. Especially on stocks that have a history of big ER's moves. NFLX is the only stock in my short history of option trading with winning ER's plays of 1) long straddle, I think it was last year when it jumped much and 2) few months back I did a IC on it and it was a over 60% winner the next day...

Didn't had the balls to short that V reversal from yesterday on SnP. I could do it with CFDs, while waiting for Monday because of PDT rules.
Hope is dangerous in this game.
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