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NZD/USD

  • #7,981
  • Oct 11, 2014 1:08am Oct 11, 2014 1:08am
I have just found out :
NZ card spending retail m/m and NZ card spending total m/m are less than expected and previous values (THUR GMT22:45),
which maybe one of the reasons for NZD/USD dropping,
means parts of the consumer confidence is down.
  • #7,982
  • Edited 1:45am Oct 11, 2014 1:30am | Edited 1:45am
a NEW repeating process started already.
Attached Image

The above chart is 1 hour chart for NZD/USD.
I think that will be another repeating cycle but starting point is from the orange vertical bar.
The current cycle is the cycle number 2 which will follow/repeat the cycle number 1.
Yellow circles are marked as reference for current point on both cycles.
I think that the coming week can be great great rise for NZD/USD (of course, I am not sure : prediction only).
  • #7,983
  • Oct 11, 2014 7:04am Oct 11, 2014 7:04am
I have just found out :
NZ card spending retail m/m and NZ card spending total m/m are less than expected and previous values (THUR GMT22:45),
which maybe one of the reasons for NZD/USD dropping,
means parts of the consumer confidence is down.


Quoting roger44
a NEW repeating process started already. {image} The above chart is 1 hour chart for NZD/USD. I think that will be another repeating cycle but starting point is from the orange vertical bar. The current cycle is the cycle number 2 which will follow/repeat the cycle number 1. Yellow circles are marked as reference for current point on both cycles. I think that the coming week can be great great rise for NZD/USD (of course, I am not sure : prediction only).
You seem undecided
Come with me if you want to live....
  • #7,984
  • Oct 11, 2014 7:10am Oct 11, 2014 7:10am
Quoting Ill-b-back
{quote} I think so, nice 500 pip drop to monthly PA support on the cards with 3 monthly black crows and channel break. Fundies and techs lining up very nicely now everything milk is fukced... {image} {image}
with 25-30% NZ economy running on the dairy industry, I think this might have something to do with the drop

http://www.nzherald.co.nz/business/n...ectid=11318627
Come with me if you want to live....
  • #7,985
  • Edited 4:01pm Oct 11, 2014 2:46pm | Edited 4:01pm
one thing is for just gone (drop) and the other is for future (prediction : not 100% to be sure).

From the movie "Back to the Future part 3",
Doc Brown said "Future is not written yet, can have infinite possibilities."

Quoting Ill-b-back
{quote} with 25-30% NZ economy running on the dairy industry, I think this might have something to do with the drop http://www.nzherald.co.nz/business/n...ectid=11318627
Your news dated 4SEP2014, which is the time for trade balance period .
  • #7,986
  • Oct 11, 2014 6:08pm Oct 11, 2014 6:08pm
[quote=edge540;7794390]
Quoting roger44
{quote} 2 weeks channel : {image} Today (11OCT2014), NZD/AUS=0.8999 which is very very high comparing with last 2 weeks data. AUD/USD dropped to 0.8686 is AUS/USD drop over? need more export? keep 0.90xx hooking? {image} The above chart is 1 hour chart for NZD/USD. where yellow circles marked for reference points, which is leading the coming rise (after orange circle). where orange circles can be the future way for the current position.[/quote I think Roger and Tindalo are possibly taking drugs,if so what are they on?
Edge what happened with you man?
  • #7,987
  • Oct 11, 2014 6:19pm Oct 11, 2014 6:19pm
I just draw a channel in a 1hr chart and i think that is posible that the nzd take this channel again, im not saying that will be bullish, i dont see were is the drugs... If i say that the nzd will be in a 0,90 thursday well im in drugs, but im not saying this. This sort of comments lows the level of the thread. If there is somebody that knows a lot and makes a huge obscene amount of money maybe have no time to write threads, so i think everybody here is trying to learn. So Edge dont worry i read your comments and i try to understand the good ideas you can have in order to make more money, at the end of the day thats is all about...
  • #7,988
  • Oct 11, 2014 9:47pm Oct 11, 2014 9:47pm
Thought I would share a multi time frame view.

NZDUSD currently in a correction - possibly a triangle.

Safest entry would be on a break of "d" after the next rally, but given the extended decline,
the pair might need a much longer complex correction. which would of course invalidate.

Not too much in the way of NZ specific news but definitely AUD and USD have a lot going on.

Have a good week.
Attached Image(s) (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: NZDUSDDaily.png Size: 50 KB
Click to Enlarge Name: NZDUSDH4.png Size: 61 KB
Click to Enlarge Name: NZDUSDH1.png Size: 68 KB
  • #7,989
  • Oct 12, 2014 1:51pm Oct 12, 2014 1:51pm
Inserted Video
"W. D. Gann said that time is the most important factor among all things."
  • #7,990
  • Oct 12, 2014 2:11pm Oct 12, 2014 2:11pm
Quoting USDollar
http://youtu.be/d_KSvcu-47A
Sorry, as maybe I am an old-fashioned people (watch video take a long period for me to finish all), if you do not mind can you write some word for description.
  • #7,991
  • Oct 12, 2014 2:12pm Oct 12, 2014 2:12pm
Down we go, heading to .73xx by the new year! Then on to .6xxxs in 2015
All posts are my personal opinion
  • #7,992
  • Oct 12, 2014 2:17pm Oct 12, 2014 2:17pm
Quoting Rtm
Down we go, heading to .73xx by the new year! Then on to .6xxxs in 2015
Dunno about .6xxx area if fed dont raise rates soon.
Early to bed, early to rise, keeps you healthy, wealthy and wise.
  • #7,993
  • Oct 12, 2014 2:44pm Oct 12, 2014 2:44pm
Quoting roger44
{quote} Sorry, as maybe I am an old-fashioned people (watch video take a long period for me to finish all), if you do not mind can you write some word for description.
If 1min and 43 seconds is took long maybe this video is not for you.... no disrespect intended
"W. D. Gann said that time is the most important factor among all things."
  • #7,994
  • Oct 12, 2014 6:43pm Oct 12, 2014 6:43pm
Quoting Rtm
Down we go, heading to .73xx by the new year! Then on to .6xxxs in 2015
Well if you say it, im with you!!! I make a draw in my account for some financial problems i have and i dont have power now, but when i have ill short it again... I hope i dont miss this new wave!!
  • #7,995
  • Oct 12, 2014 9:44pm Oct 12, 2014 9:44pm
Decided to take a demo trade against the major trend.

Target is upper channel and Fib projections.

Will trail under most recent retracement until stopped out or reach target.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: NZDUSDH1b.png Size: 69 KB
  • #7,996
  • Oct 12, 2014 10:14pm Oct 12, 2014 10:14pm
China' trade balance is less than expected and last value but the export rise which implies a big import rise, so this is good for NZ (import : mostly milk powder and livestock) (this is why NZD/USD rises this morning).
  • #7,997
  • Edited 10:59pm Oct 12, 2014 10:27pm | Edited 10:59pm
For the 1 hr chart NZD/USD, the candle already reached the step of the dropping staircase of last week (will it look like the peak shape on 7OCT2014{I am not sure yet}? ).

It looks like the level of the whole week about 10-20 points up from last week level which I means the max for this week will be about 10-20 points more than the last week max.
  • #7,998
  • Oct 13, 2014 12:13am Oct 13, 2014 12:13am
Monday Oct 6, 2014 NZ Herald
China's demand for milk powder was the main driver of the dairy boom. Now it has ceased importing while it consumes stocks and New Zealand has received another reminder that it can be too dependent on one commodity in one market.

was never because of Trade import results. Gold and Oil is up ; piggyback AUD for the raise IMHO
  • #7,999
  • Oct 13, 2014 2:04am Oct 13, 2014 2:04am
worth a shot with tight stop
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: NZDUSDH1.png Size: 36 KB
Come with me if you want to live....
  • #8,000
  • Edited 3:16am Oct 13, 2014 2:24am | Edited 3:16am
Attached Image

The above chart is 1 hour chart for NZD/USD

Where
Yellow circles marked for reference only (Now HKT15:00 13OCT2014 : last hour candle) where the current peak is a reduced version of 7OCT2014 (Peak-shape).
Seem to be the combination of candles HKT14:00 and HKT15:00 13OCT2014(Today) is equal to the candle HK8:00 7OCT2014.

Today may be possible to get the minimum of this week (this five days).
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