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NZD/USD

  • #7,901
  • Sep 30, 2014 11:24pm Sep 30, 2014 11:24pm
Quoting smash1820
Hey guys just checking in. {quote} Nice chart again Anil... {quote} But this is the best statement of all... Applause​ApplauseApplauseApplause
Thanks Smash1820....
  • #7,902
  • Oct 1, 2014 12:25am Oct 1, 2014 12:25am
Latest Price Action [PA] patterns on 4hrs and its continued Longer Term direction
Attached Image
  • #7,903
  • Oct 1, 2014 7:22am Oct 1, 2014 7:22am
Do not fall into their trap, do not trust your charts. I do listen to them sometimes to decipher their tricks and their real intention and then go against them. When RBNZ said "Kiwi fair value level of about US65 cents." RBNZ is a big forex player they buy and sell currencies for their own profits as all central banks do, everything they say and do is sinister and to their advantage.... Their job is to deceive us and play with our instinctive minds.

Do listen to them from time to time to decipher their tricks and their real intention and then go against them.

Think ahead, think outside the bubble http://www.forexfactory.com/showthre...58#post7772658
Think outside the box; opposite what they want you to think.
  • #7,904
  • Oct 1, 2014 8:20am Oct 1, 2014 8:20am
IMHO, NZDUSD is less likely to generate volatility unless it breaks either 0.7830 or close below 0.7770. I support the sellers.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: NZDUSDH1.png Size: 34 KB
  • #7,905
  • Oct 1, 2014 9:06am Oct 1, 2014 9:06am
Thats a PULLBACK... Maybe the RBNZ is closing position or something like that... So i change direction, follow the market... Good employment news for usd 213k non farm employment, but nzd rising... smells weird... Philman you are right...
  • #7,906
  • Oct 1, 2014 10:00am Oct 1, 2014 10:00am
http://www.globaldairytrade.info/en/product-results/
  • #7,907
  • Oct 1, 2014 12:21pm Oct 1, 2014 12:21pm
Quoting Tobys
http://www.globaldairytrade.info/en/product-results/
That was after the pullback, i mean, before the GDT -7,3% the NZD is growing. half hour later the GDT makes the price go down again. I change the direction again.
  • #7,908
  • Oct 1, 2014 12:54pm Oct 1, 2014 12:54pm
Quoting tindalo
{quote} That was after the pullback, i mean, before the GDT -7,3% the NZD is growing. half hour later the GDT makes the price go down again. I change the direction again.
im still short to
  • #7,909
  • Edited 6:38pm Oct 1, 2014 6:27pm | Edited 6:38pm
Quantity of milk powder save NZD/USD even if the GDT loss for -7.3% (-10% on whole milk powder so China had bought more already).
The ANZ commodity prices m/m will show the export price change it seems to be good for NZD as well.

Today the most important data are AUS trade balance and RBA Annual Report for NZD/USD as NZD/AUS hook.
  • #7,910
  • Oct 1, 2014 11:53pm Oct 1, 2014 11:53pm
What's caused this sudden rise?
  • #7,911
  • Oct 2, 2014 12:24am Oct 2, 2014 12:24am
Quoting zen252
What's caused this sudden rise?
Money seem to be moving away from stocks and into high yield currencies which are heavily oversold.
  • #7,912
  • Oct 2, 2014 1:18am Oct 2, 2014 1:18am
Quoting zen252
What's caused this sudden rise?
.7868

Nothing unexpected here as market takes some cash off the table for the next run lower.

Waiting for price action for further weak shorts to be cleaned out . those who are impatient can stagger selling
  • #7,913
  • Oct 2, 2014 1:31am Oct 2, 2014 1:31am
So nobody thinks this could be related to the ECB news that will be comming out tonight regarding budgets and asset purchasing?
  • #7,914
  • Oct 2, 2014 2:59am Oct 2, 2014 2:59am
AUS trade balance wrote :
"Between July and August 2014, the trend estimate of goods and services creditsfell $195m (1%) to $26,110m."
ONLY -1%!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! that affects NZD a lot by its shadow.
  • #7,915
  • Oct 2, 2014 8:02pm Oct 2, 2014 8:02pm
waiting for Non-Farm Payrolls
  • #7,916
  • Oct 3, 2014 9:07am Oct 3, 2014 9:07am
Strong data for strong USD today and weak NZD next week !
  • #7,917
  • Oct 3, 2014 9:39am Oct 3, 2014 9:39am
Can't believe it went through 2 levels of support just like the aussie. Thought the NZD is stronger and would be able to hold. Can't believe I only made 40 pips out of it.
Make your losses in demo. Earn your profits live.
  • #7,918
  • Oct 3, 2014 10:22am Oct 3, 2014 10:22am
Quoting Forexia
Can't believe it went through 2 levels of support just like the aussie. Thought the NZD is stronger and would be able to hold. Can't believe I only made 40 pips out of it.

Why would it hold? The recent correction for the USD occurred when the overall state of the dollar was healthy (overspeculated, but still very good). When you put 3 consecutive high profile events bullish for the dollar, it's obvious you're going to see a couple "supports" being broken. The NZD/USD gained around 0.77840and rose because USD bulls lost their condfidence, but with this in flow, we're obviously going to see prices drop a bit below 0.778 as a correction against the previous correction. These recent events aren't permanent by any means, but I'm watch the region close to 0.77050, which is 9/29's support.

The RSI and ADX shows that the intraday bearish momentum hasn't necessarily ended yet, so i'll stick around a small short. IF not, I'll till come out on top with my previous profit.
  • #7,919
  • Oct 3, 2014 2:34pm Oct 3, 2014 2:34pm
Quoting Vermillion
{quote} Why would it hold? The recent correction for the USD occurred when the overall state of the dollar was healthy (overspeculated, but still very good). When you put 3 consecutive high profile events bullish for the dollar, it's obvious you're going to see a couple "supports" being broken. The NZD/USD gained around 0.77840and rose because USD bulls lost their condfidence, but with this in flow, we're obviously going to see prices drop a bit below 0.778 as a correction against the previous correction. These recent events aren't permanent by...
Well now I know LOL. Next time, next time... The next level of support is 0.772x.
Make your losses in demo. Earn your profits live.
  • #7,920
  • Edited 3:49am Oct 4, 2014 3:36am | Edited 3:49am
As I mentioned before : NZD/AUS hook : 0.88xx-0.90xx
now = 0.8956
this week is about 0.88xx-0.89xx
In this case, AUS would vary a lot in the coming week as a lot AUS data and AUS speeches, and also this week good US data on jobs (we already knew : NZD/USD had already dropped).
AUS would have more good data but AUS speeches will depends on seasonal events(spring requirements for AUS).
Will other countries' speeches make repeated-drop cycles as previous weeks?
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