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AUD/USD

  • #84,641
  • Sep 10, 2014 8:39pm Sep 10, 2014 8:39pm
Quoting SydneyGuru
{quote} Who predicted much better figures in Monday ? with this figures and inflation 3.5% and higher today US unemployment ... plus Friday very sever sun storm !!! - rocket launched ! soon 0.95000
I didn't predict but my straddle worked as I captured a nice 1:2+RR pretty much risk free. Would be nice if Pepperstone wasn't frozen and not letting me execute.
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All posts are my personal opinion
  • #84,642
  • Sep 10, 2014 8:39pm Sep 10, 2014 8:39pm
Quoting SydneyGuru
{quote} Who predicted much better figures in Monday ? with this figures and inflation 3.5% and higher today US unemployment ... plus Friday very sever sun storm !!! - rocket launched ! soon 0.95000
you did - will be seller at .9250
  • #84,643
  • Sep 10, 2014 8:41pm Sep 10, 2014 8:41pm
Quoting SydneyGuru
{quote} Who predicted much better figures in Monday ? with this figures and inflation 3.5% and higher today US unemployment ... plus Friday very sever sun storm !!! - rocket launched ! soon 0.95000
but that means your trade would have floated -200 pips....that is too much risk
  • #84,644
  • Sep 10, 2014 8:44pm Sep 10, 2014 8:44pm
last move 3 days down was healthy correction to trap all bears and finally break 0.94 and 0.95 level

Plus all large speculators crazy buying AUD http://www.barchart.com/chart.php?sy...page=&txtDate=
  • #84,645
  • Sep 10, 2014 8:48pm Sep 10, 2014 8:48pm
i want little more up and will happily short till 0.89
As Above, So Below
  • #84,646
  • Sep 10, 2014 8:50pm Sep 10, 2014 8:50pm
what goes up must come down
  • #84,647
  • Sep 10, 2014 8:59pm Sep 10, 2014 8:59pm
Quoting teddybomber
what goes up must come down
and what goes down will only go down so far before it has to come back up before going up as far as it should to go down again as it should.

(...this all seems so circular...)

TWO HUNDRED AND TWENTY pips in one direction for this pair is a BIG move as of late...
"Holy Grail" exists - accepting where is the first step.
  • #84,648
  • Sep 10, 2014 9:12pm Sep 10, 2014 9:12pm
Question:
So the news were good for AUD but this pair went up about 65 pip, then its start going down.
Is this the only effect? or it will start go back up again?
I'm tired of making many samll GREEN pips, then one BIG red wash them all.
  • #84,649
  • Sep 10, 2014 9:15pm Sep 10, 2014 9:15pm
Quoting VaBikePacker
{quote} and what goes down will only go down so far before it has to come back up before going up as far as it should to go down again as it should. (...this all seems so circular...) TWO HUNDRED AND TWENTY pips in one direction for this pair is a BIG move as of late...
Don't fight the fed imo
  • #84,650
  • Sep 10, 2014 9:16pm Sep 10, 2014 9:16pm
Quoting milano
Question: So the news were good for AUD but this pair went up about 65 pip, then its start going down. Is this the only effect? or it will start go back up again?
Good question When everybody starts to buy cause good numbers it is right time to sell
  • #84,651
  • Sep 10, 2014 9:19pm Sep 10, 2014 9:19pm
Quoting milano
Question: So the news were good for AUD but this pair went up about 65 pip, then its start going down. Is this the only effect? or it will start go back up again?
dunno.. but looks like it went up to retest the broken support..

if daily close below 92.. i think we could see more downside..
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  • #84,652
  • Sep 10, 2014 9:32pm Sep 10, 2014 9:32pm
here is Sydney 7day weather forecast

http://www.weatherzone.com.au/nsw/sydney/sydney

perhaps this could help with your trade decisions..
LOL..
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  • #84,653
  • Sep 10, 2014 9:34pm Sep 10, 2014 9:34pm
Quoting PaperMoney
{quote} Thanks for the heads up...any thoughts on movement at 11:30 does one generally wait until the storm has calmed, considering there is so many bits of data/announcements coming out at one time? also the cumulative result of all announcements could really send this anyway right?

Yes, digesting the cumulative results would be the rational way to trade but possibly a tad too conservative - diminished trading volatility.
It is a personal choice though of when to act.
Back in The Pits, no one would even say Boo until we'd seen the Full-time / Part-time split.
  • #84,654
  • Sep 10, 2014 9:36pm Sep 10, 2014 9:36pm
nzd is bad, they are correlated
china is bad, aud depends on china
aud's job rate is the correction from previous month cos' they were using new way to calculate job data.
commodities are down:
gold is down
coal is down

Quoting milano
Question: So the news were good for AUD but this pair went up about 65 pip, then its start going down. Is this the only effect? or it will start go back up again?
  • #84,655
  • Sep 11, 2014 12:23am Sep 11, 2014 12:23am
Morning all member FF,

I try to long AU from now. TF H1 give me confirmation. CMIIW...

Trade Well...
  • #84,656
  • Sep 11, 2014 12:32am Sep 11, 2014 12:32am
OK, let's for a minute forget about the King Dollar.

If you're going to invest your money right now, apart from USD, where would it be?

EUR - Whoops, they just cut rate, inflation is subdued, growth is flattish, there are tensions on the Ukranian - Russian border, sanctions, etc.
GBP - Too much uncertainty following the upcoming Scotland's referendum. It may start raising rates around Spring 2015 though.
CHF - Heavily manipulated.
JPY - Another one which is manipulated.
NZD - Election is also coming up, adding to uncertainties. Milk prices down again? They're halting on the rate hike cycle.
AUD - China is slowing down, iron ore kept dropping, so is oil, gold, etc. They just added 100k+ish jobs though, although it seems dubious.
CAD - Closely correlated to the commodities (oil), which is still down.

Who's the next best?
  • #84,657
  • Sep 11, 2014 12:54am Sep 11, 2014 12:54am
HI All,
Havent posted here for over a year now. Here we go:
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Find a job that you love and you dont have to work again in your life.
  • #84,658
  • Sep 11, 2014 1:30am Sep 11, 2014 1:30am
going down.....
  • #84,659
  • Sep 11, 2014 2:18am Sep 11, 2014 2:18am
Classic H&S pattern with 0.92 being the Neckline. the break below yesterday and a reconfirmation today that 0.92 turned resistance is making this a valid point to see AUDUSD potentially moving down to test cycle lows of 0.90 and 0.89.

Trade safe.
We live in a finite world with infinite possibilities.
FxTyrant M-Series (Live - Darwinex) All Time Return: 0.7%
  • #84,660
  • Sep 11, 2014 2:55am Sep 11, 2014 2:55am
I think USD is on sale!!! For how long I do not know.
The Market pays you to be disciplined
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