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  • #84,621
  • Sep 10, 2014 7:04am Sep 10, 2014 7:04am
Quoting SydneyGuru
But what I noticed . If USD low before FOMC then it goes up. I am still feeling that it is a bear trap this move and from 0.9300 when people start selling again ... many get stop loss. Check AUD/USD graph .... always for last 10 years true move down goes from the top. and overbought USD .... We will see
you may havenīt noticed a classical "death cross" on daily TF?
just do it
  • #84,622
  • Edited 7:34am Sep 10, 2014 7:18am | Edited 7:34am
Is market going down to 0.9115 again or will go to 0.9210?
Please advice...
  • #84,623
  • Sep 10, 2014 7:22am Sep 10, 2014 7:22am
DAILY CHART
Target Down 0.86xx
Estimated Time 3 week
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: AUD DAILY.PNG Size: 87 KB
  • #84,624
  • Sep 10, 2014 8:49am Sep 10, 2014 8:49am
Quoting a16908
Is market going down to 0.9115 again or will go to 0.9210? Please advice...
Based on the cytoplasm of the linear algorithm equation

http://i.imgur.com/Jvxxvrn.png

The expected climax of the AUD/USD is, researchers are still unable to provide an answer to the statement, oh shit
  • #84,625
  • Sep 10, 2014 10:36am Sep 10, 2014 10:36am
Quoting syamfajar99
DAILY CHART Target Down 0.86xx Estimated Time 3 week {image}
target is far away
  • #84,626
  • Sep 10, 2014 11:26am Sep 10, 2014 11:26am
@goshko147
target is not far because all the trend line barrier already in disrepair
analysis confidence level is approximately worth 99%
  • #84,627
  • Sep 10, 2014 11:57am Sep 10, 2014 11:57am
0.9150 MAKES PROBLEM.
The Market pays you to be disciplined
  • #84,628
  • Sep 10, 2014 3:54pm Sep 10, 2014 3:54pm
I will bite the bullet and hang on

http://i.imgur.com/UBeVvE8.png
  • #84,629
  • Sep 10, 2014 6:51pm Sep 10, 2014 6:51pm
New to trading so please excuse my lacking jargon. I was successful on short positions throughout yesterday. I'm aware that there is unemployment data coming out today at 1:30pm with a forecast of 6.3%. considering last months data was well above forecast @ 6.4% which potentially caused a major decline on that day. is 6.3% a more accurate forecast to ensure market expectations are well managed and therefore is it likely that the data will come in better than this number? going long today based on this assumption. would appreciate any educated/experienced opinions on this.
  • #84,630
  • Sep 10, 2014 7:13pm Sep 10, 2014 7:13pm
Quoting PaperMoney
New to trading so please excuse my lacking jargon. I was successful on short positions throughout yesterday. I'm aware that there is unemployment data coming out today at 1:30pm with a forecast of 6.3%. considering last months data was well above forecast @ 6.4% which potentially caused a major decline on that day. is 6.3% a more accurate forecast to ensure market expectations are well managed and therefore is it likely that the data will come in better than this number? going long today based on this assumption. would appreciate any educated/experienced...
0.92 the major support is broken, below 0.92, AUD is quite bearish.
  • #84,631
  • Sep 10, 2014 7:35pm Sep 10, 2014 7:35pm
Quoting zew
....below 0.92, AUD is quite bearish.
It is not going to be straight line down.
The Market pays you to be disciplined
  • #84,632
  • Sep 10, 2014 7:43pm Sep 10, 2014 7:43pm
My heart is beginning to palpitate with excitement....or maybe anxiety....
  • #84,633
  • Sep 10, 2014 8:10pm Sep 10, 2014 8:10pm
hello to all gurus. i have no clue why price always either goes up or goes down. should i buy or sell?
As Above, So Below
  • #84,634
  • Sep 10, 2014 8:11pm Sep 10, 2014 8:11pm
Quoting PaperMoney
New to trading so please excuse my lacking jargon. I was successful on short positions throughout yesterday. I'm aware that there is unemployment data coming out today at 1:30pm with a forecast of 6.3%. considering last months data was well above forecast @ 6.4% which potentially caused a major decline on that day. is 6.3% a more accurate forecast to ensure market expectations are well managed and therefore is it likely that the data will come in better than this number? going long today based on this assumption. would appreciate any educated/experienced...

It's not as simple as that.
There are 5 major pieces of the Employment data that need to be taken into account.


In order of importance ;

Employment change : exp +15k (prev - 0.3k)
Unemployment Rate : exp 6.3% (prev 6.4%)
Full time / Part time split : No exp (FT prev +14.5k, PT prev -14.8k)
Participation rate : exp 64.8% (prev 64.8%)
Any revisions from the previous month.

Bear in mind too that Chinese inflation data is scheduled to be released at the same time.
  • #84,635
  • Sep 10, 2014 8:26pm Sep 10, 2014 8:26pm
Quoting Balmain Boy
{quote} It's not as simple as that. There are 5 major pieces of the Employment data that need to be taken into account. In order of importance ; Employment change : exp +15k (prev - 0.3k) Unemployment Rate : exp 6.3% (prev 6.4%) Full time / Part time split : No exp (FT prev +14.5k, PT prev -14.8k) Participation rate : exp 64.8% (prev 64.8%) Any revisions from the previous month. Bear in mind too that Chinese inflation data is scheduled to be released at the same time.
Thanks for the heads up...any thoughts on movement at 11:30

does one generally wait until the storm has calmed, considering there is so many bits of data/announcements coming out at one time? also the cumulative result of all announcements could really send this anyway right?
  • #84,636
  • Sep 10, 2014 8:28pm Sep 10, 2014 8:28pm
Quoting tashkent
hello to all gurus. i have no clue why price always either goes up or goes down. should i buy or sell?
you need to know where to place in this case buy and sell limits so that if one get hit by stoploss the other goes on profit... as simple as that!
  • #84,637
  • Sep 10, 2014 8:31pm Sep 10, 2014 8:31pm
ouch - out for 125+
  • #84,638
  • Sep 10, 2014 8:34pm Sep 10, 2014 8:34pm
well the result is impressive, hoping for the next target 0.9300 or at least 0.9290 zone
  • #84,639
  • Sep 10, 2014 8:36pm Sep 10, 2014 8:36pm
Quoting Compulsive
ouch - out for 125+

Who predicted much better figures in Monday ?

with this figures and inflation 3.5% and higher today US unemployment ... plus Friday very sever sun storm !!! - rocket launched !

soon 0.95000
  • #84,640
  • Sep 10, 2014 8:37pm Sep 10, 2014 8:37pm
Massive number albeit mainly Part-Time.
What really is impressive though is the jump in the Participation rate to 65.2%
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