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Technical Analysis Fallacy

  • #49,781
  • Sep 4, 2014 1:48am Sep 4, 2014 1:48am
Quoting fti
{quote} ??? They murder you with volitility spreads and you cannot see? http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=X403uwWbyzo regards
hi fti,

yea, can see that, thats why i need the quotes, to see if they trying to murder me with these kind of things, and calculate what the expected outcome.
  • #49,782
  • Sep 4, 2014 2:00am Sep 4, 2014 2:00am
Quoting CookieMonsta
{quote} hi fti, yea, can see that, thats why i need the quotes, to see if they trying to murder me with these kind of things, and calculate what the expected outcome.
calculate outcome?

you look at the spreads and already you know you on the platter.
whats there to calculate?
the length and width of the coffin?

no need, these days creamation is the trend.
Just need a bottle.

Inserted Video


regards

eeeer , try find one that floats.
so that they can send it away on a journey.
good riddence to the bad rubbish.
  • #49,783
  • Sep 4, 2014 2:10am Sep 4, 2014 2:10am
Quoting fti
{quote} calculate outcome? you look at the spreads and already you know you on the platter. whats there to calculate? the length and width of the coffin? regards
hi fti,

yea, thats why im looking for alternative sources to see if whats offered by different liquidity providers and make a comparison across the board.
  • #49,784
  • Sep 4, 2014 2:12am Sep 4, 2014 2:12am
Quoting CookieMonsta
{quote} hi fti, yea, thats why im looking for alternative sources to see if whats offered by different liquidity providers and make a comparison across the board.
at the sizes tickets you looking for?
goodluck man.

can you give me a good discount please.
I like to buy 1 spoonfull of sugar pls.

nevermind is ok to try.
Just don't get too disappointed.
you may find nice price , once in a billion.
If you play nice, may even get it for free.
You get what you supposed to get and also what you not supposed to get.



regards
  • #49,785
  • Sep 4, 2014 2:18am Sep 4, 2014 2:18am
Quoting fti
{quote} calculate outcome? you look at the spreads and already you know you on the platter. whats there to calculate? the length and width of the coffin? no need, these days creamation is the trend. Just need a bottle. http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bNg-xClEnqM regards eeeer , try find one that floats. so that they can send it away on a journey. good riddence to the bad rubbish.
-_- damn financial fallout zone for me
radiation too strong, am not equipped to properly even distinguish
I'm the seal
Inserted Video
  • #49,786
  • Sep 4, 2014 2:18am Sep 4, 2014 2:18am
Quoting fti
{quote} at the sizes tickets you looking for? goodluck man. can you give me a good discount please. I like to buy 1 spoonfull of sugar pls. regards
hi fti,

yea, thats part of the problem i run into.

so thinking of other ways to get fixed income,
currently thinking if buying 1 year us treasury bonds and selling covered calls against it is viable.
  • #49,787
  • Sep 4, 2014 2:23am Sep 4, 2014 2:23am
Quoting Swis
{quote} -_- damn financial fallout zone for me radiation too strong, am not equipped to properly even distinguish I'm the seal https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=TsjBfs-4svg

oh now you understand.
why stay under the radar.

You not old man with nothing to lose anyways, and have lots experience handle sharks, like some old fool i know.
I have a couple alternating comps, but it feels like i am on a server farm.


regards
  • #49,788
  • Edited 2:43am Sep 4, 2014 2:27am | Edited 2:43am
Quoting CookieMonsta
{quote} hi fti, yea, thats part of the problem i run into. so thinking of other ways to get fixed income, currently thinking if buying 1 year us treasury bonds and selling covered calls against it is viable.
can you compete pricing against panda?
trying scalp panda?
they have lots at 30 yeras end they trying compress time for.

1 word of advice if i may.
try stay in safety of numbers, instead of pioneering new avenues.
Leave that to product managers and big guns.
every auntchoive knows that.

I never buy cuttingedge tech anymore.
I try stay at least 1 generation behind.
Alpha and beta testers, they not understand death.
Dying is a lonely business, it doesn't mean if you die in big group is any less.
But that doesn't mean you should wonder out alone on a desert journey.

On onset i already told you peeps not go that way.
Long Sword, there's nothing there for retail.
but if you understands what its like, then the sword not become so invisible only.
OK?
If you see long sword action , duck.
You not have any armour prevent the penetration.


regards
  • #49,789
  • Sep 4, 2014 3:09am Sep 4, 2014 3:09am
see what happened to the aud when mole discovered?
is tough battle already, but i not afraid, its on a flow.
is a calculated risk.
The masters of the universe?
They may rogue.

regards

But remember they also have tools.
i watching see which mouth moves.
Just need slide the punch and return the combination.
In riing terms is called watch em damn eyes.

The past month all had been trading opinions only.
Those not caught on opinions wagon , they laughing flowing to the bank. river bank.
Problem is there many mouths.
If cannot convince em , confuse em.
Once confused, new driver, fear.
  • #49,790
  • Edited 4:31am Sep 4, 2014 3:38am | Edited 4:31am
in fact , i a little wary about the investors who do time depos.
real fixed income security, comes from day to day roll over.

why would any one subject their depos to jail terms?
One knows along the term tenure, some bandits will create cause to rob of all the gains.
Would be lucky in some instances get principals back.

I can only think 1 excuse, plain lazy.

I esp love those mindless who lends out for 30 year stretches, on 5 year operational terms of administration.
If thats not a gamble, what is?

regards

would you buy a 900 year lease on a building that has a 5 year renewal shelf life?
anyone want offer me pay me my full lifetime remunerations today. i can sign lifetime contract with you.
eeer 1 condition. marked payment adjusted in full to purchasing power parity when suits adjusted daily.
Would be so stupid of me accept lump sum payment and have it inflated or deflated to pitence.
Pls adjust and amortise to daily change marked to free market goods and services indexs.

What a demanding pain in the no sunlight?
now you understand why weekly monthly wages with annual reviews?

But they clever.
writer have option default at any time, with or without assigning reasonable reasons.
They have powder. any one see unfair contracts?
ya i understand, is acceptable practise because of adult consent. so lets f em, is expected.
no consumemation, null and void.

The only reason why you can enjoy a nice day at the beaches is because some one is made scavanging thru the landfills, and some one is running his ox on the lands while the smart kids steal the productivity sell printed pieces of paper enforced by little pieces of lead.
I guess the caste system is modernised, but at least some decency and honour please.
  • #49,791
  • Edited 5:11am Sep 4, 2014 4:39am | Edited 5:11am
lets see mole or you is faster.
If link gets killed.
buy dvd, Baraka by Ron Fricke 1992.
for deeper understand get with subs, easier understand the visuals.
few had opportunity go ALL these places.
samsara is followup project.

Most of my old links all dead already.
This the real world.
Yours may be illusion, virtual reality.



Inserted Video
  • #49,792
  • Sep 4, 2014 4:42am Sep 4, 2014 4:42am
Quoting fti
{quote} can you compete pricing against panda? trying scalp panda? they have lots at 30 yeras end they trying compress time for. 1 word of advice if i may. try stay in safety of numbers, instead of pioneering new avenues. Leave that to product managers and big guns. every auntchoive knows that. I never buy cuttingedge tech anymore. I try stay at least 1 generation behind. Alpha and beta testers, they not understand death. Dying is a lonely business, it doesn't mean if you die in big group is any less. But that doesn't mean you should wonder...
hi fti,

was never trying to scalp panda.

so i guess all these is just can see cannot touch huh? just like the peking roast ducks all hang up nicely dripping oil, but all behind a glass window.

guess i should head back to the basics.
  • #49,793
  • Sep 4, 2014 5:13am Sep 4, 2014 5:13am
hi guys,
can someone explain this video?
Inserted Video
  • #49,794
  • Sep 4, 2014 6:31am Sep 4, 2014 6:31am
Quoting Marston
hi guys, can someone explain this video? https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=p8MqhRAom_s
hi, this just describe how crosses work.

crosses work by having eurusd and usdjpy produce eurjpy by having eurusd*usdjpy=eurjpy

http://www.babypips.com/school/high-...ross-pair.html

as for the secret part, i think what they are trying to find a pair that can do triangular arbitrage, or trying to find the lagging pair and arb it, but these are not lasting at all, hft firms would have arb-ed them out already, all you probably would end up doing is pay 3x spreads, since this happens in such a fast frequency, at a microsecond level, also there is no guarantee this works, since the situation change on you very fast by having a fast counter impulse wave against you.
id be careful about this if i were you, anytime anyone says secret means they want to hide stuff from you, and when you have money on it, better to not have anything hidden from you.
  • #49,795
  • Edited 9:27am Sep 4, 2014 9:13am | Edited 9:27am
@ fork have you read these?

I urge everyone check your brokers out.

http://www.forexfactory.com/news.php?do=news&id=502849

http://forexmagnates.com/ironfx-fril...-filed-on-air/

http://forexmagnates.com/chinese-sta...of-fx-trading/

http://forexmagnates.com/trying-to-s...st-you-dearly/

please remember if you make the mistakes, there is very little help you can get.
Credit risk is number 1 thingy in trading, counter-party risk. Mostly you dealing with across borders parties.
arbitration will never be easy pizzy. if you not happy with counterparty best you not trade until find locally regulated parties.

anyway if you ask me, any form of gearing leverage is fools gold, lots greed.
read your risk disclosure, these products are not for everyone.
and if you ask me, i think is only for legit hedgers, Greed is very expensive.

And the internet operated services, can they be trusted, i don't need tell you do I?

regards
  • #49,796
  • Sep 4, 2014 9:30am Sep 4, 2014 9:30am
every one took profits yet?

regards

aud is ok, but euro is very naughty scouts.
still stuck.
  • #49,797
  • Sep 4, 2014 9:39am Sep 4, 2014 9:39am
Hello fti, it's been a long time since I stopped by to say hello. I am very happy to see you posting and hope you are well. Good trading to you and all the TAF friends!
  • #49,798
  • Sep 4, 2014 9:53am Sep 4, 2014 9:53am
now that opportunity presents it self we take a look at the crossing issues again.
if one was long euros and crossed the euro cables . you would be long euro short cables.
what happened to your positions. see where the euro cable market.

so remember lesson, ok. NEVER.

regards
  • #49,799
  • Sep 4, 2014 10:35am Sep 4, 2014 10:35am
Quoting fti
now that opportunity presents it self we take a look at the crossing issues again. if one was long euros and crossed the euro cables . you would be long euro short cables. what happened to your positions. see where the euro cable market. so remember lesson, ok. NEVER. regards
Not being creative in that sense anymore
seems the short sword is like the long one, might start to withdraw funds
this retail game seems so bleak from the way your point out its flaws.
I'll best heed your advice to avoid damage
I can't even learn how all the tools work properly, it is like a giant fake simulator of the real thing.
  • #49,800
  • Edited 11:35am Sep 4, 2014 10:41am | Edited 11:35am
Quoting Marston
hi guys, can someone explain this video? https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=p8MqhRAom_s
Didn't had time look at your video until now.
Was too busy trying manage the aud, get some extra foreign cap while euro bleeds till when.

ok so you have theory that there is a fibo price relation ship amongst the majors.
Thats no secret.
even during bretton woods Gold standard, there was currency envelope relationship between the currencies.
So lets say you smart robot and tracking the relationship shift.
There many relationship balances.
For discussion sake we take 4 majors and the proxy RMB , the aud. so 5.
what the move permutations? 5 to power 5.

So how does having the read beats ability dance the now?
Good try.

regards

They wait for customers in nice positions then move against where the customers are doing.
So unless you can see customer flows. How do you determine which one has legs and which one not.

Just for discuss, you see how euro is man handled.
ok, so now all euro longs caught.
all stops and speculative positions will be targets.
unless they finished with all the ducks that is of any size.
The bleed won't stop. Of course unless some event takes place, over ride the duck hunt.
If anyone is leveraged and long, you on radar some where.( your account buyin point, some peeps place their calculated buy in stop losses.)
the question is , whether they can get to you. if you out of the money.
If you are big enough to be on radar, all they need is flash quote it there once and you dead as a nail.
Where you think all the long candle wicks comes from?

Do you understand, this OTC markets, is made markets.
Someone/s makes the markets.
Is not price timed and sales markets.

Anyone remember the swissy cross issues brought up by the CB 1.2?
you could have a bid with bank for a trillion.
and some one in north pole could trade 10 pips below your bid and you no gets filled.
because where your orders were, they didn't traded there.
But your stop would be, because is advantages for filling it.
you order asked sell lower than where market is.
north pole traded , so he not stupid not to fill you. Is to his advantage fill your stop.
Is legally done. market was there for a split second, so legally you filled.

But there sometime honourable dealers that check, if markets really was there and pass.
But please don't expect broking to.

Maybe yu would understand my ranting about broking/marketmaking conflicts of interest now.
But how do we solve this?
you tickets not marketable sizes and if retail no take opposite to you trade you may never gets filled unless you overrunned by at least 10-15 pips.
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