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AUD/USD

  • #84,361
  • Sep 1, 2014 9:01pm Sep 1, 2014 9:01pm
The current pattern tells me bullish outcome and tomorrow up.

Everyone is waiting bad data but no reaction.
  • #84,362
  • Sep 1, 2014 9:05pm Sep 1, 2014 9:05pm
Can someone explain to me why the AU went down?... I would have though that the news would have driven the price up a bit since the building approvals were up higher than expected. I didn't place a trade just trying to learn.
Learning is all about about asking the right questions!
  • #84,363
  • Sep 1, 2014 9:09pm Sep 1, 2014 9:09pm
I'm thinking something happened in US or Eastern block just now. GU, EU, AU all dropped and UJ went up.
Winners add to winning trades!
  • #84,364
  • Sep 1, 2014 9:10pm Sep 1, 2014 9:10pm
i can tell you this much, the data today doesnt matter because you'll have the cash rates and the RBA statement later on..
And tomorrow and thursday way more important data coming up.

As for the down move, it's due to the fact USDJPY broke and boosted US strenght all over + 10 pips down to get stoplosses on aud.

Thats all i know for now, i consider it way to risky to get on right now this can go either side i'm waiting for this to hit one of the big dayly/weekly trendline i drew so i can get on board again..
  • #84,365
  • Sep 1, 2014 9:11pm Sep 1, 2014 9:11pm
Quoting reeeen4
Can someone explain to me why the AU went down?... I would have though that the news would have driven the price up a bit since the building approvals were up higher than expected. I didn't place a trade just trying to learn.
Because it was destined to. Although I do think I missed it by a couple pips.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: audusdmh4.png Size: 64 KB
Ghost Rider - WWTBMD?
  • #84,366
  • Sep 1, 2014 9:14pm Sep 1, 2014 9:14pm
Domino effect and quite trading ....

1:20pm AUDRBA Gov Stevens Speaks - this will be real bomb !!!

So, before this AUD must be lifted to the top above 0.940xxx
  • #84,367
  • Sep 1, 2014 9:17pm Sep 1, 2014 9:17pm
Agree With Windstrown. The AUD.USD moves inversely to the cross pairs USD.JPY and EUR.JPY on that note both pairs especially USD.JPY looks to target 1.05 in the short term. Longer term with the stance of the BOJ every pullback will be greeted as a buying oppurtunity and should push the cross pairs muc higher.

I have taken a position in AUD sept futures on this drop looks interesting.

Good luck to all.
  • #84,368
  • Sep 1, 2014 9:18pm Sep 1, 2014 9:18pm
Quoting SydneyGuru
Domino effect and quite trading .... 1:20pm AUDRBA Gov Stevens Speaks - this will be real bomb !!! So, before this AUD must be lifted to the top above 0.940xxx
what about this one???????????????????????????????
Quoting SydneyGuru
{quote} Do not worry. Last so impressive move was 6 Aug. and after we can see much more impressive move down. As I said - this is a typical AUD behaviour. Last week before RBA ... all month bad data ... no fundamentals for move ... as i said .... sun storm melted brains
  • #84,369
  • Sep 1, 2014 9:19pm Sep 1, 2014 9:19pm
well you be careful with that thought sidney although you might be right, some of these moves make me think inc data on US will be worse than expected and us will lose some power by the end of this week.

I'm playing this safe and staying on the edges only for entrys.
I do like your vision and albchr picture though but the USD side might make that way more flat having oposite effects on the same days..
  • #84,370
  • Sep 1, 2014 9:22pm Sep 1, 2014 9:22pm
Quoting HelloOz
{quote} what about this one??????????????????????????????? {quote}

From the new top ! new top not reached yet. I am not the God. can't move the market -)))

all about patterns and AUD traditions -)))
  • #84,371
  • Sep 1, 2014 9:41pm Sep 1, 2014 9:41pm
Quoting SydneyGuru
{quote} From the new top ! new top not reached yet. I am not the God. can't move the market -))) all about patterns and AUD traditions -)))
This is going over the top again .... not the way to get attention to yourself for whatever reason ........

Please stop your nonsense if you have no idea what you are talking about and the correlation of USD, JPY, AUD ....
  • #84,372
  • Sep 1, 2014 9:45pm Sep 1, 2014 9:45pm
The RBA has made is clear on multiple occasions that a weak AUD is what it ultimately wants. Longer term there is no doubt a technical bearish bias on all commodity currencies including Aud & Cad. Aud has far to much noise above simply have a look at the weekly chart becomes very clear.Shorter term there may very well be a long trade here in the Aud.Usd. Ive placed that bet on the long side for the ST with a longer term bearish view

Cheers guys good luck on your trades long or short.
  • #84,373
  • Sep 1, 2014 10:21pm Sep 1, 2014 10:21pm
im liking the pattern on the 1hour 30 day.
at the bottom of a 3 week uptrend on aud/usd

with the cash rate expected to stay the same i see a rise in the aussie
  • #84,374
  • Sep 1, 2014 11:06pm Sep 1, 2014 11:06pm
Quoting Ken A
{quote} This is going over the top again .... not the way to get attention to yourself for whatever reason ........ Please stop your nonsense if you have no idea what you are talking about and the correlation of USD, JPY, AUD ....
Ken,

I said before that AUD is going down before the RBA and first day up before RBA and said that bulls stops 0.93 must be taken !

What we can see ?

FX played in opposite way ... firstly up then down before RBA

And it is not typical patter move down before RBA ... this pattern always suggest move UP
  • #84,375
  • Sep 1, 2014 11:15pm Sep 1, 2014 11:15pm
Quoting Ken A
{quote} This is going over the top again .... not the way to get attention to yourself for whatever reason ........ Please stop your nonsense if you have no idea what you are talking about and the correlation of USD, JPY, AUD ....
Ken,

I closed my position at 0.93 today -)) remember I said last week - this rally must sold.

Now I am long because all worries materialised already and EUR/USD at the bottom ... correction up expecting.

Also, I told that next week will be down move ... so, lets see who making noses -)))
  • #84,376
  • Sep 1, 2014 11:24pm Sep 1, 2014 11:24pm
Quoting SydneyGuru
{quote} Ken, I closed my position at 0.93 today -)) remember I said last week - this rally must sold. Now I am long because all worries materialised already and EUR/USD at the bottom ... correction up expecting. Also, I told that next week will be down move ... so, lets see who making noses -)))
lol...
Ken, he is THE Guru..
  • #84,377
  • Sep 1, 2014 11:38pm Sep 1, 2014 11:38pm
Quoting SydneyGuru
Hi Guys. Surprisingly, but bulls is going to crash bears ... telling me this pattern on Days and hours graphs. I expecting finally this week 0.9380 target after as predicted move down last week ... and EUR correction not materialized yet. Could be Sept - Oct months UP and from NOVEMBER down when Glenn drop interests again. This is my view
Guess that one didn't work out.
As the lights go by so too do the shadows move
  • #84,378
  • Sep 1, 2014 11:44pm Sep 1, 2014 11:44pm
Quoting SydneyGuru
{quote} This move was during sun storm which was 3 days in a row .... and market ignored all
Nut case
  • #84,379
  • Sep 1, 2014 11:47pm Sep 1, 2014 11:47pm
after the candle close will show us the way
  • #84,380
  • Sep 1, 2014 11:47pm Sep 1, 2014 11:47pm
FINALLY! some movement and AU lost the 93 handle for now. Hopefully this defines the trend better and enough of those boring consolidation.

Since Stevens mentioned about AUD being above its fundamental value, hopefully the bulls start giving up seats for the bears entrance.
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