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The similarity system

  • #7,081
  • Aug 27, 2014 5:02am Aug 27, 2014 5:02am
Quoting Ezzy
{quote} Hi Josh, no problems , that's not my target anyway. My question was more general but in relation to the correlation between rare events and price returning to rare events. Cheers Ezzy
Sorry I miss understand you mate, Yes when a rare event happens we can predict that it will not happen again, so I will expect price to go back to my target!

Best of luck mate
  • #7,082
  • Aug 27, 2014 5:12am Aug 27, 2014 5:12am
Russian soldiers crossed over to Ukrainian town. That's got to be important right?
If you fall, I shall be there. - The floor
  • #7,083
  • Edited 8:05am Aug 27, 2014 6:19am | Edited 8:05am
that up that failed with 2 pips on the first attempt finally happened but I could not post the second attempt. Anyway. I am preparing to bring back my probabilities soon. It is just a guide. feel free to ignore.

The similarity concept is powerful because of its flexibility. Let us see how the next series of analysis predict the market!
  • #7,084
  • Aug 27, 2014 6:19am Aug 27, 2014 6:19am
Short target > 1.3175
  • #7,085
  • Aug 27, 2014 6:21am Aug 27, 2014 6:21am
Quoting Eurusdd
that up that failed with 2 pips on the first attempt finally happened but I could not post the second attempt. Anyway. I am preparing to bring back my probabilities soon. It is just a guide. feel free to ignore.
That would be GREAT
  • #7,086
  • Aug 27, 2014 6:28am Aug 27, 2014 6:28am
Quoting josh11
{quote} This is what I love about this thread every one is trading the concept with different calls lol I am expecting 1.31670 to be taken out soon as said earlier Lets see best of luck

And for me that is good. because I can assign numbers(weight) to each of those numbers in my analysis.

I don't care if the person is wrong or right. The weights, I control!!!
  • #7,087
  • Aug 27, 2014 6:33am Aug 27, 2014 6:33am
Quoting Eurusdd
{quote} And for me that is good. because I can assign numbers(weight) to each of those numbers in my analysis. I don't care if the person is wrong or right. The weights, I control!!!
Does it mean that you use analysis from your group for your calls here? Or the predictions are entirely up to your own analysis ?
  • #7,088
  • Aug 27, 2014 6:41am Aug 27, 2014 6:41am
pressure building to the down side again for eurusd.
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  • #7,089
  • Aug 27, 2014 6:47am Aug 27, 2014 6:47am
Quoting Eurusdd
that up that failed with 2 pips on the first attempt finally happened but I could not post the second attempt. Anyway. I am preparing to bring back my probabilities soon. It is just a guide. feel free to ignore. The similarity concept is powerful because of its flexible. Let us see how the next series of analysis predict the market!
More details or info on the probabilities would be appreciated. I can understand your concept in parts, I have even calculated the probabilities but am yet to find a way of trading them successfully, I suspect I am missing something to filter the bad trades. I look forward to the next instalment in the adventure!
  • #7,090
  • Aug 27, 2014 6:56am Aug 27, 2014 6:56am
Quoting Eurusdd
pressure building to the down side again for eurusd.{image}
Glad we are on the same track

There so many people watching and reading this thread yet not many want to get involve, I asked some question there last couple of days to help you think in the right way but yet very little reply!!

Anyway best of luck
  • #7,091
  • Aug 27, 2014 7:04am Aug 27, 2014 7:04am
Today, Euro yields sitting record low.

The round number of 1.31 served as resistance several times - will it reach today?
If you fall, I shall be there. - The floor
  • #7,092
  • Aug 27, 2014 7:20am Aug 27, 2014 7:20am
Quoting mhejek
{quote} yes i did.r-v1 and r-v2.both from firts page. i upload what my mt4 got {image}
Do you use this ? http://www.forexfactory.com/showthread.php?p=7683752#post7683752
  • #7,093
  • Aug 27, 2014 7:29am Aug 27, 2014 7:29am
Quoting Eurusdd
.... Anyway. I am preparing to bring back my probabilities soon. It is just a guide. feel free to ignore. The similarity concept is powerful because of its flexible. Let us see how the next series of analysis predict the market!
Great ... waiting for it.
  • #7,094
  • Aug 27, 2014 7:30am Aug 27, 2014 7:30am
Quoting Eurusdd
pressure building to the down side again for eurusd.{image}
This is good ...
Good friends are more valuable than gold ...
  • #7,095
  • Aug 27, 2014 7:56am Aug 27, 2014 7:56am
Quoting Eurusdd
pressure building to the down side again for eurusd.
This pair is just crazy. I agree, and we must go down again.

Looks like we are pulling through the level shown here and on you're chart
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Not about how much you win, but how much you loose
  • #7,096
  • Aug 27, 2014 8:00am Aug 27, 2014 8:00am
similarity on 30min and 60min charts. that green arrow will be taken! Keep your eyes there ooh.
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  • #7,097
  • Aug 27, 2014 8:03am Aug 27, 2014 8:03am
Quoting josh11
Just a question to you all here! At what point do you deicide that what you are doing here is right?? (Profitable) backtesting/forward testing and live testing?? Interested to see your answers Thanks
Ou yes, i must do a back test ... good idea. Thanks

Quoting Eurusdd
similarity on 30min and 60min charts. that green arrow will be taken! Keep your eyes there ooh.{image}
Thank you Eurusdd ...
  • #7,098
  • Aug 27, 2014 8:07am Aug 27, 2014 8:07am
further back: 30mins and 60mins

60mins
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30mins
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  • #7,099
  • Aug 27, 2014 8:14am Aug 27, 2014 8:14am
Quoting giovanni4000
{quote} Ou yes, i must do a back test ... good idea. Thanks {quote} Thank you Eurusdd ...
The best way to know you are doing the right thing is simple:

Don't sit in your little room and trade all by yourself. Be bold and tell others where you think the market will go. Expect fire when you consistently go wrong. That is a sure sign you are doing something wrong!

If you can tell others what you think about the market that is a sign you believe you have a window! To get it right most of the time, when you are not the only one expecting to see if you are wrong or right... is a good good sign.
  • #7,100
  • Aug 27, 2014 8:15am Aug 27, 2014 8:15am
That monster EURUSD seems hungry in its ranging cage! Better not stay infront when it comes out of it
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