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AUD/USD

  • #83,921
  • Aug 15, 2014 7:29am Aug 15, 2014 7:29am
Sitting tight. flat here. Working on GBP/AUD like I work AUD/USD...adjusting some things...adding some things...looking forward to this...
"Holy Grail" exists - accepting where is the first step.
  • #83,922
  • Aug 15, 2014 7:57am Aug 15, 2014 7:57am
what did just happen on most of the yen pairs ? was up a few pips earlier now iwth the reversal got hit on the SLs
  • #83,923
  • Aug 15, 2014 8:03am Aug 15, 2014 8:03am
Ukraine escalating. Jpy ups. Next week com dollar will start pushing up tooalong with commodities
  • #83,924
  • Aug 15, 2014 8:14am Aug 15, 2014 8:14am
Quoting sethsera
what did just happen on most of the yen pairs ? was up a few pips earlier now iwth the reversal got hit on the SLs

http://www.forexfactory.com/news.php?do=news&id=499636

Yen is one of the safe havens in times of trouble. Closed my GU and EJ longs, holding my AU long for now.
As the lights go by so too do the shadows move
  • #83,925
  • Aug 15, 2014 8:23am Aug 15, 2014 8:23am
Quoting Matts Micro
{quote} http://www.forexfactory.com/news.php?do=news&id=499636 Yen is one of the safe havens in times of trouble. Closed my GU and EJ longs, holding my AU long for now.
reason for closing gu may i ask?
  • #83,926
  • Aug 15, 2014 8:26am Aug 15, 2014 8:26am
Quoting bodkins
{quote} reason for closing gu may i ask?
The USD is also considered a safe haven.
As the lights go by so too do the shadows move
  • #83,927
  • Aug 15, 2014 8:31am Aug 15, 2014 8:31am
Quoting Matts Micro
{quote} The USD is also considered a safe haven.
yes it is. but given next week's news releases. gu should go up imho
  • #83,928
  • Aug 15, 2014 8:40am Aug 15, 2014 8:40am
i am holding my short for AU...
  • #83,929
  • Aug 15, 2014 8:41am Aug 15, 2014 8:41am
Quoting bodkins
{quote} yes it is. but given next week's news releases. gu should go up imho
Yah was looking at this too when I traded (though the open was based on technical reasons). If the Russian/Ukraine conflict blows out over the weekend I would be in a loss. I thought it better to B.E. than to "gamble" everything will be ok when the market opens on Monday. Even with positive news releases next week, with bad news in Ukraine it still could be negative. If it turns out ok I may still have an opportunity to enter at a better price.
As the lights go by so too do the shadows move
  • #83,930
  • Aug 17, 2014 1:16am Aug 17, 2014 1:16am
AU still looking positive for a further move up imo.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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As the lights go by so too do the shadows move
  • #83,931
  • Aug 17, 2014 3:12am Aug 17, 2014 3:12am
Quoting Matts Micro
AU still looking positive for a further move up imo. {image}
Just wondering Why have you drawn the top line of the descending channel below the candle wicks? If the line had been drawn from their tops it would show price being contained within the descending channel.
  • #83,932
  • Aug 17, 2014 6:20am Aug 17, 2014 6:20am
Quoting Matts Micro
AU still looking positive for a further move up imo. {image}
You are right, especially if you look at EUR/USD. I move to this week my last week target 0.9380

around 25 - 26 aug. will be turning point sharp down.
  • #83,933
  • Aug 17, 2014 10:02am Aug 17, 2014 10:02am
Quoting oztrader79
{quote} Just wondering Why have you drawn the top line of the descending channel below the candle wicks? If the line had been drawn from their tops it would show price being contained within the descending channel.
Hi. Sure there is a TL forming there, though not sure how strong it will be as it has only 3-5 touches at most atm (if I have displayed your meaning correctly). The TL that I have drawn has stopped price around 10+ times before a bodied candle broke the line making it a more significant line imo and I will be looking for those repercussions in the price. It is always possible to fan out a TL but by the time the decision is made to trade the BO it could be over.

On top of this the BO has reacted like it should imo, with the BO and then a pullback to the TL before a further move up.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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As the lights go by so too do the shadows move
  • #83,934
  • Aug 17, 2014 7:08pm Aug 17, 2014 7:08pm
Trading back below the 61.8 fib @ 0.9322 & Daily pivot 0.9316
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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  • #83,935
  • Aug 17, 2014 7:27pm Aug 17, 2014 7:27pm
My EA is telling me likely back up to test 9322 before making another low intra-day
  • #83,936
  • Aug 17, 2014 7:57pm Aug 17, 2014 7:57pm
Well that's another sell now...imo
  • #83,937
  • Aug 17, 2014 7:58pm Aug 17, 2014 7:58pm
Could it be another low-volume melt-up until the London open. Sell it in Europe and buy it back when London closes.

Is a pattern emerging here?

  • #83,938
  • Aug 17, 2014 8:49pm Aug 17, 2014 8:49pm
Quoting Orly
Could it be another low-volume melt-up until the London open. Sell it in Europe and buy it back when London closes. Is a pattern emerging here?
Could be... personally the only clear pattern i can see is the Aussie repeatedly trying to frustrating me...hahaa
  • #83,939
  • Aug 17, 2014 8:59pm Aug 17, 2014 8:59pm
I'd just like to point out (while i'm bored) that silver is getting close to some attractive levels (back to multi-year lows)
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  • #83,940
  • Aug 17, 2014 9:10pm Aug 17, 2014 9:10pm
Quoting RBlackburn
{quote} Could be... personally the only clear pattern i can see is the Aussie repeatedly trying to frustrating me...hahaa
This pair has been quiet for the long and short trader. Eventually one will be rewarded.
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