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NZD/USD

  • #7,061
  • Jul 29, 2014 1:52am Jul 29, 2014 1:52am
hi guys, if this happened because of news why isn't it shown anywhere i searched many calendars but it wasn't anywhere how d i follow it in future..
  • #7,062
  • Jul 29, 2014 2:14am Jul 29, 2014 2:14am
Went in just below the small bar following the large bar....trailing my stop just above each bar...
Attached Image
  • #7,063
  • Jul 29, 2014 2:47am Jul 29, 2014 2:47am
Finally got to 0,850X level.

NZDUSD long @0,8508, 7 lots, TP 0,8708 (1/3), 0,8723 (1/3), 0,8738 (1/3), SL 0,8408 ... RR 1:2 as usual.
  • #7,064
  • Jul 29, 2014 3:17am Jul 29, 2014 3:17am
Quoting ptcl
hi guys, if this happened because of news why isn't it shown anywhere i searched many calendars but it wasn't anywhere how d i follow it in future..
Mostly as it's not on an NZ economic calendar. It was just Fonterra releasing news about their payout to farmers. It's more a matter of following places like the NZ Herald and Interest.co.nz to try and get a heads up etc.
  • #7,065
  • Jul 29, 2014 3:20am Jul 29, 2014 3:20am
Quoting Spik
Finally got to 0,850X level. NZDUSD long @0,8508, 7 lots, TP 0,8708 (1/3), 0,8723 (1/3), 0,8738 (1/3), SL 0,8408 ... RR 1:2 as usual.

Hi Spik... you don't think this will slip a little below 85?

Maybe touch 8480ish before retesting .86.

I've watched your messages in the past and you seem to have a good grasp on how this pair bounces etc.
  • #7,066
  • Jul 29, 2014 3:23am Jul 29, 2014 3:23am
Quoting zen252
{quote} this will slip a little below 85? Maybe touch 8480ish before retesting .86.
It might, of course, always a probability... but RR-wise 0,850X is a good place to enter long.
  • #7,067
  • Jul 29, 2014 3:27am Jul 29, 2014 3:27am
Quoting Spik
{quote} It might, of course, always a probability... but RR-wise 0,850X is a good place to enter long.

I hope your right as I would love the opportunity to re-enter some shorts at 87ish.
  • #7,068
  • Jul 29, 2014 4:32am Jul 29, 2014 4:32am
Quoting zen252
{quote} Hi Spik... you don't think this will slip a little below 85? Maybe touch 8480ish before retesting .86. I've watched your messages in the past and you seem to have a good grasp on how this pair bounces etc.
Guys Fonterra news is a big news. You have to realize, NZ is not a big country and it is a very small populated country. Fonterra is one of the biggest producers of Dairy Products. This is the foundation of NZ. If there is a price change at Fonterra, this could cause a ripple effect in the country. No money = slow down spending = slow down economy = interest rate have to be paused = price of housing fall. You tell me. This is not a problem?
  • #7,069
  • Jul 29, 2014 5:29am Jul 29, 2014 5:29am
Yep... there goes 1.8% of our GDP...

Good thing we have/had projected growth of 3.7% next year...

Quote
hi guys, if this happened because of news why isn't it shown anywhere i searched many calendars but it wasn't anywhere how d i follow it in future..

Read the currencies page of interest dot co dot nz every day and you'll be up with the best.

They also have a great NZ focused risk event calendar linked below

www.interest.co.nz/economic-calendar
  • #7,070
  • Jul 29, 2014 5:33am Jul 29, 2014 5:33am
Quoting kingleeny
{quote} Guys Fonterra news is a big news. You have to realize, NZ is not a big country and it is a very small populated country. Fonterra is one of the biggest producers of Dairy Products. This is the foundation of NZ. If there is a price change at Fonterra, this could cause a ripple effect in the country. No money = slow down spending = slow down economy = interest rate have to be paused = price of housing fall. You tell me. This is not a problem?
I agree..Its a problem...fundamental problem... and maybe technical point of view should be replaced with fundamentals this time ...
It's tough to make predictions, especially about the future...
  • #7,071
  • Jul 29, 2014 5:47am Jul 29, 2014 5:47am
I'm looking at 0.84 for a bounce candidate level as it was June's 4th lowest low, any ideas?
  • #7,072
  • Jul 29, 2014 7:36am Jul 29, 2014 7:36am
L .8512, sl .8504, tp .8656

R:R 1:24
  • #7,073
  • Jul 29, 2014 7:39am Jul 29, 2014 7:39am
Quoting Karpa
I'm looking at 0.84 for a bounce candidate level as it was June's 4th lowest low, any ideas?
If .85 doesnt hold that's where I'll be looking
  • #7,074
  • Jul 29, 2014 8:14am Jul 29, 2014 8:14am
The range of movement post FOMC is around 100-150-ish pips so far this year with the exception of the June meeting probably due to the summer lull. If Yellen doesn't go hard on dovishness, we'll likely see the NZD continue to slide down to 84-ish.
  • #7,075
  • Jul 29, 2014 11:06am Jul 29, 2014 11:06am
i am not pro but i see 50 pips going up or more from this point now.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: nzdusd-h4-international-capital-markets.png Size: 38 KB
  • #7,076
  • Jul 29, 2014 11:13am Jul 29, 2014 11:13am
Quoting cobracoder
i am not pro but i see 50 pips going up or more from this point now. {image}
Let it hit 0.8000 before you look at crystal ball.
All posts are my personal opinion
  • #7,077
  • Jul 29, 2014 11:53am Jul 29, 2014 11:53am
Quoting Rtm
{quote} Let it hit 0.8000 before you look at crystal ball.

before that much.. we should retrace buddy
  • #7,078
  • Jul 29, 2014 11:56am Jul 29, 2014 11:56am
Quoting cobracoder
{quote} before that much.. we should retrace buddy
Okay maybe you grab 50 pip good job. See you in the .7300s
All posts are my personal opinion
  • #7,079
  • Jul 29, 2014 2:01pm Jul 29, 2014 2:01pm
Quoting Rtm
{quote} Okay maybe you grab 50 pip good job. See you in the .7300s
Shorting GBP/NZD 2.5 lots @ 1.9930 is a better deal SL 2.010 TP 1.90 that's a correct R/R.

dream about 0.73 , swap eat all your profit before it reach this level (if it reach this year).
  • #7,080
  • Jul 29, 2014 2:31pm Jul 29, 2014 2:31pm
Quoting pcca-matrix
{quote} Shorting GBP/NZD 2.5 lots @ 1.9930 is a better deal SL 2.010 TP 1.90 that's a correct R/R. dream about 0.73 , swap eat all your profit before it reach this level (if it reach this year).
A very keen point, my dear Watson
A better deal it is!
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