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AUD/USD

  • #83,221
  • Jul 25, 2014 4:44pm Jul 25, 2014 4:44pm


Attached Image
  • #83,222
  • Jul 25, 2014 6:09pm Jul 25, 2014 6:09pm
Nerds ... it's weekend
Fix up, trade sharp ...
  • #83,223
  • Edited 7:56pm Jul 25, 2014 7:26pm | Edited 7:56pm
Possible for next week:


We are approaching the 4hr 150EMA (@93.886) and 200 EMA (and 93.814) plus the 61.8 Fib from July low @ 93.825 and the 50.0 was @ 93.991.

We are also in an area of demand now 94.00 -93.80.

On the Daily we are close to the 25 EMA @ 93.886 (i know this is same as 4hr 150EMA but am thinking from point of view of traders trading differing timeframes).

With this confluence of factors I am hoping that from 93.90 we will see buyers come back in for retest of the 95.05 area. A break much below 93.80 will probably see further downside.

(as a side point I saw Danske Bank traders view have AUD long at 94.25 SL 93.80 TP 95.44)
Attached Image(s) (click to enlarge)
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Click to Enlarge Name: AUDUSDH42.png Size: 68 KB
  • #83,224
  • Jul 27, 2014 2:47am Jul 27, 2014 2:47am
hi Guys.

Last week my forecast was 100% accurate with turning point and target 0.9390

Next week forecast based on my intuition.

Mo - Up
Tu - Up
We - Hi and turning down on Yellen arount 0.9520 (most of stops will be caught)
Th - down
Fri - down adn flat.

Talk to you on friday
  • #83,225
  • Jul 27, 2014 6:09am Jul 27, 2014 6:09am
Quoting SydneyGuru
hi Guys. Last week my forecast was 100% accurate with turning point and target 0.9390 Next week forecast based on my intuition. Mo - Up Tu - Up We - Hi and turning down on Yellen arount 0.9520 (most of stops will be caught) Th - down Fri - down adn flat. Talk to you on friday

This was your forcast from last week.

Monday - DOWN because people worry about Glen noises ...
Tuesday - DOWN or UP (depends on Glen) but definitely reverse point for this day
Wed - UP on USA data
Thursday - UP on NZ
Friday - consolidation and down


Seems you had 2 out of 4 days correct which is 50% by my calculations.
  • #83,226
  • Jul 27, 2014 6:59am Jul 27, 2014 6:59am
Quoting SydneyGuru
hi Guys. Last week my forecast was 100% accurate with turning point and target 0.9390 Next week forecast based on my intuition.

Mo - Up
Tu - Up
We - Hi and turning down on Yellen arount 0.9520 (most of stops will be caught)
Th - down
Fri - down adn flat.

Talk to you on friday
So Wednesday Yellen is going to speak, yeah right.

Not going to feed you more information, you will use it to back peddling

LOL

Just stay in Commercial section
  • #83,227
  • Jul 27, 2014 11:09am Jul 27, 2014 11:09am
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: AUDUSDM30.png Size: 62 KB
THERE IS NO SYSTEM
  • #83,228
  • Jul 27, 2014 1:19pm Jul 27, 2014 1:19pm
Quoting oztrader79
Possible for next week: We are approaching the 4hr 150EMA (@93.886) and 200 EMA (and 93.814) plus the 61.8 Fib from July low @ 93.825 and the 50.0 was @ 93.991. We are also in an area of demand now 94.00 -93.80. On the Daily we are close to the 25 EMA @ 93.886 (i know this is same as 4hr 150EMA but am thinking from point of view of traders trading differing timeframes). With this confluence of factors I am hoping that from 93.90 we will see buyers come back in for retest of the 95.05 area. A break much below 93.80 will probably see further downside....
Here's hoping you are correct im long on this too!
  • #83,229
  • Jul 28, 2014 12:51am Jul 28, 2014 12:51am
Just doing a AUDUSD follow up for this week since i believe we are having some strong signals.

What i am currently looking at is the 0.9400 level for this week.

As you can see on the daily chart, the 0.9400 is pretty solid level
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: 2014-7-27 3-35-56.png Size: 32 KB

On the 4H chart, the price is hitting its uptrend line support and 200 SMA
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: 2014-7-27 20-31-40.png Size: 42 KB

On the other hand, on the 1H chart, we have price on its 200 SMA as well.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: 2014-7-27 20-25-30.png Size: 40 KB


Since we have a lost major US news coming up this week, it would definitely have strong reaction at this level.

  1. FOMC (hawkish tone is expected)
  2. Non-Farm Payroll
  3. Unemployment Rate
  4. US Consumer Confident
  5. ADP Employment Change
  6. Q2 GDP forecast
  7. ISM Manufacturing PMI

If u luv happiness, start w/ discomfort, make friends w/ pain and failure.
100 Hits 0 Miss All Time Return: 35.8%
  • #83,230
  • Jul 28, 2014 1:26am Jul 28, 2014 1:26am
Quoting oztrader79
Possible for next week: We are approaching the 4hr 150EMA (@93.886) and 200 EMA (and 93.814) plus the 61.8 Fib from July low @ 93.825 and the 50.0 was @ 93.991. We are also in an area of demand now 94.00 -93.80. On the Daily we are close to the 25 EMA @ 93.886 (i know this is same as 4hr 150EMA but am thinking from point of view of traders trading differing timeframes). With this confluence of factors I am hoping that from 93.90 we will see buyers come back in for retest of the 95.05 area. A break much below 93.80 will probably see further downside....
If USD continue to have positive data coming out next week, AU will not hit 0.9500. Sorry for your long orders, i feel maybe it's time for you to look for a different direction.

Cheers.
If u luv happiness, start w/ discomfort, make friends w/ pain and failure.
100 Hits 0 Miss All Time Return: 35.8%
  • #83,231
  • Edited 9:50am Jul 28, 2014 2:25am | Edited 9:50am
Good Morning !

Today's S/R levels on MT4 Templates

EURO
CABLE
AUDUSD

http://www.forexfactory.com/showthre...20#post7634120
FX is a Bitc*h!, No one keeps me wake all night but FX does!!
  • #83,232
  • Jul 28, 2014 2:34am Jul 28, 2014 2:34am
short the other day 0.9409 at resistance with a reversal, stop loss trailed above the daily bar...
Attached Image
  • #83,233
  • Jul 28, 2014 7:09am Jul 28, 2014 7:09am
auscad just missed my tp by .1 pip....
As the lights go by so too do the shadows move
  • #83,234
  • Jul 28, 2014 7:12am Jul 28, 2014 7:12am
can't you just close it manually, what is that 0.1 pip...???

Quoting Matts Micro
auscad just missed my tp by .1 pip....
  • #83,235
  • Jul 28, 2014 7:14am Jul 28, 2014 7:14am
Quoting bluetoss
can't you just close it manually, what is that 0.1 pip...??? {quote}
A plan is a plan. PA has dropped a little, it may come back to finish it off yet... hoping
As the lights go by so too do the shadows move
  • #83,236
  • Jul 28, 2014 7:28am Jul 28, 2014 7:28am
Quoting bluetoss
can't you just close it manually, what is that 0.1 pip...??? {quote}
Quoting Matts Micro
{quote} A plan is a plan. PA has dropped a little, it may come back to finish it off yet... hoping
Plan is a plan. But that one-tenth pip is nothing but an feel-good point. I use to be like that. I would want every single pip regardless if I was up 20 pips or 150, and most of the time it would retrace and either eat into my profits or totally reverse.
When the facts change I change my mind, what do you do sir
  • #83,237
  • Jul 28, 2014 7:29am Jul 28, 2014 7:29am
Quoting Matts Micro
auscad just missed my tp by .1 pip....
My TL worked well- pity I didn't adhere to it to the micro pip, but I wasn't expecting it come up so sharply.....

I would be surprised if it doesn't come back, just a matter of waiting now though.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: audcad #1.JPG Size: 45 KB
As the lights go by so too do the shadows move
  • #83,238
  • Jul 28, 2014 7:41am Jul 28, 2014 7:41am
Quoting Pip Anon
{quote} {quote} Plan is a plan. But that one-tenth pip is nothing but an feel-good point. I use to be like that. I would want every single pip regardless if I was up 20 pips or 150, and most of the time it would retrace and either eat into my profits or totally reverse.
Yah I hear you. It's a 30 pip scalp and was down 5 pips before I saw it. I have a fallback TL, pity it will be only around 15 pip profit if it cuts out though.
As the lights go by so too do the shadows move
  • #83,239
  • Jul 28, 2014 8:46am Jul 28, 2014 8:46am
Quoting Matts Micro
{quote} Yah I hear you. It's a 30 pip scalp and was down 5 pips before I saw it. I have a fallback TL, pity it will be only around 15 pip profit if it cuts out though.
out with +20... sigh 0.1 pip lol
As the lights go by so too do the shadows move
  • #83,240
  • Jul 28, 2014 9:49am Jul 28, 2014 9:49am
Quoting Matts Micro
{quote} Yah I hear you. It's a 30 pip scalp and was down 5 pips before I saw it. I have a fallback TL, pity it will be only around 15 pip profit if it cuts out though.
Lol, true. As long as you trail your SL ITM, that works Aussie likes to turn corners like no one's business lol
When the facts change I change my mind, what do you do sir
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