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NZD/USD

  • #7,001
  • Jul 24, 2014 7:43pm Jul 24, 2014 7:43pm
[quote=ZebraSquirl;7629884]{quote} So tempting, but I'm going to hold out for the .236 Fib at .8511:


I think I'll do that too.
If you are new to FX don"t follow my trades, I 've blown many live accounts
  • #7,002
  • Jul 24, 2014 7:50pm Jul 24, 2014 7:50pm
NZD business confidence has been a steady down trend for time now(march 2014) lets see if this one can pick up a little. Probably not. All ye kiwi's complainin of too high currency rate.
All posts are my personal opinion
  • #7,003
  • Jul 24, 2014 8:01pm Jul 24, 2014 8:01pm
Hi goodmorning guys! Just a insider teaser for the day.

Reuters Messenger:
******* - Nomura Securities: trader likes to sell eurusd rallies today
me - *********** Bank: hi gd morning
me - *********** Bank: really?
me - *********** Bank: ohgoshg
******* - Nomura Securities: likes going long nzd or better short audnzd


They say traders today are shorting eur maybe due to carry trade over 3day-swaps. I agree with them to short audnzd, but for eur i'm going to buy on 3440 levels, aint gonna sell this pair
  • #7,004
  • Jul 24, 2014 8:13pm Jul 24, 2014 8:13pm
Pretty good volume but it hasn't really dropped much, maybe a sign that investors are coming into the Kiwi for that higher yield?
  • #7,005
  • Jul 25, 2014 2:02am Jul 25, 2014 2:02am
Quoting irongoose
Pretty good volume but it hasn't really dropped much, maybe a sign that investors are coming into the Kiwi for that higher yield?
maybe
  • #7,006
  • Jul 25, 2014 4:39am Jul 25, 2014 4:39am
Long NU @85444
  • #7,007
  • Jul 25, 2014 4:40am Jul 25, 2014 4:40am
NZDUSD still keeps dropping. Double whammy - losing in forex and having to pay higher mortgage rates as I live in NZ!!
  • #7,008
  • Jul 25, 2014 4:42am Jul 25, 2014 4:42am
Quoting giveachance
{quote} I don't need to tell you what I make and what not. idiots like you come and go everyday.
Add, Add
  • #7,009
  • Jul 25, 2014 4:51am Jul 25, 2014 4:51am
Quoting Ck87
{quote} Add, Add

What you think about nzd/usd? No reverse? I think no one can stop this beast from falling down, not even one reverse...
  • #7,010
  • Jul 25, 2014 5:01am Jul 25, 2014 5:01am
My view on the Monthly is down to 23.6 fib
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: nzdusdmonthly.png Size: 124 KB
  • #7,011
  • Jul 25, 2014 5:04am Jul 25, 2014 5:04am
Quoting Corral
{quote} What you think about nzd/usd? No reverse? I think no one can stop this beast from falling down, not even one reverse...
Doesn't look like it's going to stop. Any reversals will likely get sold off as well.
  • #7,012
  • Jul 25, 2014 5:20am Jul 25, 2014 5:20am
Quoting Ck87
{quote} Doesn't look like it's going to stop. Any reversals will likely get sold off as well.
Or maybe because dollar it more strength against all currency, in last 2-3 weeks ago..
Do you think it will reverse and come back to the .87xx?
  • #7,013
  • Jul 25, 2014 5:26am Jul 25, 2014 5:26am
short 8540
i think i wont going back to 87 or even 88 in the next few months
88 is the highest since ever for nzd, commodity prices are affected
beside, one of powerful strategy to boost up the nzd (rate hike) was not affecting anymore
  • #7,014
  • Jul 25, 2014 5:30am Jul 25, 2014 5:30am
Quoting Sants
short 8540 i think i wont going back to 87 or even 88 in the next few months 88 is the highest since ever for nzd, commodity prices are affected beside, one of powerful strategy to boost up the nzd (rate hike) was not affecting anymore
any chart ?
not euphoria follower
  • #7,015
  • Jul 25, 2014 5:34am Jul 25, 2014 5:34am
Quoting Corral
{quote} Or maybe because dollar it more strength against all currency, in last 2-3 weeks ago.. Do you think it will reverse and come back to the .87xx?

Unsure sir…. all I know is the market is always fooling most people most of the time
  • #7,016
  • Jul 25, 2014 5:36am Jul 25, 2014 5:36am
dovish statement given yesterday is a whole downtrend for nzd, 8580 level broke and heading to 8497 because no any sign for reversal even fundamentally. long term retracement shows us heading to 8422
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: Screenshot1.png Size: 284 KB
  • #7,017
  • Jul 25, 2014 5:41am Jul 25, 2014 5:41am
Quoting iqyu5an
{quote} any chart ?
Iqyu5an, may i know your analyze for the last defend number nzd? .85?
  • #7,018
  • Jul 25, 2014 5:42am Jul 25, 2014 5:42am
Quoting Sants
dovish statement given yesterday is a whole downtrend for nzd, 8580 level broke and heading to 8497 because no any sign for reversal even fundamentally. long term retracement shows us heading to 8422 {image}
Did not you see "potential strong support" based on your chart ?
not euphoria follower
  • #7,019
  • Jul 25, 2014 5:45am Jul 25, 2014 5:45am
Quoting Corral
{quote} Iqyu5an, may i know your analyze for the last defend number nzd? .85?
i will wait how weekly close first ...then i can see there is pattern or not ..till now am still flat in kiwi

based on my rough analysis... here is the potential support range but no confirmation yet
not euphoria follower
  • #7,020
  • Jul 25, 2014 5:45am Jul 25, 2014 5:45am
Quoting iqyu5an
{quote} Did not you see "potential strong support" based on your chart ?
it probably at 8422. retrace from 7696 to 8840 shows the support stop at 8422 the red line for long term and yellow line for short term, retraced from the strong support i got
here's my new retracement, i got mistaken lines
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: Screenshot1.png Size: 285 KB
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