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Elliot wave, Harmonic And Ichimoku in CHINESE STYLE

  • #8,821
  • Jun 13, 2014 1:27am Jun 13, 2014 1:27am
Aussie is at its 5th up leg. Sometime, 5th leg is long,sex,slim,love leg. Do not know other pairs.

If carny plan to hike rate in sept, then, pound will rise wildly from next week, run for2.00

our miz short orders on aud usd was stop out, was not it? pity.
  • #8,822
  • Jun 19, 2014 12:18pm Jun 19, 2014 12:18pm
Hello, Alls,

Aud-usd seem like to run over 0.946x. 0.97 ?
Nzd-usd enter new sky, go 0.89 lvl is sure event.
Gbp-usd enter new sky, no resistance now, 2.0000 before Xmas. Carney may cry? or laugh? Pound become a safe heaven and beat $ to play a reserved currency again.
Eur-usd move above 1.3670, will change into bullish again. So, miz's ellipse dip work again, the best.
Gbp-jpy breakout 1st seller's stoploss -- 173.66 on 2nd daily bars, twice breakout. supply/demand, order flow, resistance traders are killed out. Next is 174.85 line. Ready for big pie at 184 and massive Xmas pie at 200 ? Men love to break in as market love to breakout.
Gold turn bullish, Indian central bank may buy a lot of gold. New Indian PM got no wife or no-sex-wife or forgot-wife, he don't need gold, so, more gold for other indian wife by indian central bank. good !
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  • #8,823
  • Edited 1:12am Jun 20, 2014 12:56am | Edited 1:12am
A full view of GBPUSD
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Cable breached 2009 high of 1.7048, negating the chance of a major horizontal triangle or a 4th wave. It's more probable a complex higher degree wave (2) developing, now at tail-end of wave x just above 2009 high.
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Elliott Wave for optimum entry, exit and risk management of trades
  • #8,824
  • Edited 8:58am Jun 20, 2014 8:43am | Edited 8:58am
Hi, Skyhok,

Oh, your wave counting is too long for me. Extreme long-term issue is not for traders, is for historian. Elliott wave has never been proven to be useful on long-term forecast, has been it?

I am only interested on less than 10 years cycle, and focus on 1 to 3 years, and love 1 to 3 months wave cycle forecast.

UK got good fiscal and monetary macro drivers behind its growth in most of area, eg. services, manufactory,banking, few population, etc. so, new long-term up business cycle may be running in UK, which is why somebody buy pound at top of the range from years.

A triangle breakout put top side target at 2.0550 level. The market intend to gear up to achieve its target.

Cheers ! Good weekend.

Gold is on way to shoot sky to make a hole on the moon.
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  • #8,825
  • Jun 22, 2014 9:20am Jun 22, 2014 9:20am
hello
its a great thread :ew & hp ...follow you with pleasure
  • #8,826
  • Edited Jun 27, 2014 3:16am Jun 26, 2014 10:55pm | Edited Jun 27, 2014 3:16am
Hi Jack168,
I'm glad u posted it as in a question form:

"Oh, your wave counting is too long for me. Extreme long-term issue is not for traders, is for historian. Elliott wave has never been proven to be useful on long-term forecast, has been it?"

Has it been proven not useful on long term forecast?

I'm only just beginning to discover the beauty of long term EW forecast as a 'road map' for future market directions, and I'm busy finding new applications of it for better entry, exit and management of my trades.

I'll have to leave the disproving of it to you.
Elliott Wave for optimum entry, exit and risk management of trades
  • #8,827
  • Jul 20, 2014 10:48pm Jul 20, 2014 10:48pm
hi skyhok
i think u have a big problem in your counting here
http://www.forexfactory.com/attachme...3&d=1401510745
the wave c could never be a 3 wave strecture :o and you are counting that wave as a triangle ?
that's abig big fault friend please recheck your chart
  • #8,828
  • Edited 3:42am Jul 21, 2014 2:22am | Edited 3:42am
Quoting WaylDz
hi skyhok i think u have a big problem in your counting here http://www.forexfactory.com/attachme...3&d=1401510745 the wave c could never be a 3 wave strecture :o and you are counting that wave as a triangle ? that's abig big fault friend please recheck your chart
Hi WayIDz,
i think the wave c you are referring is the wave c of wave B? Wave B on the AUDUSD chart is a Double Combination corrective pattern (as described in Mastering Elliott Wave , G. Neely pg. 8-5, 7, 30) as a double zigzag that ends with a triangle in the second half. This pattern appears in quite a few recent major markets and I find it working well.
Elliott Wave for optimum entry, exit and risk management of trades
  • #8,829
  • Jul 21, 2014 9:20pm Jul 21, 2014 9:20pm
mm so here is the problem you are counting with neely strecture , it's impossible for me , elliot say wave C always motive wave so how neely come after him and say that wave c could be a 3 waves ? , u can say where is the problem with counting wave c as 3 wave , i ll reply by a question where is the differents between what you are counting and WXY combination ?
  • #8,830
  • Edited 5:15am Jul 22, 2014 12:14am | Edited 5:15am
Quoting WaylDz
mm so here is the problem you are counting with neely strecture , it's impossible for me , elliot say wave C always motive wave so how neely come after him and say that wave c could be a 3 waves ? , u can say where is the problem with counting wave c as 3 wave , i ll reply by a question where is the differents between what you are counting and WXY combination ?
It's worth getting Neely's book: the Investment/Reward ratio is huge, because it describes the Double Combination in details through out the book on page 8-5, 7, 30; 11-28; 12-19, 21, 42 & 43 and answer your question.

p.s. It is not about wave C being a 3 waves.
Elliott Wave for optimum entry, exit and risk management of trades
  • #8,831
  • Jan 10, 2015 3:48pm Jan 10, 2015 3:48pm
2 years old

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  • #8,832
  • Jan 20, 2015 6:51pm Jan 20, 2015 6:51pm
http://www.forexfactory.com/showthre...88#post7345988

6 Weeks and it start to do as it should
i use other way than EW and only "basics of ew"
but this view was like mine half of it happen and couple of months and big BANG BANG Will happen
ABC>> going to finish
  • #8,833
  • Jan 21, 2015 11:25am Jan 21, 2015 11:25am
Wave counting and forecast seem a problem for euro in such a huge price structure.
Now, bullish wave counting failed. Bearish wave counting fail to count this huge price
structure as downward wave 1 in E wave.

my wave counting is a possible scenario.
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  • #8,834
  • Jan 22, 2015 4:33pm Jan 22, 2015 4:33pm
Quoting skyhok
A full view of GBPUSD {image} {image} Cable breached 2009 high of 1.7048, negating the chance of a major horizontal triangle or a 4th wave. It's more probable a complex higher degree wave (2) developing, now at tail-end of wave x just above 2009 high. {image}
Hi skyhok, do you have a source on the web for such historical charts?
  • #8,835
  • Edited 6:59pm Jan 22, 2015 6:47pm | Edited 6:59pm
Quoting alayinizAMK
{quote} Hi skyhok, do you have a source on the web for such historical charts?
Yes I have, found that only by searching Google Images:

http://www.forex-goodies.com/charts-...currency.shtml


Let me know what you think or if you've got an alternate count or view on that.
Elliott Wave for optimum entry, exit and risk management of trades
  • #8,836
  • Jan 23, 2015 6:04am Jan 23, 2015 6:04am
wow usdzar all the way from 1844 thanks alot skyhok much appreciated, and very nice count by the way you own this pair i had a hard time figuring out a count on the chart from late 1700 but tried to make a count starting from 1950's. I think lows of 2008 is going to be tested maybe even broken soon. But there could appear strong support in a year two maybe (point b on your chart). It is hard to say if this will hold but i look at it pretty much the same way as you but with a slight different count. I am also expecting a strong move to set of one at those points you marked as x and (2). I like reversing charts so did upload two. If (D) on the first chart was reached it could go both ways but i honestly i am also expecting a weak pound.

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  • #8,837
  • Jan 23, 2015 9:58am Jan 23, 2015 9:58am
Quoting alayinizAMK
wow usdzar all the way from 1844 thanks alot skyhok much appreciated, and very nice count by the way you own this pair i had a hard time figuring out a count on the chart from late 1700 but tried to make a count starting from 1950's. I think lows of 2008 is going to be tested maybe even broken soon. But there could appear strong support in a year two maybe (point b on your chart). It is hard to say if this will hold but i look at it pretty much the same way as you but with a slight different count. I am also expecting a strong move to...
Thank you for the charts and wave counts. It's great having someone who do appreciate using long term charts.

Since waves are fractal, using long term charts to determine directions to trade on daily TF , is just as useful as getting directions from daily charts to trade on hourly TF.

Look forward to see more of your long term counts, I'll do likewise.
Elliott Wave for optimum entry, exit and risk management of trades
  • #8,838
  • Jan 23, 2015 10:57am Jan 23, 2015 10:57am
Quoting skyhok
{quote} Thank you for the charts and wave counts. It's great having someone who do appreciate using long term charts. Since waves are fractal, using long term charts to determine directions to trade on daily TF , is just as useful as getting directions from daily charts to trade on hourly TF. Look forward to see more of your long term counts, I'll do likewise.
I am new to such historic charts but sure it's going to be fun analyzing them. It is amazing to see how much things can change it makes me think alot and i like that
Sure will follow your posts, and share if i find any good source with historic charts
  • #8,839
  • Jan 23, 2015 12:27pm Jan 23, 2015 12:27pm
Quoting skyhok
{quote} Thank you for the charts and wave counts. It's great having someone who do appreciate using long term charts. Since waves are fractal, using long term charts to determine directions to trade on daily TF , is just as useful as getting directions from daily charts to trade on hourly TF. Look forward to see more of your long term counts, I'll do likewise.
I couldn't stop myself, i am really excited about those charts, did you take a look at USDCAD? It is moving right now and i think it will get very close to 2001 top if this trend holds
i-V looks like a fifth wave extension, and Elliott says that double tops are very likely to occur if the fifth wave extended. So far from experince i can only agree with him. Do you have a count on this pair? if so i hope your will share, cheers
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  • #8,840
  • Edited 10:18pm Jan 23, 2015 9:44pm | Edited 10:18pm
Quoting alayinizAMK
{quote} I couldn't stop myself, i am really excited about those charts, did you take a look at USDCAD? It is moving right now and i think it will get very close to 2001 top if this trend holds i-V looks like a fifth wave extension, and Elliott says that double tops are very likely to occur if the fifth wave extended. So far from experince i can only agree with him. Do you have a count on this pair? if so i hope your will share, cheers {image}
Hi alayinizAMK, just got up and see your nice chart.

Good to see we both have the 2002 top @ 1.6200 as an impulse wave top, and here comes the time consuming correction that retrace the impulse wave.
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It's great having a few alternate counts to consider for final directions.
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Elliott Wave for optimum entry, exit and risk management of trades
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