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NZD/USD

  • #6,861
  • Jul 21, 2014 7:26am Jul 21, 2014 7:26am
NZDUSD seems following the 60 pip's range of 0.8660 - 0.8720, followed by immediate levels of 0.8642 and 0.8736 respectively. RBNZ meeting this week, can fuel the pair's volatility.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: NZDUSDH4.png Size: 48 KB
  • #6,862
  • Jul 21, 2014 7:42am Jul 21, 2014 7:42am
Hi everyone, i'm new here
here's my view on NZ
i think i want to open long
NZD oversold now(see Stochastic), and have a potential to going up(See MACD)
38.2% will hold price and reverse
have a green day
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: NZ daily.png Size: 41 KB
  • #6,863
  • Jul 21, 2014 8:29am Jul 21, 2014 8:29am
Quoting Celinee
Hi everyone, i'm new here here's my view on NZ i think i want to open long NZD oversold now(see Stochastic), and have a potential to going up(See MACD) 38.2% will hold price and reverse have a green day {image}
U cant base your point of view on oversold. If you look at the week TF you will see that it is overbought. First lever where is might start to bounce good is 0.86, before that I see no long, unless manipulated.
There is no spoon....
  • #6,864
  • Jul 21, 2014 8:31am Jul 21, 2014 8:31am
Welcome to the market Ceinee. It looks like you made a good trade decision! Good luck trading.
  • #6,865
  • Jul 21, 2014 8:34am Jul 21, 2014 8:34am
Quoting Celinee
Hi everyone, i'm new here here's my view on NZ i think i want to open long NZD oversold now(see Stochastic), and have a potential to going up(See MACD) 38.2% will hold price and reverse have a green day {image}
welcome to board...

and have green pips also

we are in the same boat

lets see

Venceremos
The good thing with the future is that it is progressively approaching...
  • #6,866
  • Jul 21, 2014 9:04am Jul 21, 2014 9:04am
Hello,
According to Myfxbook.com the U.S. 3 & 6 month Bill Auction is coming up in about an hour & half. I wonder how that is going to play out with the NZD/USD. The pair seems to be going up now. But is it because there are traders that have sell positions above the 0.8700 line? Maybe the banks?
  • #6,867
  • Jul 21, 2014 9:19am Jul 21, 2014 9:19am
Quoting Msis125125
{quote} U cant base your point of view on oversold. If you look at the week TF you will see that it is overbought. First lever where is might start to bounce good is 0.86, before that I see no long, unless manipulated.
please check weekly again, i think it's not overbought and have a room to going up

Celine
  • #6,868
  • Jul 21, 2014 9:20am Jul 21, 2014 9:20am
Quoting spinozagr
{quote} welcome to board... and have green pips also we are in the same boat lets see Venceremos
thank you
  • #6,869
  • Jul 21, 2014 9:38am Jul 21, 2014 9:38am
we have 50MA(Blue Line) and 100MA(Green Line) will hold nzd and become strong support
i'll long from 50MA
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: NZD daily.png Size: 43 KB
  • #6,870
  • Jul 21, 2014 10:54am Jul 21, 2014 10:54am
Quoting Celinee
we have 50MA(Blue Line) and 100MA(Green Line) will hold nzd and become strong support i'll long from 50MA {image}

everyone charts diff this days the way they want
  • #6,871
  • Jul 21, 2014 11:00am Jul 21, 2014 11:00am
TIMEFRAME!
There is no spoon....
  • #6,872
  • Jul 21, 2014 11:03am Jul 21, 2014 11:03am
WEEKLY TIMEFRAME WITH DOUBLE BEAR DIVERGENCE, so next 2 candles would be going down. Stoch is coming out of the 80 zone towards 50. Unless it is touched It would not change direction. also ascending wedgy as Pattern. So my take on it fibo 62 before changing direction.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: NZDUSDWeekly.png Size: 94 KB
There is no spoon....
  • #6,873
  • Jul 21, 2014 11:05am Jul 21, 2014 11:05am
Quoting Msis125125
WEEKLY TIMEFRAME WITH DOUBLE BEAR DIVERGENCE, so next 2 candles would be going down. Stoch is coming out of the 80 zone towards 50. Unless it is touched It would not change direction. also ascending wedgy as Pattern. So my take on it fibo 62 before changing direction. {image}
Also engulfing weekly as price action.
There is no spoon....
  • #6,874
  • Jul 21, 2014 2:01pm Jul 21, 2014 2:01pm
Quoting Davit
{quote} Hi Expo Interesting article http://www.nzherald.co.nz/economy/ne...ectid=11295669 "Westpac's Stephens says the central bank may consider intervening in the currency market by selling the kiwi, once next week's review is out of the way." Regards
I don't think you will see any intervention. I watched the last few RBNZ statements and it was made clear that intervention would cost too much and wasn't workable.
  • #6,875
  • Jul 21, 2014 4:03pm Jul 21, 2014 4:03pm
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: kiw1.gif Size: 138 KB
  • #6,876
  • Jul 21, 2014 5:32pm Jul 21, 2014 5:32pm
Quoting BirminghamUK
{quote} I don't think you will see any intervention. I watched the last few RBNZ statements and it was made clear that intervention would cost too much and wasn't workable.
While the RBNZ is raising interest rates direct intervention would indeed be expensive and a waste in time - basically paddling in circles with OCR paddling one way and intervention the other. This is one of the key reasons there hasn't been any intervention to date as the fourth and final of RBNZs intervention criteria haven't been met (likelihood of success).

However... if the RBNZ decides to take its foot of the pedal post a hike this week that effectively pulls the OCR paddle from the water for the next 4-6 months leaving direct intervention with a real chance of success and finally for-filling RBNZs intervention criteria...
  • #6,877
  • Jul 21, 2014 9:57pm Jul 21, 2014 9:57pm
find out where the high of 2013 ......... u will understand why ..........
not euphoria follower
  • #6,878
  • Jul 22, 2014 12:19am Jul 22, 2014 12:19am
long 500,000 nzd/usd @.86760

Looking at .8700 to .87100 area to close long trade
  • #6,879
  • Jul 22, 2014 1:08am Jul 22, 2014 1:08am
Quoting yeniful
long 500,000 nzd/usd @.86760 Looking at .8700 to .87100 area to close long trade
we're in the same boat
i see nzd oversold and holding by 38.2% Fibo
PA rejected by 50MA once(Blue Line)
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: nz.png Size: 42 KB
  • #6,880
  • Jul 22, 2014 1:20am Jul 22, 2014 1:20am
Quoting iqyu5an
find out where the high of 2013 ......... u will understand why ..........
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: kiwi buy on dip.png Size: 52 KB
not euphoria follower
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