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AUD/USD

  • #82,501
  • Jul 14, 2014 6:33am Jul 14, 2014 6:33am
Quoting Hickson
{quote} Still holding your shorts?
S t i l l

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  • #82,502
  • Jul 14, 2014 6:42am Jul 14, 2014 6:42am
Quoting Ken A
{quote} S t i l l {image}
Also still waiting ... E/A is doing the Draghi-Stevens-Limbo.
Fix up, trade sharp ...
  • #82,503
  • Jul 14, 2014 6:42am Jul 14, 2014 6:42am
Quoting Hickson
{quote} Also still waiting ... E/A is doing the Draghi-Stevens-Limbo.
Don't worry about them
  • #82,504
  • Jul 14, 2014 6:45am Jul 14, 2014 6:45am
Quoting nealpek
{quote} Is this Dragi guy important? he sounds like a mean person!!! so if monday is preparation day, how come you are already short if you expected another pattern? you're gonna make me cry... i have to have a setup before wednesday because thursday i have a dentist appointment... please advise me what to do!!!
You can't trade like this !

Weather forecast has been changing constantly ! FX like weather !

What I see on http://www.weatherpage.com.au/ and other resources that tomorrow SUN STORM - so, traders will be crazy!

As I said see US session move. if it goes down then TUESDAY will be big down move. (I expected down during morning session)
  • #82,505
  • Jul 14, 2014 6:45am Jul 14, 2014 6:45am
Sydney, i can't wait any longer....
i'm just gonna go 50% long and 50% short, wait to see where it goes, then just take my profit!!!
  • #82,506
  • Jul 14, 2014 6:49am Jul 14, 2014 6:49am
Quoting Ken A
{quote} Hola pig farmer Me dare not short XXX/CAD
Killed them. negatiffe

Gonna be around this week, then Im again off.

ec is risiliant
  • #82,507
  • Jul 14, 2014 6:50am Jul 14, 2014 6:50am
"how come you are already short if you expected another pattern?"

as i said ... current pattern different from what i expected.

Now big boys decided to play down ... according current pattern .... be patient! and you will be rewarded
  • #82,508
  • Jul 14, 2014 6:51am Jul 14, 2014 6:51am
Quoting Ken A
{quote} Don't worry about them
If it is not moving much, at least it collects Swag(p)

BTW, watching U/J: Interesting area for a short here.
Fix up, trade sharp ...
  • #82,509
  • Jul 14, 2014 6:51am Jul 14, 2014 6:51am
Quoting SydneyGuru
"how come you are already short if you expected another pattern?" as i said ... current pattern different from what i expected. Now big boys decided to play down ... according current pattern .... be patient! and you will be rewarded
alright, Thanks!
i'll try to be patient... it's hard, but i'll try...maybe i'll change my dentist appointment!!
  • #82,510
  • Jul 14, 2014 6:52am Jul 14, 2014 6:52am
Quoting Ken A
Due to healthcare program update, mental hospitals provide internet access to patients 24/7 ..........
Yes ... in Australia medicare covers mental disorders for free -)))
  • #82,511
  • Jul 14, 2014 6:54am Jul 14, 2014 6:54am
Evening all. Fresh and ready for another week of trading. Last week was a little frustrating with some good opportunities going begging. Thankfully though it turned out in profit. $1 to be exact, less taxes of course.


Quoting Ken A
{quote} I can't tell you what to do but can tell you the mistake that I have done yesterday; USDCAD H1 {image} {image} The mistakes: 1. I trade eco data and during data spike normally switch to H4 to see larger swing which I didn't. 2. My estimation the data will be bad miss by a hair but not so weak. Missed opportunity.... All that lead me to making wrong decision to close the long and flip to short because I see the supply level based on H1 and failed to react fast enough to the actual data than my estimation. I didn't prepare myself with a fall...
Thanks for that post Ken. Having a look at it now.
  • #82,512
  • Jul 14, 2014 6:55am Jul 14, 2014 6:55am
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  • #82,513
  • Jul 14, 2014 7:04am Jul 14, 2014 7:04am
Quoting Hickson
BTW, watching U/J: Interesting area for a short here.
FOMC effects

I didn't short at 105.xx and not going to start at this level
  • #82,514
  • Jul 14, 2014 7:47am Jul 14, 2014 7:47am
Quoting nealpek
{quote} could you please make up your mind so i can plan my trades accordingly... i was 80 % short, now i have to disregard your forecast. Tuesday i'm supposed to short, and wednesday i'm supposed to go long.. you say the pattern is obvious and i agree. How can i plan my trading week around you if you sometimes change your mind? What should i do now?
Darling, you don't trading by following other people assumption!!!! Lets put this way, other people just as bad as us. We don't know the future neither of them. You can take their analysis but you don't have to believe it. Use them as a guide to comparing with your own.Always, always and always believe on yourself!!!! Otherwise you will never have your own skills.
  • #82,515
  • Jul 14, 2014 7:51am Jul 14, 2014 7:51am
Looking to the data release at 11:30 tomorrow (Melbourne) for a possible short.

I've got price in a rising channel since the 3rd of July with the top and middle of the channel being defined by TLs drawn from the low on Jan 25.

The middle TL intersects with the 618 retrace of last week's sell off (.9419) at about 11am-1pm. That value is also the mid point of the weekly pivot and R1. There is a resistance zone from the NFPs between .9428 and .9442. Not sure but I should be calling that supply used up as all the orders appear to have been taken out by that spike last week. If that's the case, then I look to the congestion (basing pattern?) prior to that spike on the 5m and see a zone from .9421 to .9431 or so. 9421 performed S and R both on the 10th of July.

So I reckon if I see a run up to .9420 before the news release (RBA minutes and car sales) then I'll have a crack at shorting this sucker down to .9375 and spread. Reckon there's some demand there and it also closes the gap. SL can be above the congestion mentioned at .9431.

Still bearish on this pair due to the weekly candle from 2 weeks back so reckon we could easily finish this week down but I can'tsay I'm confident about it. It sure likes floating at the moment eh?
  • #82,516
  • Jul 14, 2014 7:58am Jul 14, 2014 7:58am
Looking better now, but still afraid to short this after CAD data.
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Fix up, trade sharp ...
  • #82,517
  • Jul 14, 2014 9:07am Jul 14, 2014 9:07am
this is an aud/usd forum.

this is not other aud currency forum.

people, cmon. it's confusing to see talk of 106...xxxx and 140.xxxx

aud usd is not at those numbers.

people shouldnt be talking about the pound and yen in here either. its an aussie in terms of us dollar forum
  • #82,518
  • Jul 14, 2014 10:03am Jul 14, 2014 10:03am
Quoting yeniful
this is an aud/usd forum. this is not other aud currency forum. people, cmon. it's confusing to see talk of 106...xxxx and 140.xxxx aud usd is not at those numbers. people shouldnt be talking about the pound and yen in here either. its an aussie in terms of us dollar forum
The market is all about correlation. How do you trade one currency?
Fix up, trade sharp ...
  • #82,519
  • Jul 14, 2014 10:08am Jul 14, 2014 10:08am
Quoting Hickson
{quote} The market is all about correlation. How do you trade one currency?
I buy with IOU after profits return the principal

AUD/IOU

Genius right
  • #82,520
  • Jul 14, 2014 10:09am Jul 14, 2014 10:09am
Quoting Ken A
{quote} I buy with IOU after profits return the principal AUD/IOU Genius right
LOL
Fix up, trade sharp ...
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