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AUD/USD

  • #82,461
  • Jul 14, 2014 1:04am Jul 14, 2014 1:04am
Quoting ill_be_back
{quote} OUT, Will Re enter at Exactly 2.00am EST
In again @ 1.46167 TP 1.45450
A good trader follows his rules, but great trader knows when to break them
  • #82,462
  • Jul 14, 2014 1:53am Jul 14, 2014 1:53am
So I have different opened position on this pair. I see the speech last Friday of steevens and the last dovish minutes but the pair won't left 0,94.Last December there was similar situation with rba that spoke to put down the pair and then change hi monetary policy from dovish to moderate rising the pair. I hope that this situation will not repeat tomorrow with some hawkish word
  • #82,463
  • Jul 14, 2014 2:00am Jul 14, 2014 2:00am
Quoting Zircon
Up, fill the weak , could be? Germany won World Cup, what a strong team.
That is good analysis , thanks .
  • #82,464
  • Edited 2:12am Jul 14, 2014 2:01am | Edited 2:12am
Quoting yeniful
{quote} forex is not a zero sum game. You can have two separate forex trading accounts and hold long in one account and short in the other and still make money. the rollover my friend...the rollover
Quoting thodie
{quote} yes you are damn right one account long USD/CAD, the other one EUR/USD short...
Wow, amazing!!!

No doubt, and without offence, that were the statements of the year...

Gentlemen, firslty do not confuse the hedging with the zero sum game...

Secondly if i may i recommend to begin from this

"Day Trading for Dummies"
page 92 and 107

just to see what is zerosum game and if the forex belongs to that category...

Venceremos
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: day.jpg Size: 107 KB
The good thing with the future is that it is progressively approaching...
  • #82,465
  • Jul 14, 2014 2:09am Jul 14, 2014 2:09am
Quoting ill_be_back
{quote} In again @ 1.46167 TP 1.45450
Out at BE
A good trader follows his rules, but great trader knows when to break them
  • #82,466
  • Jul 14, 2014 2:15am Jul 14, 2014 2:15am
Commodity losing steam. EUR strengthen all of sudden. Causes?
  • #82,467
  • Jul 14, 2014 2:34am Jul 14, 2014 2:34am
Quoting kingleeny
Commodity losing steam. EUR strengthen all of sudden. Causes?
IMO gold will touch AT LEAST the 61,8% fibo or 1312 approx...

I have also the expectation to see 1300 this week but lets first see the first target...

venceremos
The good thing with the future is that it is progressively approaching...
  • #82,468
  • Jul 14, 2014 2:37am Jul 14, 2014 2:37am
Quoting spinozagr
{quote} {quote} Wow, amazing!!! No doubt, and without offence, that were the statements of the year... Gentlemen, firslty do not confuse the hedging with the zero sum game... Secondly if i may i recommend to begin from this "Day Trading for Dummies" page 92 and 107 just to see what is zerosum game and if the forex belongs to that category... Venceremos {image}
to make it short - you didn´t catch my sarcasm...
But thanks for the quote and thank you very much recommendation of trading for Dummies?!?
just do it
  • #82,469
  • Jul 14, 2014 2:53am Jul 14, 2014 2:53am
Quoting thodie
{quote} to make it short - you didn´t catch my sarcasm... But thanks for the quote and thank you very much recommendation of trading for Dummies?!?
hahaha...sorry mate...didnt get it...

dizzy from eurnzd losses

my appologies
The good thing with the future is that it is progressively approaching...
  • #82,470
  • Jul 14, 2014 2:59am Jul 14, 2014 2:59am
Quoting thodie
{quote} to make it short - you didn´t catch my sarcasm... But thanks for the quote and thank you very much recommendation of trading for Dummies?!?
Hehe... I knew what you meant Thodie.
Ghost Rider - WWTBMD?
  • #82,471
  • Jul 14, 2014 3:03am Jul 14, 2014 3:03am
Imo it seems EJ is leading the way. Looks like the drop in Gold maybe the cause in lack of strength of AU.
As the lights go by so too do the shadows move
  • #82,472
  • Jul 14, 2014 3:55am Jul 14, 2014 3:55am
Quoting spinozagr
{quote} hahaha...sorry mate...didnt get it... dizzy from eurnzd losses my appologies
my mistake too could have make a nice smiley, thougt it would be obvious in the content...
just do it
  • #82,473
  • Jul 14, 2014 5:34am Jul 14, 2014 5:34am
IMHO ... something is expecting...

previous jump from Dragi and RBA ... could have opposite reaction now.
  • #82,474
  • Jul 14, 2014 5:39am Jul 14, 2014 5:39am
RBA Governor Stevens has reiterated that the AUD remains overvalued and investors are underestimating a material fall in the AUD; however, he also suggested that a sell-off in AUD would come from rise of US interest rates. We (MOrgan Stanley) would therefore expect AUDUSD to head higher over the medium term, but see some near-term downside risks, which would provide better levels to buy AUDUSD again. The RBA minutes overnight could support the view. A move below the bottom end of the trend channel at 0.9360 would provide a stronger signal that AUDUSD could head towards our 0.9260 entry level. Res: 0.9465 0.9500 0.9540. Supp: 0.9330 0.9300 0.9210
  • #82,475
  • Jul 14, 2014 5:49am Jul 14, 2014 5:49am
AUDUSD continues to hold above trendline, 55-day average and key “neckline” support at .9361/22, maintaining our slight topside bias for .9457 initially. Extension through here though is then needed to reassert an upward bias for a move back to .9506 high, then .9584 – the 38.2% retracement of the entire 2011/2014 downtrend. Below .9322 would complete a top, as well as a confirmed break of the uptrend, clearing the way for further weakness to .9258, then what we view as more important support at .9230/.9202.
Strategy: Long, stop/reverse below .9320, for.9580. (Credit Suisse)
  • #82,476
  • Jul 14, 2014 5:53am Jul 14, 2014 5:53am
Quoting Tint
AUDUSD continues to hold above trendline, 55-day average and key “neckline” support at .9361/22, maintaining our slight topside bias for .9457 initially. Extension through here though is then needed to reassert an upward bias for a move back to .9506 high, then .9584 – the 38.2% retracement of the entire 2011/2014 downtrend. Below .9322 would complete a top, as well as a confirmed break of the uptrend, clearing the way for further weakness to .9258, then what we view as more important support at .9230/.9202. Strategy: Long, stop/reverse below .9320,...
I noticed an article over the weekend and it was repeated in an aussie site earlier today and it should be noted Glenn Stevens is starting to make noises that may make a difference, this is an article you may find interesting

http://www.macrobusiness.com.au/2014...stralia-party

it might be time to be careful
  • #82,477
  • Jul 14, 2014 6:19am Jul 14, 2014 6:19am
it looks me scenario of 16 may 2014 .... the same pattern and as I wrote here my comments before - "AUD 80% going down last two weeks of the month"

if no reaction up on Dragi today ...then disregard my forecast and expect Tuesday down to 0.9280 and wednesday up on china data

from now pattern this movement is more obvious.
  • #82,478
  • Jul 14, 2014 6:58am Jul 14, 2014 6:58am
Quoting SydneyGuru
{quote} It is not about technical view now ... it is useless now because so much free money must be invested and AUD is very attractive asset - it is safe because low volatility. AUD buying on dips very well. I spoke with one top banker man - he said that his computer full of orders from Chinese and Japanese investors about AUD bonds. But before jump up bears must be trapped in 0.9330 - 0.9350 IMHO

thanks sydney guru
  • #82,479
  • Jul 14, 2014 7:12am Jul 14, 2014 7:12am
Quoting jimmywong
{quote} thanks sydney guru
Now I feel even more deeper trap -))) 0.9280 because no corrction for today - check pattern 15 may 2014 - 17 may
  • #82,480
  • Jul 14, 2014 7:15am Jul 14, 2014 7:15am
Quoting SydneyGuru
{quote} Now I feel even more deeper trap -))) 0.9280 because no corrction for today - check pattern 15 may 2014 - 17 may
nice ​
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