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AUD/USD

  • #82,301
  • Jul 10, 2014 4:34am Jul 10, 2014 4:34am
Quoting RBlackburn
{quote} good luck
Thanks.

This is where I'm at. I am watching the 4hr 200ma. I am expecting a spike to penetrate below the MA but the bounce to come from the TL. Also will be watching that TL for a possible break, will have a tight SL. It could break south but Gold is making news highs... not sure but there should be a trade either way. Possibly may not make it that far down which would be a good bull PA divergence imo where I will be looking to enter around 1.9374.

GL to you too
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As the lights go by so too do the shadows move
  • #82,302
  • Jul 10, 2014 4:39am Jul 10, 2014 4:39am
Quoting Matts Micro
I think if Gold can close above 1329 daily (2 hrs here) it will close above the congestion and with all my monthly/weekly descending TL's broken should be up for a surge north imo.
Didn't get the close I was looking for but the move came anyway. I will be able to retire on this.... (for this week anyway lol).
As the lights go by so too do the shadows move
  • #82,303
  • Jul 10, 2014 4:42am Jul 10, 2014 4:42am
La la la la la la ...........

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  • #82,304
  • Jul 10, 2014 4:48am Jul 10, 2014 4:48am
Quoting Ken A
La la la la la la ........... {image}
hi mate,

whats your sentiment about a/u?

Long?

thanks in advance

Venceremos
The good thing with the future is that it is progressively approaching...
  • #82,305
  • Jul 10, 2014 4:52am Jul 10, 2014 4:52am
Quoting Ken A
La la la la la la ........... {image}
Trying to find my Target and not get bitten by greed ....but all I can see is "higher". Looking at 1366/8 as a realistic number. Think I will close soon anyway and try to re-enter on pullback
As the lights go by so too do the shadows move
  • #82,306
  • Jul 10, 2014 4:54am Jul 10, 2014 4:54am
Quoting spinozagr
{quote} hi mate, whats your sentiment about a/u? Long? thanks in advance Venceremos
Just wait and see around this area ...... no prediction just waiting. Dollar is really weak atm something that I would consider.

Attached Image
  • #82,307
  • Jul 10, 2014 4:56am Jul 10, 2014 4:56am
Quoting Matts Micro
{quote} Trying to find my Target and not get bitten by greed ....but all I can see is "higher". Looking at 1366/8 as a realistic number. Think I will close soon anyway and try to re-enter on pullback
I don't want to think right now my entries are far breakeven right now

So this is what I am doing ........

<--------- singing la la la la la
  • #82,308
  • Jul 10, 2014 5:02am Jul 10, 2014 5:02am
Quoting Ken A
{quote} I don't want to think right now my entries are far breakeven right now So this is what I am doing ........ <--------- singing la la la la la
La La La La ... This one?

Inserted Video
Fix up, trade sharp ...
  • #82,309
  • Jul 10, 2014 5:07am Jul 10, 2014 5:07am
I still think, this will recover the ground up this month. USD really weak, and gold heading 134x if it holds above 1345.. doubt AUD will be seeing 92xx level.
First carry trade to consider, second .. AUD economic indicator still good, only bad CNY data, weakness in EUR disrupt me.. (all imo).
I am hedging my position because of the two spikes (according to my chart).. (ah here i am, so full of "hot air".. mostly end up wrong..).
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Don't blame the tools. Blame the carpenter.
  • #82,310
  • Edited 5:16am Jul 10, 2014 5:11am | Edited 5:16am
Regarding the Gold

there is an unconfirmed but yet a bearish total2 pattern

having known that a/u has also a bearish pattern, i would say that the probabilities are for south in the mid term...

but this is forex business...so lets see

Venceremos
The good thing with the future is that it is progressively approaching...
  • #82,311
  • Jul 10, 2014 5:11am Jul 10, 2014 5:11am
Look at AUDJPY. Seems to be benefiting from rising Yen and Falling Aud.

If it comes down as low as 94.00 I'll put in a buy stop in at 94.50 stop at 93.50 and what to see if I can catch the next up move.
  • #82,312
  • Jul 10, 2014 5:16am Jul 10, 2014 5:16am
This move seems to be Yen strength by looks of, imo. Which is interesting because previously the JPY has supported the AUD but seems to have sold the AU too. If UJ breaks below 101.30/15 as I mentioned yesterday then there could be some fireworks. If that happens AU will probably follow the others on the path down too imo.
As the lights go by so too do the shadows move
  • #82,313
  • Jul 10, 2014 5:39am Jul 10, 2014 5:39am
E/J selloff
  • #82,314
  • Edited 6:58am Jul 10, 2014 5:42am | Edited 6:58am
The Yen has been ranging really since January, it would be nice to see a break one way or another.

Regarding AUDUSD I use daily charts with a long term ma and I wouldn't be looking to buy until 0.93 area.
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  • #82,315
  • Jul 10, 2014 5:56am Jul 10, 2014 5:56am
Looking kinda mega-bearish. Needs to get pushed through the 9320 area, but the longer TF bars looking decidedly bearish overall.
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There's always money in the banana stand.
  • #82,316
  • Jul 10, 2014 7:05am Jul 10, 2014 7:05am
Gold is up. Looking to enter long AU from .9355.

Let see Americans ... because it is stupid simple behaviour of traders in Asia - they look at US session and if it not going down then Asian investors buying AUD

till 14:30 Sydney time -)))

consolidation now ... if US session is flat then friday will UP and monday UP to 0.94300

But from 0.9430 is down more chances than Up

AUD nether going down from range ... from top is possible but not from range

Not all bulls in trap and players on candle model (harami) must get stop losses.
  • #82,317
  • Jul 10, 2014 7:07am Jul 10, 2014 7:07am
Quoting LizardGizzard
Looking kinda mega-bearish. Needs to get pushed through the 9320 area, but the longer TF bars looking decidedly bearish overall. {image}
Mega-bearish? Yes i agree with you, i just can't be sure when.
Quoting KecoaKecil
{quote} Too many skipping meal time. I am out of the jungle. Thank you. Just in time to watching this important week for my AU pair. As i wrote earlier, we are nearing big swing according to venus phase. The point of entry is between mid-july to 1st august. This week i am waiting for breakout above 95xx area. If that happened, i can safely swing it. Normally i hate this kind of trading, because it involve a big SL level, and i am not a patient girl. {image}
This is approaching mid-july .. so i still hold some long idea. Prefer end of August to build up short. As a matter of fact, i was wrong before, the breakout happened end of june, a week later than my estimate.
This is all only opinion, you can see from my explorer, i am really suck.. Guess i do not have any idea abut Money Management. The prediction can be right, but in term of taking action, I reallyyyy bad.
Don't blame the tools. Blame the carpenter.
  • #82,318
  • Jul 10, 2014 7:16am Jul 10, 2014 7:16am
Copy cat

hehe

shame
  • #82,319
  • Jul 10, 2014 8:38am Jul 10, 2014 8:38am
Hi Guys,

From IMHO I think that 22 Jul Glenn testify again and this is will be final day of bulls ....

By this time crowd do not care about data ....

unfortunately ... maximum on AUD will be 22 JUL.

I can't see what can break the neck of bulls
  • #82,320
  • Jul 10, 2014 9:57am Jul 10, 2014 9:57am
Looks like no one is trading right now hehe

It is going down


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