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AUD/USD

  • #82,241
  • Jul 9, 2014 10:17pm Jul 9, 2014 10:17pm
Bull still intact for me. Buy limit @9401 .. there will be another dip from BOE today. Then ride it till next week. (i mostly wrong... honest).
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Don't blame the tools. Blame the carpenter.
  • #82,242
  • Jul 9, 2014 10:20pm Jul 9, 2014 10:20pm
7 JULY post:
-------------------------------------------------------------------
Monday Tuesday - UP Wednesday - Flat or correction down.

Thursday! New employment will be about 23K ... much higher then expected (remember my previous June forecast which was much close to reality than printed) so be prepared for volatility.

expecting top 0.943

-----------------------
CONCLUSION:

I was right about:

MONDAY - UP
TUESDAY - UP
WEDNESDAY - RANGE(flat)
THURSDAY - VOLATILITY and DOWN with target 0.9430

Please clown TASKENT do something like above ?
  • #82,243
  • Jul 9, 2014 10:21pm Jul 9, 2014 10:21pm
Quoting SydneyGuru
{quote} I posted 3 July: ---------------------------------- my next prediction .... no trade till monday ... will see ANZ Job Advertisements m/m most scenarion - monday up tuesday flat Wendesday and Thursday Down. like FX weather forecast -))) ---------------------------------- why can do this ?????
Quoting SydneyGuru
OK ... 4.3 advertising is very good! Updated FX AUD weather forecast. Monday Tuesday - UP Wednesday - Flat or correction down. Thursday! New employment will be about 23K ... much higher then expected (remember my previous June forecast which was much close to reality than printed) so be prepared for volatility. expecting top 0.943
This is a lie. There is no room in the forex market to be liberal with the truth. If you want to claim fame then you have to be up for the criticisms.


Edit: I just saw the date it was very much like your July 7 post, I apologise. However the July 7 is more recent.
As the lights go by so too do the shadows move
  • #82,244
  • Jul 9, 2014 10:27pm Jul 9, 2014 10:27pm
My plan - short the rallies on AU for now...average entry currently is 9415. No chart art involved. all numbers driven. Happy to do that all the way to the 9540s if I have to.
"Holy Grail" exists - accepting where is the first step.
  • #82,245
  • Jul 9, 2014 10:29pm Jul 9, 2014 10:29pm
Quoting tashkent
this clown has been predicting down in his each post for some time. he should mention his predictions of sharp down and in a few days price went up minimum 100 pips (to 0.9510). very rigid character which usually causes huge drawdowns, eventually many killed accounts.
if he is a clown who are you??? he predicted that aussie unemployment fall and the ken disciples are targetting him.
  • #82,246
  • Jul 9, 2014 10:30pm Jul 9, 2014 10:30pm
Quoting Matts Micro
{quote} {quote} This is a lie. There is no room in the forex market to be liberal with the truth. If you want to claim fame then you have to be up for the criticisms.
well did he attack you personally??? why are you harsh on him?? has your master on this thread taught you to be harsh on people predicting news events correctly
  • #82,247
  • Jul 9, 2014 10:38pm Jul 9, 2014 10:38pm
Quoting giveachance
{quote} well did he attack you personally??? why are you harsh on him?? has your master on this thread taught you to be harsh on people predicting news events correctly
I didn't attack him personally. I will always pull people up if incorrect information is given. He only ever comes here to say he is right again and is never wrong, so I decided to investigate. I appologise if it offends but if the information is misleading I believe it's for the good of the forum to know where things really stand.
As the lights go by so too do the shadows move
  • #82,248
  • Jul 9, 2014 10:41pm Jul 9, 2014 10:41pm
So more export by China is bad for Aussie eh
  • #82,249
  • Jul 9, 2014 10:44pm Jul 9, 2014 10:44pm
Quoting Ken A
So more export by China is bad for Aussie eh
More? I thought it was less?
As the lights go by so too do the shadows move
  • #82,250
  • Jul 9, 2014 10:51pm Jul 9, 2014 10:51pm
Quoting Matts Micro
{quote} More? I thought it was less?
Miss expectation look into the details

China trade balance for June: +$31.6 bn expected +$36.95bn, prior was $35.92bn
Exports: +7.2% y/y expected +10.4%, prior was +7.0%
Imports: +5.5% y/y expected +6.0%, prior was -1.6%

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  • #82,251
  • Jul 9, 2014 10:55pm Jul 9, 2014 10:55pm
Quoting Ken A
So more export by China is bad for Aussie eh
Of course it is.

More exports from China means more people needing renmibi to buy the products which means less renmibi to go around which means it goes up and everything else goes down.

Did I mention I'm trying out for a job as "economics correspondent" on the nightly news?

Nah, jokes aside... the last few weeks more than anything have really reinforced the whole "ignore the news" thing for me. The big boys need their profit and will take the market where they need it to go. I notice that the spike on the news release would have nicely taken out a bunch of stops set above last week's pre-NFP release price.
  • #82,252
  • Jul 9, 2014 10:56pm Jul 9, 2014 10:56pm
Quoting Matts Micro
{quote} More? I thought it was less?
In any case unemployment rate is bad. jobs addition are parttime jobs and do not reflect the true picture. aussie is going down.
  • #82,253
  • Jul 9, 2014 10:57pm Jul 9, 2014 10:57pm
Quoting TheMadMonk
{ Nah, jokes aside... the last few weeks more than anything have really reinforced the whole "ignore the news" thing for me. The big boys need their profit and will take the market where they need it to go. I notice that the spike on the news release would have nicely taken out a bunch of stops set above last week's pre-NFP release price.
Everyone is different I see it volatility as trade opportunities hehe
  • #82,254
  • Jul 9, 2014 11:05pm Jul 9, 2014 11:05pm
Quoting Ken A
{quote} Everyone is different I see it volatility as trade opportunities hehe
How is all this going to affect E/CAD, Cause I am Short E/CAD
A good trader follows his rules, but great trader knows when to break them
  • #82,255
  • Jul 9, 2014 11:11pm Jul 9, 2014 11:11pm
Quoting ill_be_back
{quote} How is all this going to affect E/CAD, Cause I am Short E/CAD
On big charts both U/CAD and E/CAD are at support same as E/AUD technically. For E/CAD need to watch U/CAD and E/U.
  • #82,256
  • Jul 9, 2014 11:15pm Jul 9, 2014 11:15pm
Quoting Ken A
{quote} Everyone is different I see it volatility as trade opportunities hehe
*sigh* Yeah. Opportunity missed over here....

Can't even find a lessons-learned out of it either. I replay it and like my decision making process so maybe that's the lesson.

I felt that they might make a run on those stops so I had to set mine clear of all that. But how far back? What if there's a heap of us planning that and they just run those stops as well? What if I'm wrong and everything prints green? Would hate to have a wide stop then but it's major news so a small stop won't do. The supply I was looking at came out of a CZ, not a swing high (though it was the first decent CZ after a swing high, which I'm starting to get a bit of an idea about....) so there's a bit to suggest they will ignore the supply I was looking at and run up to the zone up about 9500. After all that, that's why I chickened out.

**** trading sometimes
  • #82,257
  • Jul 9, 2014 11:15pm Jul 9, 2014 11:15pm
Quoting Ken A
{quote} Miss expectation look into the details China trade balance for June: +$31.6 bn expected +$36.95bn, prior was $35.92bn Exports: +7.2% y/y expected +10.4%, prior was +7.0% Imports: +5.5% y/y expected +6.0%, prior was -1.6% {image}
Yh I see where your coming from. My analysis consists of red goes down green up ... gettin there slowly with fundies hehe.

In the meantime I have a few daily TL's? The bulls still look good imo. The pulllback from the nfp and co. represent the break on the top daily TL that can be traced back further than I have drawn. Even if the lower TL is broken with a correction imo I think the bulls will still have a chance of bringing it back topside.
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As the lights go by so too do the shadows move
  • #82,258
  • Jul 9, 2014 11:20pm Jul 9, 2014 11:20pm
Quoting SydneyGuru
7 JULY post: ------------------------------------------------------------------- Monday Tuesday - UP Wednesday - Flat or correction down. Thursday! New employment will be about 23K ... much higher then expected (remember my previous June forecast which was much close to reality than printed) so be prepared for volatility. expecting top 0.943 ----------------------- CONCLUSION: I was right about: MONDAY - UP TUESDAY - UP WEDNESDAY - RANGE(flat) THURSDAY - VOLATILITY and DOWN with target 0.9430 Please clown TASKENT do something like above ?
Can You Post your Trades In REAL TIME With TP & SL
A good trader follows his rules, but great trader knows when to break them
  • #82,259
  • Jul 9, 2014 11:23pm Jul 9, 2014 11:23pm
Quoting Matts Micro
{quote} Yh I see where your coming from. My analysis consists of red goes down green up ... gettin there slowly with fundies hehe. In the meantime I have a few daily TL's? The bulls still look good imo. The pulllback from the nfp and co. represent the break on the top daily TL that can be traced back further than I have drawn. Even if the lower TL is broken with a correction imo I think the bulls will still have a chance of bringing it back topside. {image}
For A/U the S/R are pretty clear. Aside from eco data, dollar has something to say from FOMC will take days for the effects to wear off. Have a look at Kiwi not going to let Aussie far behind.
  • #82,260
  • Jul 9, 2014 11:27pm Jul 9, 2014 11:27pm
The AUDUSD is fixated with the 0.9400 level and keeps oscillating around that zone.
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