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NZD/USD

  • #6,181
  • Jun 30, 2014 5:31pm Jun 30, 2014 5:31pm
https://www.globaldairytrade.info/en/
July 1st tomorrow Dairy auction
effects NZ dollar

China PMI in 25min.
In trading, you have to be defensive and aggressive at the same time
  • #6,182
  • Jun 30, 2014 5:59pm Jun 30, 2014 5:59pm
Quoting Expo33
Closed out NU shorts and am taking a shot at NJ with what I believe to be a valid harmonic pattern Constructive criticism and/or pats on the back always welcome Good luck traders, may July be prosperous for all {image}
Target hit just before Chinese PMI.
Pride always comes before destruction.... -Proverbs 16:18
  • #6,183
  • Jul 1, 2014 2:06am Jul 1, 2014 2:06am
maybe I'm expecting too much...
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: 2014-07-01_0201.png Size: 26 KB
  • #6,184
  • Jul 1, 2014 2:16am Jul 1, 2014 2:16am
Quoting PurePA
maybe I'm expecting too much... {image}
NAH!!!

some traders go for a handful of pips in a few minutes; other go for the big win and that may take a few month...
  • #6,185
  • Jul 1, 2014 2:54am Jul 1, 2014 2:54am
Quoting cobracoder
{image}
  • #6,186
  • Jul 1, 2014 4:07am Jul 1, 2014 4:07am
Failure to close above 0.8780 pulled back the Kiwi pair near 0.8755 levels. The ascending trend line support near 0.8735 becomes critical for the pair, breaking which it can test 0.8670 and 0.8640. While the a jump below 0.8640 can negate the chances of near-term up-move by the pair and make it vulnerable to test 0.8580 levels.

Alternatively, a daily closing above 0.8780, can fuel the pair towards 0.8810 and 0.8850 levels.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: nzdusdh4.png Size: 35 KB
  • #6,187
  • Jul 1, 2014 7:48am Jul 1, 2014 7:48am
looks like, the pair gonna break the high............,nasty bird.
If skills could be acquired by watching, every dog would be a butcher. Turk
  • #6,188
  • Jul 1, 2014 7:53am Jul 1, 2014 7:53am
dairy prices still falling

tomorrow's auction should reflect continued weakness in wold dairy prices and thus putting pressure on the NU
http://www.cheesereporter.com/pricesnf.htm
  • #6,189
  • Jul 1, 2014 8:07am Jul 1, 2014 8:07am
scenario 1: it heads straight toward 90 (upper channel line, psychological level & 1.618 extension)
scenario 2: it retraces to 8550 - 8570 (100% fibo level, lower channel line & strong support line) , then ups to 90
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: N U.jpg Size: 193 KB
  • #6,190
  • Jul 1, 2014 8:11am Jul 1, 2014 8:11am
Here you go ... 16 minutes ago

 

  1. New Zealand dollar falls after soft milk auction
    From forexlive.com
    http://www.forexfactory.com/resource...tory-quote.png
    The New Zealand dollar is down to 0.8776 from 0.8790 after milk powder prices fell 5.4% at the GlobalDairyTrade auction. Milk products are a major export for New Zealand.


Quoting Davit
https://www.globaldairytrade.info/en/ July 1st tomorrow Dairy auction effects NZ dollar China PMI in 25min.
not euphoria follower
  • #6,191
  • Jul 1, 2014 10:18am Jul 1, 2014 10:18am
You saying its falling i see it rised
  • #6,192
  • Jul 1, 2014 12:38pm Jul 1, 2014 12:38pm
Quoting iqyu5an
Here you go ... 16 minutes ago New Zealand dollar falls after soft milk auction From forexlive.com {image} The New Zealand dollar is down to 0.8776 from 0.8790 after milk powder prices fell 5.4% at the GlobalDairyTrade auction. Milk products are a major export for New Zealand. {quote}
In trading, you have to be defensive and aggressive at the same time
  • #6,193
  • Jul 1, 2014 12:39pm Jul 1, 2014 12:39pm
Quoting cobracoder
You saying its falling i see it rised
There is no volume in the market now and won't be until 4th of July is over.
Be patient on shorts.
Market will resume normal on Monday July 7th
In trading, you have to be defensive and aggressive at the same time
  • #6,194
  • Jul 2, 2014 1:01am Jul 2, 2014 1:01am
NZDUSD has staged a sharp recovery since June 2014 and is now testing the highs for this year at .8781/95. We look for an extension above here to open up further strength to test a major barrier at .8845, which marks the August 2011 high. We see this as a major obstacle and would expect a fresh topping effort here. If prices can extend directly above it, this would see the core trend turn higher again and open up a move to .8875 next, then .8913. Above the latter would look to.8999 next with scope to trendline resistance projected from the November 1996 at .9180, which we would look to cap.
Support shows at .8662 first, but removal of .8642 is needed for a small top for .8611 with better support seen at .8551/21.
  • #6,195
  • Jul 2, 2014 1:05am Jul 2, 2014 1:05am
hi...

any open position already ?

rgds

Quoting Tint
NZDUSD has staged a sharp recovery since June 2014 and is now testing the highs for this year at .8781/95. We look for an extension above here to open up further strength to test a major barrier at .8845, which marks the August 2011 high. We see this as a major obstacle and would expect a fresh topping effort here. If prices can extend directly above it, this would see the core trend turn higher again and open up a move to .8875 next, then .8913. Above the latter would look to.8999 next with scope to trendline resistance projected from the November...
not euphoria follower
  • #6,196
  • Jul 2, 2014 1:18am Jul 2, 2014 1:18am
Head and Shoulders on h1 time frame
  • #6,197
  • Jul 2, 2014 2:09am Jul 2, 2014 2:09am
the technical picture is clearly UP UP UP....
but the fundamentals have been deteriorating for a while now.


The BNZ said the Reserve Bank will be watching closely the divergence between falling dairy prices and the still strong New Zealand dollar, which remained firm this morning at around US87.70c.

source

http://www.nzherald.co.nz/business/n...ectid=11285528
Attached Image
  • #6,198
  • Jul 2, 2014 2:24am Jul 2, 2014 2:24am
Nothing to do, wait and pay swap
  • #6,199
  • Jul 2, 2014 2:28am Jul 2, 2014 2:28am
Quoting iNZane
the technical picture is clearly UP UP UP.... but the fundamentals have been deteriorating for a while now. The BNZ said the Reserve Bank will be watching closely the divergence between falling dairy prices and the still strong New Zealand dollar, which remained firm this morning at around US87.70c. source http://www.nzherald.co.nz/business/n...ectid=11285528 {image}

To to be honest... I think the markets have realised that wheelers words have no meaning behind them. He had every opportunity to keep the dollar down at the last hike, by not saying that the high dollar was affecting exports. The guy is a muppet. He'll wait until the handbrake is on full on our economy, with business going broke and people being made unemployed, and then will talk the dollar down.
  • #6,200
  • Jul 2, 2014 2:36am Jul 2, 2014 2:36am
Quoting iNZane
the technical picture is clearly UP UP UP.... but the fundamentals have been deteriorating for a while now. The BNZ said the Reserve Bank will be watching closely the divergence between falling dairy prices and the still strong New Zealand dollar, which remained firm this morning at around US87.70c. source http://www.nzherald.co.nz/business/n...ectid=11285528 {image}
RBNZ only traces, does nothing
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