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AUD/USD

  • #77,421
  • May 20, 2014 1:03am May 20, 2014 1:03am
I park a long at 0.92790
  • #77,422
  • May 20, 2014 1:33am May 20, 2014 1:33am
Red zone can hold i wil try for long
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  • #77,423
  • May 20, 2014 1:33am May 20, 2014 1:33am
Short .92917 TP .9233.
  • #77,424
  • May 20, 2014 1:38am May 20, 2014 1:38am
Well seems like many seller

Will see in blue zone if break
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  • #77,425
  • May 20, 2014 2:00am May 20, 2014 2:00am
Hi everybody

Au seems is going down very harshly ... whats the target of it? which level will it h
it?
  • #77,426
  • May 20, 2014 2:03am May 20, 2014 2:03am
Quoting FX-Petra
Went long 2 lots@ 9310. Will look to close on an approach of 94. Will probably take a week to get there. regards,
But its bearish ATM hope you have a ton of free margin
Heed the lessons of failure.
  • #77,427
  • May 20, 2014 2:08am May 20, 2014 2:08am
Someone else see a quick bounce back now at 0.9272
Heed the lessons of failure.
  • #77,428
  • May 20, 2014 2:13am May 20, 2014 2:13am
oposite to the sort term trend

i open a long position

because bullishpattern+out of channel+fibo support at 76,4%

sl 0,919
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The good thing with the future is that it is progressively approaching...
  • #77,429
  • May 20, 2014 2:13am May 20, 2014 2:13am
Quoting Donika
{quote} But its bearish ATM hope you have a ton of free margin
We will need a daily close back above the daily trend line or I will cut my longs loose.

Regards,
  • #77,430
  • May 20, 2014 4:05am May 20, 2014 4:05am
Quoting ffleo
{quote} why you should sell aussie on rallies: http://www.forexfactory.com/showthre...95#post7395695
why so quiet here?
ignore wackos and psychos, including myself. But I can't add myself to iggy
  • #77,431
  • May 20, 2014 4:09am May 20, 2014 4:09am
Quoting ffleo
{quote} why so quiet here?
just underwater mate ... watching for reversal
  • #77,432
  • May 20, 2014 4:16am May 20, 2014 4:16am
Quoting ozboy
{quote} just underwater mate ... watching for reversal
it may go to lower 92xx before a bounce. It will bounce.
ignore wackos and psychos, including myself. But I can't add myself to iggy
  • #77,433
  • May 20, 2014 4:19am May 20, 2014 4:19am
Quoting ffleo
{quote} why so quiet here?
ffleo you should post AUD/USD info in here (AUD/USD thread), instead of EUR/USD thread.

just my 2 cents

btw, i'm short since 0.9400
  • #77,434
  • May 20, 2014 4:44am May 20, 2014 4:44am
Quoting Ssm
{image} With the failure to break above .94, it seems bearish.
My view remains and is playing out today.
The true fact is market doesn't care, risk mgt is important.
  • #77,435
  • May 20, 2014 5:08am May 20, 2014 5:08am
Quoting ffleo
{quote} why so quiet here?
We are playing with shiny toys... Gold...

Here is my weekly for the AUD.. Seeing a bear forming to the .90384 mark..
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A genius is born every minute, me I am lucky if my socks match.
  • #77,436
  • Edited 7:03am May 20, 2014 6:29am | Edited 7:03am
My view here

It's based around some tracking and calcs I run and a very simple and proven true concept: The longer things stay the same, the more they need to change.

Current margin use: 2.8%
Margin call point: 6,473 pips to the south, or, .2790 for the AUD/USD

So, for me, the probabilities are pretty straightforward.

Alerts are set slightly above the levels listed above...I'm ready to add...I ain't here to lose

LONG targets are averaging in the .9390s right now. .9460s are starting to develop on a longer term calculation.
"Holy Grail" exists - accepting where is the first step.
  • #77,437
  • May 20, 2014 6:42am May 20, 2014 6:42am
Quoting whackdiddy
{quote} yep, was a joke of a read, but psychological, mind you I have already closed for a whopping $20 profit... about to retire on a yatch and sail the world with all the money I made...
I'll bring a bike for overland journeys..??

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When we run into this guy:

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we'll just run back to the boat and keep going?
"Holy Grail" exists - accepting where is the first step.
  • #77,438
  • May 20, 2014 7:10am May 20, 2014 7:10am
Quoting farisrodhi
clearly if you see audusd 1d and 1w chart, more to bearish. However my trade idea wait for retractment because market is oversold and after the retracment i will go long and sell audusd for long time. Anyone agree with me please give your comment and trade idea. Lets follow the trend {image}
I hope this helps..
M1, the kijun, blue is necking down. We have more bear to come
M5, as above
M15 (second chart) same again
M30 again, same..
H1, again, same..
H4, same...
D1, we have not even confirmed what looks to be a tk cross to the bear. But if we keep dropping we will get a weak signal for more bear.
W1, last chart - We are hitting resistance (blue cloud) and Kijun, blue line is flat so we are consolidating for perhaps a bear movement.

So for me everything is pointing bear, yes we may retrace but it dangerous practice unless very experienced.
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A genius is born every minute, me I am lucky if my socks match.
  • #77,439
  • May 20, 2014 8:08am May 20, 2014 8:08am
Quoting farisrodhi
whackdiddy thanks for your explanation, so what is your tp price for audusd?
AUD spits me out all the time, as in I have been waiting for it to drop like a stone for months and months so I play it rather risk aware..

Current TP is only at 0.92531 but depending on the US bank open in about 1.5 hours I may adjust lower. Mind you I have taken 3 shorts to profit in the last 5 hours. So pretty happy.
A genius is born every minute, me I am lucky if my socks match.
  • #77,440
  • May 20, 2014 8:17am May 20, 2014 8:17am
Quoting farisrodhi
whackdiddy thanks for your explanation, so what is your tp price for audusd?
if you look at the weekly chart, you can draw a line alone the bottom of the cloud.. see chart below. You could place a TP at this level or just above to not be greedy. But you would have to watch it and set up yourself some alerts at the 50% to re diagnose the trend.

Would need be a long trade, running into next week ish.. so depends on how your play the game.
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A genius is born every minute, me I am lucky if my socks match.
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