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  • #4,321
  • May 18, 2014 11:09am May 18, 2014 11:09am
Quoting Boy Wonder
{quote} NZD, big sell, I'm sizably short here, and willing to be patient for a large move down. But it could take some time. Check out what's happened to NZ 5y bond yields in the last few weeks: now that's what I call a reversal. It looks like NZ is joining the rest of us in disinflation land. The NZD should follow. Well, that's the theory anyway. {image}

I was thinking to enter on a break of 8510 as I missed 8670.

Olu
If you think you can or cannot do it you are correct
  • #4,322
  • May 18, 2014 2:26pm May 18, 2014 2:26pm
Copper - Again

I have already uploaded my ideas about copper. Yet this is another one. I am still bearish

Olu
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If you think you can or cannot do it you are correct
  • #4,323
  • May 19, 2014 8:12am May 19, 2014 8:12am
http://www.forexlive.com/blog/2014/0...k-19-may-2014/

This perhaps explains a softening in the Bundesbank's position vis-a-vis the "unconventional methods" that are on the table.
It's all saying to me that the euro is a big sell here.
I have no clue what I'm talking about.
  • #4,324
  • May 19, 2014 8:15am May 19, 2014 8:15am
http://www.standard.co.uk/news/londo...r-9396953.html

Makes me feel quite ill. I own my own house but had designs on selling it and buying one in London. Now the lunatics have left the asylum and are bidding up London property to ridiculous levels, and I have clearly missed the boat. And the trouble with house prices is that they are "sticky": they ride up, then they just hang around there for years, before riding up again...rinse, repeat...
Oh well, at least as a trader, I can buy anywhere, because I can trade anywhere.
I have no clue what I'm talking about.
  • #4,325
  • May 19, 2014 1:09pm May 19, 2014 1:09pm
Quoting Boy Wonder
http://www.forexlive.com/blog/2014/0...k-19-may-2014/ This perhaps explains a softening in the Bundesbank's position vis-a-vis the "unconventional methods" that are on the table. It's all saying to me that the euro is a big sell here.
Think ur right - but I'd rathr buy the euro than the dollar.

Inserted Video
  • #4,326
  • May 19, 2014 3:57pm May 19, 2014 3:57pm
Quoting stewrigh
{quote} Think ur right - but I'd rathr buy the euro than the dollar. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4vP2VzDVJEw
I'm the reverse.
I have no clue what I'm talking about.
  • #4,327
  • May 19, 2014 4:10pm May 19, 2014 4:10pm
Quoting Boy Wonder
http://www.standard.co.uk/news/londo...r-9396953.html Makes me feel quite ill. I own my own house but had designs on selling it and buying one in London. Now the lunatics have left the asylum and are bidding up London property to ridiculous levels, and I have clearly missed the boat. And the trouble with house prices is that they are "sticky": they ride up, then they just hang around there for years, before riding up again...rinse, repeat... Oh well, at least as a trader, I can buy...

BW my man you are welcome in the UK anytime. About the house prices there will be a crash soon. It would not be as severe as in the US but it will be significant. My idea is to trade as best as I can in time for that crash and buy loads for pension purposes. I own my own house as well and have not borrowed to the hilt against it so it can weather some downmove without going into negative equity

Olu
If you think you can or cannot do it you are correct
  • #4,328
  • May 19, 2014 4:15pm May 19, 2014 4:15pm
Quoting stewrigh
{quote} Think ur right - but I'd rathr buy the euro than the dollar. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4vP2VzDVJEw

Hi S

I agree with you. Fundamentally the euro is a sell. But in trader sense everyone sees the same opportunity and therefore the market might play to trip everyone. Maybe what will happen is 3 days of sharp moves down and the euro will be at 1.30 or something like that and the low hanging fruit will already have been picked

Olu
If you think you can or cannot do it you are correct
  • #4,329
  • May 19, 2014 5:21pm May 19, 2014 5:21pm
Wheat

Sorry guys the candle in question here is a hammer not a doji
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If you think you can or cannot do it you are correct
  • #4,330
  • May 19, 2014 5:50pm May 19, 2014 5:50pm
Quoting Olu
{quote} BW my man you are welcome in the UK anytime. About the house prices there will be a crash soon. It would not be as severe as in the US but it will be significant. My idea is to trade as best as I can in time for that crash and buy loads for pension purposes. I own my own house as well and have not borrowed to the hilt against it so it can weather some downmove without going into negative equity Olu
Thanks mate...I am already in the UK though ... just not quite where I want to be
But if you're expecting a crash, I'm sorry but I don't think there's going to be one. I'd love one but there's just too much demand for property and vested interests in seeing the bubble continue. E.g. see this excellent article on the issue http://www.marketoracle.co.uk/Article45659.html
I have no clue what I'm talking about.
  • #4,331
  • May 19, 2014 5:55pm May 19, 2014 5:55pm
Quoting Olu
Wheat Sorry guys the candle in question here is a hammer not a doji {image}
Nice find mate. IMO a hammer is a type of doji. A doji is any bar with a large tail and a small or non-existent body. Whatever you call it, it's a good find.
Commodities seem to be picking up momentum as has been noted on this thread recently and I think it is very important for us to be aware of the possible ramifications on other markets.
Did you notice the massive reversal bar on TLT today? (Guess who's short 30 year bonds heh heh).
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I have no clue what I'm talking about.
  • #4,332
  • May 19, 2014 6:18pm May 19, 2014 6:18pm
Quoting Boy Wonder
{quote} Nice find mate. IMO a hammer is a type of doji. A doji is any bar with a large tail and a small or non-existent body. Whatever you call it, it's a good find. Commodities seem to be picking up momentum as has been noted on this thread recently and I think it is very important for us to be aware of the possible ramifications on other markets. Did you notice the massive reversal bar on TLT today? (Guess who's short 30 year bonds heh heh). {image}

well done BW on the TLT trade

Olu
If you think you can or cannot do it you are correct
  • #4,333
  • May 19, 2014 7:12pm May 19, 2014 7:12pm
Quoting Olu
{quote} well done BW on the TLT trade Olu
Thanks mate.
I have no clue what I'm talking about.
  • #4,334
  • May 19, 2014 7:18pm May 19, 2014 7:18pm
EurUsd - inverse H&S short term
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If you think you can or cannot do it you are correct
  • #4,335
  • May 20, 2014 1:07am May 20, 2014 1:07am
Quoting Olu
EurUsd - inverse H&S short term {image}
I am short EU till 1350 area. IMHO , euro won´t go up till it moves south a bit. Cheers!
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  • #4,336
  • May 20, 2014 1:14am May 20, 2014 1:14am
Quoting rehab
{quote} I am short EU till 1350 area. IMHO , euro won´t go up till it moves south a bit. Cheers! {image}

I hear you Rehab. We'll see how this one plays out. That pattern just looks well placed for a rally of some sort imho

Olu
If you think you can or cannot do it you are correct
  • #4,337
  • May 20, 2014 1:21am May 20, 2014 1:21am
Quoting Olu
{quote} I hear you Rehab. We'll see how this one plays out. That pattern just looks well placed for a rally of some sort imho Olu
yes-let´watch and see. good luck Olu, even if it goes against me: this how true friends are (I pray it goes south .....)
  • #4,338
  • May 20, 2014 6:32am May 20, 2014 6:32am
Quoting Olu
Copper - Again I have already uploaded my ideas about copper. Yet this is another one. I am still bearish Olu {image}
Did you get back in y'day Olu? Looks like that weak attempt higher that we half-expected came yesterday; the pushes up are looking weak and this looks ready to roll over this week IMO.
I have no clue what I'm talking about.
  • #4,339
  • May 20, 2014 3:07pm May 20, 2014 3:07pm
USDCAD update: very tentative breakout at the close of NY trading. Will be watching over the next 24 hrs to see if this holds.
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I have no clue what I'm talking about.
  • #4,340
  • May 20, 2014 5:38pm May 20, 2014 5:38pm
Quoting Boy Wonder
{quote} Did you get back in y'day Olu? Looks like that weak attempt higher that we half-expected came yesterday; the pushes up are looking weak and this looks ready to roll over this week IMO.

BW I am glad to tell you that I am short copper

Olu
If you think you can or cannot do it you are correct
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