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Attachments: A Discussion of GBP with SergiPavl
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A Discussion of GBP with SergiPavl

  • #61
  • Jul 14, 2006 9:16am Jul 14, 2006 9:16am
Ok Segi, I have to step in here. We are a friendly community with both new and experienced traders. If that does not fit your style perhaps you should find a place more to your liking. Please read rule number one of our three rules.



FORUM RULES
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RULE #1 / Debate with Love
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RULE #2 / No Endorsements Under 50 Posts
Members with less than 50 posts are NOT permitted to discuss or recommend Forex products or services. This is a critical anti-spam measure, and we apologize for any inconvenience it may cause you.

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Spammers beware! Forex Factory is not a place for your guerilla marketing! There is no self promotion of any kind allowed on the forum unless you are a Forex Factory sponsor. This includes linking to your website or providing your email address. Spammers will be banned immediately.



Thanks Scott (Moderator)
  • #62
  • Jul 14, 2006 9:38am Jul 14, 2006 9:38am
to Scott

FORUM RULES <?xml:namespace prefix = o ns = "urn:schemas-microsoft-com:office:office" /><o></o>

<HR align=center width="100%" color=#d1d1e1 noShade SIZE=1>


<!-- / icon and title --><!-- message -->RULE #1 / Debate with Love
never been broken. Dig deeper into your nutshell to understand this
RULE #2 / No Endorsements Under 50 Posts
<o>I'm not selling nothing, man...</o>
<o>RULE #3 / No Spam
Can't see it in this thread. Maybe, exept for post #61 which is a useless reprint of the rules.
</o><o></o>
PS. Things like ICQ & Country of residence have got to be made obligatory for any registration. My opinion. Personally, I don't appreciate people who care not disclose their Country of residence.

My belief in your being reasonable as a person & as a moderator is undermined.

to Yardi

What 're ye talking about, man?

to Lady

U must be very young and very fragile for u got my words & their meaning upside down.
Calm down, sit down & relax. Think about your needs & how I can help u. Then, give me a shout.

to Everyone

Your mistakes(both of grammar & of intelligent thinking) are appalling.
Don't trade opinion
  • #63
  • Jul 14, 2006 9:39am Jul 14, 2006 9:39am
I think this guy needs to be banned. He is just too much.

Quoting SergiPavl
to Scott



to Everyone

Your mistakes(both of grammar & of intelligent thinking) are appalling.
  • #64
  • Jul 14, 2006 9:45am Jul 14, 2006 9:45am
Segi, I do not need your approval to determine my credibility.
If you do not like the way we allow people to register that is purely your problem, not ours. We got along fine before you arrived and will continue to do so after you are gone. If you cannot be civil please move on. Thanks Scott
  • #65
  • Jul 14, 2006 9:49am Jul 14, 2006 9:49am
Quoting smjones
Segi, I do not need your approval to determine my credibility.
If you do not like the way we allow people to register that is purely your problem, not ours. We got along fine before you arrived and will continue to do so after you are gone. If you cannot be civil please move on. Thanks Scott
Too vague for me...Understood nothing.

Can't put it in plain words for me please!?
Don't trade opinion
  • #66
  • Jul 14, 2006 9:51am Jul 14, 2006 9:51am
I am very sorry, my friend, that is about as plain as I can make this statement.

Scott


Quoting SergiPavl
Too vague for me...Understood nothing.

Can't put it in plain words for me please!?
  • #67
  • Jul 14, 2006 10:01am Jul 14, 2006 10:01am
Market comment


There is still space for the euro and consequently the pound sterling to be beaten a little more. Or more than a little. Time will show. For now it's like that.

Strategy: keep our shorts
Don't trade opinion
  • #68
  • Jul 15, 2006 6:45pm Jul 15, 2006 6:45pm
I second your opinion moonchild, but even if it doesn't happen.. who cares.
there is plenty of money to be made in FX, both long and short (buy support, sell resistance)

happy trading to all


Quoting moonchild

I understand that you believe that the pound and euro are going down, however every bit of technical analysis I do seems to find evidence at every time period that the pound at least is going to strengthen (I rarely trade the euro and therefore have not done the technical analysis there).

From a fundamental point of view the euro seems to be strengthening, but the pound seems to be a preferred currency by CBs despite generally weak fundamentals. With respect to the dollar, there has been very little relationship between good fundamental data and strengthening of the dollar, and the pattern we have been seeing lately seems to be short lived strengthening, or apparently inexplicable weakening.

I think that a long position on cable is the most likely winner, with a target near 1.8500, although I would not be shocked to see it go even higher. I will have to reevaluate the technicals when it gets near that area.

There is no right or wrong before the fact, just different opinions, it is only in retrospect that somebody was right and somebody else wrong. I do not claim to be any kind of an expert (I wonder if anyone really is), but I have an opinion and reasons for having it. We all need a little humility.

After all, there would be no market if everybody traded the same way on the same pairs.
Attached Image
  • #69
  • Jul 17, 2006 2:48pm Jul 17, 2006 2:48pm
Quoting PeterFM
Get someone to potty train you Habeeb then you can sit at the computer and do whatever you need as and when.
All you'll need to do then is tip it out of the window during the old Bollinger squeeze periods.

Peter

You got me bad ...

revenge will be sweet
Keeping it Simple
  • #70
  • Jul 17, 2006 2:55pm Jul 17, 2006 2:55pm
Quoting ahmedjilani
hey Sergie ,

im kinda new here, but have some years of experience trading, what i dont understand is that why the hell is dollar getting strong when for the past 2 days oil is climbing to record highs, gold is climbing and bad news for US and yet it gains even though we dont have a positive on consumer spending as of this time,
Match fixing dude. Probably stop hunting too. Everyone is expecting USD to get weaker with the increase in Gold and Oil prices. And it probably will, starting tomorrow .

Take Care
Habeeb
Keeping it Simple
  • #71
  • Jul 17, 2006 3:08pm Jul 17, 2006 3:08pm
Im also quite impressed about today's behaviour...

Im long gbp-usd since 1,8240 (i bought back too early...) but anyway I dont
understand clearly why the market is not willing to rebuy at low price now ?

ok, some CPI and PPI are coming..but no interest in buying back to get a pullback of 60-70 pips sounds strage to me today.

What do you think ?

I was for holidays 5 days and now maybe I lost some steps ?
  • #72
  • Jul 17, 2006 3:22pm Jul 17, 2006 3:22pm
same question as in the last page! why gbp/usd isn't up giving the fact that it is a war between israel and hezbollah?
in april the gold rose, oil rose and everyone was looking for some excuses to sell usd; why doesen't happen the same thing now?
chf is seen as a safe heaven? well, i don't have this impression when i look on my charts!
trade what you see not what you think
  • #73
  • Jul 17, 2006 3:31pm Jul 17, 2006 3:31pm
I think it will go down just a little more before bouncing up off the 50% Fib line


I have that at about 1.8137

I get this from the 1.7229 low on 3/18/2006

and the high of 1.9024 on 05/17/2006

I am pretty new at this stuff so let me know if my fibs are right
Fdisk Please I just want a few pips. Is that too much to ask?
  • #74
  • Jul 17, 2006 3:33pm Jul 17, 2006 3:33pm
Quoting trucco
Im also quite impressed about today's behaviour...

Im long gbp-usd since 1,8240 (i bought back too early...) but anyway I dont
understand clearly why the market is not willing to rebuy at low price now ?

ok, some CPI and PPI are coming..but no interest in buying back to get a pullback of 60-70 pips sounds strage to me today.

What do you think ?

I was for holidays 5 days and now maybe I lost some steps ?
Welcome back trucco,
I'm long too from 1.8205 (low of May). Looking again at the chart, price might decide to creep down to 1.8140. Will add to my positions then.

Maybe because it's Monday, that's why we're not seeing a pullback. Everyone still sufferring a hangover from the weekend.
Keeping it Simple
  • #75
  • Jul 17, 2006 3:38pm Jul 17, 2006 3:38pm
Spot on

Quoting fdisk
I think it will go down just a little more before bouncing up off the 50% Fib line


I have that at about 1.8137

I get this from the 1.7229 low on 3/18/2006

and the high of 1.9024 on 05/17/2006

I am pretty new at this stuff so let me know if my fibs are right
Keeping it Simple
  • #76
  • Jul 17, 2006 3:49pm Jul 17, 2006 3:49pm
Quoting habeeb
Spot on


Thanks Habeeb. I guess I'll put in and entry order for around 1.8135
Fdisk Please I just want a few pips. Is that too much to ask?
  • #77
  • Jul 17, 2006 4:00pm Jul 17, 2006 4:00pm
Quoting habeeb
Welcome back trucco,
I'm long too from 1.8205 (low of May). Looking again at the chart, price might decide to creep down to 1.8140. Will add to my positions then.

Maybe because it's Monday, that's why we're not seeing a pullback. Everyone still sufferring a hangover from the weekend.
Hi habeeb,
Good to know Im not the only one thinking this way

thanks
  • #78
  • Edited 8:15am Jul 18, 2006 7:59am | Edited 8:15am
I'm short cable from 1.8296 with a 40 pip stop. A better entry would've been 1.8316. I see a yellow flag next to TIC Report on the calender. Doesn't TIC data usually move the market quite a bit too?

Oh well, I've got a trendline resistance @ 1.8300 that's still holding. Haven't had a close above that on the 15min, 30min and hourly charts. I think we're going down again to make a double bottom. Target 1.8150.
Keeping it Simple
  • #79
  • Last Post: Jul 18, 2006 10:11am Jul 18, 2006 10:11am
Exit @ 1.8248. Will re-enter on a retrace ... if we get one.

Good news out for the USD today. Gold also dropped, so probability of cable going lower is very likely.

Heard on CNBC that the middle east trouble is causing oil to go higher. If the situation gets worse, we'll probably see a dollar getting weaker.
Keeping it Simple
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