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NZD/USD

  • #5,281
  • May 16, 2014 1:34am May 16, 2014 1:34am
Quoting Psychologist
Guys, All commodity currencies, AUD, NZD & CAD are in their 5th wave advance stages. It is only a matter of TIME for these currencies to fall sharply against USD, JPY and CHF. Specially, I see a very good opportunity to sell Aussie against CHF, it is at the top area of the channel and yesterday formed a very bearish daily candle. Just my two cents. Regards,
Had limit shorts waiting to trigger
I agree with you on A/CHF
Regards
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In trading, you have to be defensive and aggressive at the same time
  • #5,282
  • May 16, 2014 10:43am May 16, 2014 10:43am
Quoting Psychologist
Guys, All commodity currencies, AUD, NZD & CAD are in their 5th wave advance stages. It is only a matter of TIME for these currencies to fall sharply against USD, JPY and CHF. Specially, I see a very good opportunity to sell Aussie against CHF, it is at the top area of the channel and yesterday formed a very bearish daily candle. Just my two cents. Regards,
ACHF is eyeing higher @ 8500. I don't see ACHF as bearish now.
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  • #5,283
  • May 16, 2014 1:02pm May 16, 2014 1:02pm
Quoting ruffryders
{quote} ACHF is eyeing higher @ 8500. I don't see ACHF as bearish now. {image}
Well, then you're a reckless trader who'd enter in the last stages of 5th wave structure.

Just see this chart and then judge:

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  • #5,284
  • May 16, 2014 1:17pm May 16, 2014 1:17pm
Quoting Psychologist
{quote} Well, then you're a reckless trader who'd enter in the last stages of 5th wave structure. Just see this chart and then judge: {image}
I could only hope you are not all in on this trade, ninja!
  • #5,285
  • May 16, 2014 4:38pm May 16, 2014 4:38pm
Has anyone seen on the cnbc website, it says the kiwi last traded at .8621 but according to my account the kiwi closed a .8633...... Is this the same for everyone else, or should we expect a gap down on Mondays trading?
  • #5,286
  • May 16, 2014 4:50pm May 16, 2014 4:50pm
Quoting zen252
Has anyone seen on the cnbc website, it says the kiwi last traded at .8621 but according to my account the kiwi closed a .8633...... Is this the same for everyone else, or should we expect a gap down on Mondays trading?
Apologies for the front loaded ad: http://thedailyshow.cc.com/videos/uc...nancial-advice

..listen to 'em if you want...
"Holy Grail" exists - accepting where is the first step.
  • #5,287
  • May 16, 2014 5:15pm May 16, 2014 5:15pm
Gidday NZ

Last week Japan was buying

they would throw a few trillion into

the NZ push it back up again

I got longs an a few above

Pretty sure it will hit 0.87+
  • #5,288
  • May 16, 2014 6:19pm May 16, 2014 6:19pm
Quoting ruffryders
{quote} ACHF is eyeing higher @ 8500. I don't see ACHF as bearish now. {image}
Hi Ruff, I agree with your chart and your target level. I always take my cross trades with the measured currency of the pair. I see 9400 area for the AUD as a hard area for the AUD to crack as it's one of the strongest points over the last 5 years in the AUD/USD, But mainly also think the USD/CHF has a short retrace down to run before a longer term run up which is in your favor. Think the top channel of your pitchfork may be hit and like your profit area but maybe after a short retrace.

Good luck with the trade..
  • #5,289
  • May 18, 2014 5:33am May 18, 2014 5:33am
This pair is trending higher for long time , for long term the best entry is sell, but notice this last week gravestone doji (whatever is the name) could change the the historical top.??
Attached Image
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  • #5,290
  • May 18, 2014 4:06pm May 18, 2014 4:06pm
Quoting eliteincome
Gidday NZ Last week Japan was buying they would throw a few trillion into the NZ push it back up again I got longs an a few above Pretty sure it will hit 0.87+
Totally agree with you, sir.
Are you using market microstructure and identify playas (and so patterns)?
  • #5,291
  • May 19, 2014 3:51am May 19, 2014 3:51am
Quoting eliteincome
Gidday NZ Last week Japan was buying they would throw a few trillion into the NZ push it back up again I got longs an a few above Pretty sure it will hit 0.87+
Where can I find more information about this if you would be so kind?
  • #5,292
  • May 19, 2014 4:07am May 19, 2014 4:07am
NUs. Looking @ last couple of weeks sticks, it's fairly obvious that rally is loosing steam and it's a matter of another 1-2 weeks before we start to sell off.
Continued selling pressure on EU/GU will materialize in NUs losses shortly.
  • #5,293
  • May 19, 2014 4:40am May 19, 2014 4:40am
Quoting ruffryders
NUs. Looking @ last couple of weeks sticks, it's fairly obvious that rally is loosing steam and it's a matter of another 1-2 weeks before we start to sell off. Continued selling pressure on EU/GU will materialize in NUs losses shortly.
This pair looks like to retest 0.8680 - 0.8710 zone.
  • #5,294
  • May 19, 2014 5:20am May 19, 2014 5:20am
Quoting zew
{quote} This pair looks like to retest 0.8680 - 0.8710 zone.
Mind sharing your analysis on WHY it is looking like this?
Cheers
  • #5,295
  • May 19, 2014 7:52am May 19, 2014 7:52am
Quoting zew
{quote} This pair looks like to retest 0.8680 - 0.8710 zone.
That looks pretty unlikely to me.
I have no clue what I'm talking about.
  • #5,296
  • May 19, 2014 9:15am May 19, 2014 9:15am
Quoting Boy Wonder
{quote} That looks pretty unlikely to me.
very unlikely. The distribution stage will be initiated promptly. NUs been accumulated already. time for a sell off.
  • #5,297
  • May 19, 2014 10:08am May 19, 2014 10:08am
Quoting Davit
{quote} I respectfully disagree Nobody can say for certain once x number happens then this will happen.It could go 8670-90 turn back as it did before or at 87 or 8720 My point is there is no such thing as "there is no turning back for a while" Best traders know that nobody knows the future.Best we can do is stack as many factors edges on our side. Regards
"Holy Grail" exists - accepting where is the first step.
  • #5,298
  • May 19, 2014 10:48am May 19, 2014 10:48am
Hi

I wait and looking what hapening, but I think short coming, because today NZD/USD don't jump over 16. may hights. In 4H chart I see trinagle.
But carefully, because suport and resistanci is almost same degrees.


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  • #5,299
  • May 19, 2014 12:28pm May 19, 2014 12:28pm
Setup to sell 0.8657.
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  • #5,300
  • May 19, 2014 9:35pm May 19, 2014 9:35pm
Why don't retail traders pay attention to the currencies actual index that drives the value of that particular asset? It makes no sense to me..
Isn't that what the banks would be doing? Any pair in spot FX is simply one currency put against another. But to actually see if we expect that currency to buy more or less of the other one wouldn't it make sense to actually analyse that currency which is put up against it singularly?
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The NZD has a lot of room to move up in terms of its value from the historical lows that its at. Especially given the expected increases in interest rates...
I would love some feed back on this. Cheers
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